HARRIS v. COOPER

Memorandum and Opinion Document #142

District Court, M.D. North Carolina


Description

MEMORANDUM OPINION - CIRCUIT JUDGE ROGER L. GREGORY wrote the majority opinion, in which DISTRICT JUDGE MAX O. COGBURN, JR., joined and filed a separate concurrence. DISTRICT JUDGE WILLIAM L. OSTEEN, JR., joined in part and filed a dissent as to Part II.A.2: on 2/5/2016. (Israel, Lisa) (Entered: 02/05/2016)

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                   UNITED STATES DISTRICT COURT
            FOR THE MIDDLE DISTRICT OF NORTH CAROLINA

________________________________
                                    )
DAVID HARRIS, CHRISTINE             )
BOWSER, and SAMUEL LOVE,            )
                                    )
                Plaintiffs,         )
                                    )
     v.                             )           Case No. 1:13-cv-949
                                    )
PATRICK MCCRORY, in his             )
capacity as Governor of North       )
Carolina, NORTH CAROLINA            )
STATE BOARD OF ELECTIONS,           )
and JOSHUA HOWARD, in his           )
capacity as Chairman of the         )
North Carolina State Board          )
of Elections,                       )
                                    )
                Defendants.         )
                                    )

                          MEMORANDUM OPINION

Circuit Judge Roger L. Gregory wrote the majority opinion, in

which District Judge Max O. Cogburn, Jr., joined and filed a

separate concurrence.      District Judge William L. Osteen, Jr.,

joined in part and filed a dissent as to Part II.A.2:

     “[T]he Framers of the Fourteenth Amendment . . . desired to

place clear limits on the States’ use of race as a criterion for

legislative action, and to have the federal courts enforce those

limitations.”    Richmond v. J.A. Croson Co., 488 U.S. 469, 491

(1989).   For good reason.       Racial classifications are, after

all, “antithetical to the Fourteenth Amendment, whose ‘central

purpose’ was ‘to eliminate racial discrimination emanating from




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official sources in the States.’”                  Shaw v. Hunt, 517 U.S. 899,

907 (1996) (Shaw II) (quoting McLaughlin v. Florida, 379 U.S.

184, 192 (1964)).

       The “disregard of individual rights” is the “fatal flaw” in

such race-based classifications.                 Regents of the Univ. of Cal.

v. Bakke, 438 U.S. 265, 320 (1978); see also J.A. Croson Co.,

488 U.S. at 493 (explaining that the “‘rights created by the

first section of the Fourteenth Amendment are, by its terms,

guaranteed     to   the    individual.            The    rights    established       are

personal rights’” (quoting Shelley v. Kraemer, 334 U.S. 1, 22

(1948))).     By assigning voters to certain districts based on the

color of their skin, states risk “engag[ing] in the offensive

and    demeaning    assumption       that       voters   of    a   particular     race,

because of their race, ‘think alike, share the same political

interests, and will prefer the same candidates at the polls.’”

Miller v. Johnson, 515 U.S. 900, 911–12 (1995) (quoting Shaw v.

Reno, 509 U.S. 630, 647 (1993) (Shaw I)).                     Quotas are especially

pernicious      embodiments      of     racial      stereotypes       because        they

threaten citizens’ “‘personal rights’ to be treated with equal

dignity and respect.”        J.A. Croson Co., 488 U.S. at 493.

       Laws    that       classify      citizens         based      on     race      are

constitutionally       suspect        and       therefore      subject    to      strict

scrutiny;     racially     gerrymandered          districting      schemes     are    no

different, even when adopted for benign purposes.                        Shaw II, 517

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U.S. at 904–05.              This does not mean that race can never play a

role in redistricting.                Miller, 515 U.S. at 916.                     Legislatures

are almost always cognizant of race when drawing district lines,

and     simply        being       aware     of    race       poses        no     constitutional

violation.       See Shaw II, 517 U.S. at 905.                      Only when race is the

“dominant       and    controlling”         consideration            in    drawing     district

lines    does     strict       scrutiny      apply.          Id.;    see       also   Easley   v.

Cromartie, 532 U.S. 234, 241 (2001) (Cromartie II).

        This    case    challenges         the    constitutionality              of   two    North

Carolina        congressional         districts         as    racial           gerrymanders    in

violation       of     the    Equal       Protection        Clause    of        the   Fourteenth

Amendment.           Specifically, this case concerns North Carolina’s

Congressional District 1 (“CD 1”) and Congressional District 12

(“CD    12”)     as    they       stood   after       the    2011    redistricting.            The

plaintiffs contend that the congressional map adopted by the

North Carolina General Assembly in 2011 violates the Fourteenth

Amendment:        race was the predominant consideration with respect

to both districts, and the General Assembly did not narrowly

tailor the districts to serve a compelling interest.                                  The Court

agrees.

        After     careful         consideration         of    all     evidence         presented

during a three-day bench trial, the parties’ findings of fact

and     conclusions          of    law,     the       parties’       arguments,        and     the

applicable law, the Court finds that the plaintiffs have shown

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that race predominated in both CD 1 and CD 12 and that the

defendants        have       failed       to   establish        that    its   race-based

redistricting satisfies strict scrutiny.                    Accordingly, the Court

holds      that        the     general         assembly’s        2011     Congressional

Redistricting Plan is unconstitutional as violative of the Equal

Protection Clause of the Fourteenth Amendment.

        Having found that the 2011 Congressional Redistricting Plan

violates the Equal Protection Clause, the Court will require

that new congressional districts be drawn forthwith to remedy

the unconstitutional districts.                    See Wise v. Lipscomb, 437 U.S.

535, 539-40 (1978).

        Before    turning      to     a   description      of    the    history   of   the

litigation and an analysis of the issues it presents, the Court

notes     that    it     makes      no     finding    as    to    whether     individual

legislators acted in good faith in the redistricting process, as

no such finding is required.                   See Page v. Va. Bd. of Elections,

No. 3:13-cv-678, 2015 WL 3604029, at *7 (E.D. Va. June 5, 2015)

(“[T]he good faith of the legislature does not excuse or cure

the constitutional violation of separating voters according to

race.”).     Nevertheless, the resulting legislative enactment has

affected North Carolina citizens’ fundamental right to vote, in

violation of the Equal Protection Clause.




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                                           I.

                                           A.

      The        North     Carolina    Constitution          requires     decennial

redistricting of the North Carolina Senate and North Carolina

House       of     Representatives,        subject      to     several        specific

requirements.            The general assembly is directed to revise the

districts and apportion representatives and senators among those

districts.        N.C. Const. art. II, §§ 3, 5.           Similarly, consistent

with the requirements of the Constitution of the United States,

the general assembly establishes North Carolina’s districts for

the U.S. House of Representatives after every decennial census.

See U.S. Const. art. I, §§ 2, 4; N.C. Const. art. II, §§ 3, 5; 2

U.S.C. §§ 2a, 2c.

        Redistricting        legislation       must   comply   with     the    Voting

Rights Act of 1965 (“VRA”).           “The Voting Rights Act was designed

by Congress to banish the blight of racial discrimination in

voting . . . .”           South Carolina v. Katzenbach, 383 U.S. 301, 308

(1966), abrogated by Shelby Cnty., Ala. v. Holder, 133 S. Ct.

2612 (2013).        Enacted pursuant to Congress’s enforcement powers

under the Fifteenth Amendment, see Shelby Cnty., 133 S. Ct. at

2619–21, the VRA prohibits states from adopting plans that would

result in vote dilution under section 2, 52 U.S.C. § 10301, or

in   covered      jurisdictions,      retrogression      under    section       5,   52

U.S.C. § 10304.

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       Section 2(a) of the VRA prohibits the imposition of any

electoral practice or procedure that “results in a denial or

abridgement of the right of any citizen . . . to vote on account

of race or color.”              52 U.S.C. § 10301(a).                 A section 2 violation

occurs      when,       based    on        the    totality       of        circumstances,        the

political     process         results       in    minority       “members         hav[ing]     less

opportunity than other members of the electorate to participate

in the political process and to elect representatives of their

choice.”     Id. § 10301(b).

       Section      5    of     the    VRA        prohibits       a     state     or    political

subdivision subject to section 4 of the VRA from enforcing “any

voting   qualification           or        prerequisite      to       voting,      or   standard,

practice, or procedure with respect to voting different from

that in force or effect on November 1, 1964,” unless it has

obtained a declaratory judgment from the District Court for the

District of Columbia that such change “does not have the purpose

and will not have the effect of denying or abridging the right

to   vote    on     account      of    race       or    color”     or      has    submitted      the

proposed change to the U.S. attorney general and the attorney

general has not objected to it.                        Beer v. United States, 425 U.S.

130,   131-32       (1976).           By    requiring       that      proposed         changes    be

approved in advance, Congress sought “‘to shift the advantage of

time   and    inertia         from     the       perpetrators         of    the    evil   to     its

victim,’ by ‘freezing election procedures in the covered areas

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unless the changes can be shown to be nondiscriminatory.’”                      Id.

at 140 (quoting H.R. Rep. No. 94–196, pp. 57–58 (1970)).                        The

purpose of this approach was to ensure that “no voting-procedure

changes would be made that would lead to a retrogression in the

position of racial minorities with respect to their effective

exercise of the electoral franchise.”               Holder v. Hall, 512 U.S.

874, 883 (1994).            Section 5, therefore, prohibits a covered

jurisdiction from adopting any change that “has the purpose of

or   will    have   the   effect   of   diminishing    the   ability    of   [the

minority group] . . . to elect their preferred candidates of

choice.”     52 U.S.C. § 10304(b).

      In November 1964, several counties in North Carolina met

the criteria to be classified as a “covered jurisdiction” under

section 5.        See id. §§ 10303–10304.       As such, North Carolina was

required to submit any changes to its election or voting laws to

the U.S. Department of Justice (“DOJ”) for federal preapproval,

a process called “preclearance.”             See id. § 10304(a).       To obtain

preclearance, North Carolina had to demonstrate that a proposed

change      had   neither    the   purpose    nor   effect   “of   denying       or

abridging the right to vote on account of race or color.”                 Id.

      The legal landscape changed dramatically in 2012, when the

Supreme Court held unconstitutional the coverage formula used to

determine which states are subject to the section 5 preclearance

requirement.        See Shelby Cnty., 133 S. Ct. at 2612.          As a result

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of the invalidation of the coverage formula under section 4,

North       Carolina    is     no       longer    obligated         to   comply      with   the

preclearance requirements of section 5.1                       See id. at 2631.

                                                 B.

        For decades, African-Americans enjoyed tremendous success

in electing their preferred candidates in former versions of CD

1 and CD 12 regardless of whether those districts contained a

majority       black     voting         age   population        (“BVAP”)—that         is    the

percentage of persons of voting age who identify as African–

American.

        The general assembly first drew CD 1 in an iteration of its

present form in 1992.               Pls.’ Ex. 64.            Between 1997 and 2011, the

BVAP fell below 50 percent.                      The BVAP stood at 46.54 percent,

for example, for the plan in place from 1997 to 2001.                                Pls.’ Ex.

110.        After the 2000 census, the general assembly enacted the

2001 Congressional Redistricting Plan (now referred to as the

“benchmark”      or     “benchmark         plan”)      that     redrew    CD    1,    modestly

increasing the BVAP to 47.76 percent.                        Pls.’ Ex. 111.

       The BVAP of former CD 12 mirrored that of former CD 1.

Initially      in      1991,    to      comply        with    the    DOJ’s     then-existing

“maximization”         policy       —    requiring       majority-minority           districts

        1
       Nothing in Shelby County affects the continued validity or
applicability of section 2 to North Carolina.      133 S. Ct. at
2619. And both sections 2 and 5 were still in full effect when
the legislation in this case was enacted.


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wherever possible — CD 12 was drawn with a BVAP greater than 50

percent.     Pls.’ Ex. 72.         After years of litigation and the U.S.

Supreme     Court’s     repudiation      of      the   maximization      policy,      see

Miller, 515 U.S. at 921–24, the general assembly redrew the

district in 1997 with a BVAP of 32.56 percent.                         Pls.’ Ex. 110.

The    general   assembly        thus   determined       that    the    VRA    did    not

require drawing CD 12 as a majority African-American district.

See Cromartie v. Hunt, 133 F. Supp. 2d 407, 413 (E.D.N.C. 2000)

(“District 12 [was] not a majority-minority district”).                               The

2001    benchmark      version    of    CD    12   reflected     a     BVAP   of   42.31

percent.     Pls.’ Ex. 111.

       Despite the fact that African-Americans did not make up a

majority of the voting-age population in these earlier versions

of CD 1 or CD 12, African-American preferred candidates easily

and repeatedly won reelection under those plans.                       Representative

Eva Clayton prevailed in CD 1 in 1998 and 2000, for instance,

winning 62 percent and 66 percent of the vote, respectively.

Pls.’ Ex. 112.          Indeed, African-American preferred candidates

prevailed     with     remarkable       consistency,      winning       at    least    59

percent of the vote in each of the five general elections under

the version of CD 1 created in 2001.                   Id.      Representative G.K.

Butterfield      has    represented      that      district     since    2004.        Id.

Meanwhile, in CD 12, Congressman Mel Watt won every general

election in CD 12 between 1992 and 2012.                  Id.     He never received

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less     than   55.95       percent   of   the    vote,    gathering     at    least    64

percent in each election under the version of CD 12 in effect

during the 2000s.           Id.

        No lawsuit was ever filed to challenge the benchmark 2001

version of CD 1 or CD 12 on VRA grounds.                           Trial Tr. 46:2-7,

47:4-7 (Blue).

                                             C.

        Following the census conducted April 1, 2010, leaders of

the     North    Carolina         House    of      Representatives        and    Senate

independently        appointed         redistricting            committees.           Each

committee was responsible for recommending a plan applicable to

its own chamber, while the two committees jointly were charged

with     preparing      a    redistricting        plan    for    the   U.S.   House     of

Representatives         North     Carolina    districts.          Senator     Rucho    and

Representative Lewis were appointed chairs of the Senate and

House Redistricting Committees, respectively, on January 27 and

February 15, 2011.             Parties’ Joint Actual Stipulation, ECF No.

125 ¶ 3.

        Senator Rucho and Representative Lewis were responsible for

developing a proposed congressional map.                    Id.    In Representative

Lewis’s words, he and Senator Rucho were “intimately involved”

in the crafting of these maps.                Pls.’ Ex. 136 at 17:21–24 (Joint

Committee Meeting July 21, 2011).




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     Senator    Rucho     and    Representative      Lewis    engaged      private

redistricting counsel and a political consultant.                  Specifically,

Senator Rucho and Representative Lewis engaged the law firm of

Ogletree, Deakins, Nash, Smoak & Stewart, P.C. (“Ogletree”) as

their private redistricting counsel.              In December 2010, Ogletree

engaged   Dr.    Thomas    Hofeller,       who    served     as    redistricting

coordinator for the Republican National Committee for the 1990,

2000, and 2010 redistricting cycles, to design and draw the 2011

Congressional Redistricting Plan under the direction of Senator

Rucho and Representative Lewis.            Trial Tr. 577:1-23; 587:14-25;

588:1-2 (Hofeller).       Dr. Hofeller was the “principal architect”

of the 2011 Congressional Redistricting Plan (as well as the

state senate and house plans).         Id. 586:13-15.

     Senator    Rucho     and    Representative      Lewis     were      the    sole

sources of instruction for Dr. Hofeller regarding the design and

construction    of   congressional     maps.        See    Trial   Tr.    589:3-19

(Hofeller).     All such instructions were provided to Dr. Hofeller

orally – there is no written record of the precise instructions

Senator Rucho and Representative Lewis gave to Dr. Hofeller.

Id. at 589:14-590:10.       Dr. Hofeller never received instructions

from any legislator other than Senator Rucho and Representative

Lewis, never conferred with Congressmen Butterfield or Watt, and

never conferred with the Legislative Black Caucus (or any of its

individual    members)    with    respect    to    the    preparation      of    the

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congressional maps.           Trial Tr. 48:23-25; 49:1-5 (Blue); 588:3-

589:13     (Hofeller).         Representative          Lewis       did   not     make     Dr.

Hofeller available to answer questions for the members of the

North Carolina Senate and House Redistricting Committees.                               Pls.’

Ex. 136 at 23:3-26:3 (Joint Committee Meeting July 21, 2011).

        Throughout    June      and       July    2011,        Senator          Rucho     and

Representative       Lewis    released      a    series       of    public      statements

describing,       among   other     things,      the    criteria         that    they     had

instructed     Dr.    Hofeller      to    follow       in   drawing       the     proposed

congressional map.           As Senator Rucho explained at the July 21,

2011,     joint    meeting     of   the    Senate       and    House      Redistricting

Committees, those statements “clearly delineated” the “entire

criteria” that were established and “what areas we were looking

at that were going to be in compliance with what the Justice

Department expected us to do as part of our submission.”                              Id. at

29:2–9.

        In their June 17, 2011, public statement, Senator Rucho and

Representative       Lewis      highlighted        one        criterion          in     their

redistricting plan:

             In creating new majority African American
             districts, we are obligated to follow . . .
             the decisions by the North Carolina Supreme
             Court and the United States Supreme Court in
             Strickland v. Bartlett, 361 N.C. 491 (2007),
             affirmed, Bartlett v. Strickland, 129 S.Ct.
             1231   (2009).      Under   the   Strickland
             decisions, districts created to comply with
             section 2 of the Voting Rights Act, must be

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            created with a “Black Voting Age Population”
            (“BVAP”), as reported by the Census, at the
            level of at least 50% plus one.     Thus, in
            constructing VRA majority black districts,
            the Chairs recommend that, where possible,
            these districts be drawn at a level equal to
            at least 50% plus one “BVAP.”

Defs. Ex. 5.11 at 2 (emphasis added).

     On July 1, 2011, Senator Rucho and Representative Lewis

made public their first proposed congressional plan, entitled

“Rucho-Lewis Congress,” and issued a public statement.                Pls.’

Ex. 67.     The plan was drawn by Dr. Hofeller and contained two

majority-BVAP districts, namely CD 1 and CD 12.              With regard to

proposed CD 1, Senator Rucho and Representative Lewis stated

that they had included a piece of Wake County (an urban county

in which the state capital, Raleigh, is located) because the

benchmark CD 1 was underpopulated by 97,500 people.                 Senator

Rucho and Representative then added:

            Because African Americans represent a high
            percentage of the population added to the
            First District from Wake County, we have
            also been able to re-establish Congressmen
            Butterfield’s district as a true majority
            black district under the Strickland case.

Pls.’ Ex. 67 at 4.

     With   regard   to   CD   12,   Senator   Rucho   and   Representative

Lewis noted that although the 2001 benchmark district was “not a

Section 2 majority black district,” there “is one county in the

Twelfth District that is covered by Section 5 of the Voting



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Rights       Act   (Guilford).”           Pls.’    Ex.    67     at     5.      Therefore,

“[b]ecause of the presence of Guilford County in the Twelfth

District, we have drawn our proposed Twelfth District at a black

voting age level that is above the percentage of black voting

age population found in the current Twelfth District.”                             Id.

        On    July    28,    2011,    the     general       assembly         enacted     the

congressional        and    legislative      plans,       which       Dr.    Hofeller    had

drawn    at    the    direction      of    Senator       Rucho    and       Representative

Lewis.        ECF No. 125 ¶ 5; see Session Law 2011-403 (July 28,

2011)    (amended      by   curative      legislation,         Session       Law    2011-414

(Nov. 7, 2011)).            The number of majority-BVAP districts in the

2011 Congressional Redistricting Plan increased from zero to two

when compared to the benchmark 2001 Congressional Redistricting

Plan.        The BVAP in CD 1 increased from 47.76 percent to 52.65

percent, and in CD 12 the BVAP increased from 43.77 percent to

50.66 percent.        Pls.’ Exs. 106-107.

        Following      the     passage        of      the        2011        Congressional

Redistricting Plan, the general assembly, on September 2, 2011,

submitted the plan to the DOJ for preclearance under section 5

of the VRA.          See Pls.’ Ex. 74 at 10-11.                On November 1, 2011,

the DOJ precleared the 2011 Congressional Redistricting Plan.




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                                        D.

                                        1.

        Two sets of plaintiffs challenged the 2011 Congressional

Redistricting        Plan     in    state    court    for     illegal    racial

gerrymandering.        See N.C. Conference of Branches of the NAACP v.

State of North Carolina, Amended Complaint (12/9/11), ECF No. 44

at Exs. 1-2; Dickson v. Rucho, Amended Complaint (12/12/11), ECF

No. 4 at Exs. 3-4.            A three-judge panel consolidated the two

cases.

        The state court held a two-day bench trial on June 5 and 6,

2013.     See Dickson v. Rucho, J. and Mem. of Op. [hereinafter

“State Court Opinion”], ECF No. 30 at Exs. 1-2.                     On July 8,

2013,    the   court    issued     a   decision   denying     the   plaintiffs’

pending motion for summary judgment and entering judgment for

the defendants.        Id.     The court acknowledged that the general

assembly used race as the predominant factor in drawing CD 1.

Nonetheless, applying strict scrutiny, the court concluded that

North Carolina had a compelling interest in avoiding liability

under the VRA, and that the districts had been narrowly tailored

to avoid that liability.            With regard to CD 12, the court held

that    race   was   not     the   driving   factor   in    its   creation,   and

therefore examined and upheld it under rational-basis review.

        The state court plaintiffs appealed, and the North Carolina

Supreme Court affirmed the trial court’s judgment.                   Dickson v.

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Rucho, 766 S.E.2d 238 (N.C. 2014).                        The U.S. Supreme Court,

however, granted certiorari, vacated the decision, and remanded

the     case       to   the    North   Carolina        Supreme       Court    for     further

consideration in light of Alabama Legislative Black Caucus v.

Alabama, 135 S. Ct. 1257 (2015).                        On December 18, 2015, the

North     Carolina        Supreme      Court        reaffirmed       the   trial      court’s

judgment.

                                               2.

        Plaintiffs        David    Harris      and     Christine       Bowser       are   U.S.

citizens registered to vote in CD 1 or CD 12, respectively.

Neither was a plaintiff in the state-court litigation.

        Plaintiffs        brought      this     action     on    October        24,       2013,

alleging, among other things, that North Carolina used the VRA’s

section        5    preclearance       requirements       as     a     pretext      to    pack

African–American              voters   into     North     Carolina’s         Congressional

Districts 1 and 12 and reduce those voters’ influence in other

districts.         Compl. ¶ 3, ECF No. 1.

        Plaintiffs        sought       a     declaratory       judgment       that        North

Carolina’s Congressional Districts 1 and 12, as drawn in the

2011 Congressional Redistricting Plan, was a racial gerrymander

in violation of the Equal Protection Clause of the Fourteenth

Amendment.          Id. ¶¶ 1, 6.           Plaintiffs also sought to permanently

enjoin the defendants from giving effect to the boundaries of

the First and Twelfth Congressional Districts, including barring

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the defendants from conducting elections for the U.S. House of

Representatives           based       on    the    2011-enacted       First      and    Twelfth

Congressional Districts.                   Id. at 19.

        Because          the      plaintiffs’            action       “challeng[ed]           the

constitutionality               of     the        apportionment           of    congressional

districts” in North Carolina, 28 U.S.C. § 2284(a), the chief

judge     of    the      U.S.    Court       of   Appeals      for   the       Fourth   Circuit

granted the plaintiffs’ request for a hearing by a three-judge

court on October 18, 2013.                  ECF No. 16

        A three-day bench trial began on October 13, 2015.                               After

the bench trial, this Court ordered the parties to file post-

trial briefs.            The case is now ripe for consideration.



                                                  II.

        “[A]    State      may       not,    absent      extraordinary         justification,

. . . separate its citizens into different voting districts on

the     basis       of   race.”        Miller,         515   U.S.    at    911-12    (internal

quotations and citations omitted).                           A voting district is an

unconstitutional racial gerrymander when a redistricting plan

“cannot        be    understood        as    anything        other   than       an   effort    to

separate voters into different districts on the basis of race,

and that the separation lacks sufficient justification.”                                  Shaw

I, 509 U.S. at 649.




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        In a racial gerrymander case, the “plaintiff’s burden is to

show,     either      through      circumstantial           evidence      of   a        district’s

shape     and    demographics          or      more     direct         evidence         going     to

legislative          purpose,      that     race      was    the       predominant          factor

motivating      the     legislature’s          decision      to    place       a    significant

number     of   voters       within       or   without       a    particular            district.”

Miller, 515 U.S. at 916.                   “To make this showing, a plaintiff

must prove that the legislature subordinated traditional race-

neutral     districting           principles,        including     but     not      limited      to

compactness, contiguity, and respect for political subdivisions

or communities defined by actual shared interests, to racial

considerations.”            Id.     Public statements, submissions, and sworn

testimony       by    the    individuals         involved         in    the    redistricting

process are not only relevant but often highly probative.                                       See,

e.g., Bush v. Vera, 517 U.S. 952, 960-61 (1996) (examining the

state’s preclearance submission to the DOJ and the testimony of

state officials).

        Once plaintiffs establish race as the predominant factor,

the     Court      applies        strict       scrutiny,         and    “the        State       must

demonstrate          that    its      districting           legislation            is     narrowly

tailored to achieve a compelling interest.”                            Miller, 515 U.S. at

920.      If race did not predominate, then only rational-basis

review applies.




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        For    the    reasons        that     follow,     the       Court      finds      that    the

plaintiffs have presented dispositive direct and circumstantial

evidence that the legislature assigned race a priority over all

other districting factors in both CD 1 and CD 12.                                         There is

strong evidence that race was the only nonnegotiable criterion

and that traditional redistricting principles were subordinated

to race.        In fact, the overwhelming evidence in this case shows

that a BVAP-percentage floor, or a racial quota, was established

in    both     CD    1    and     CD    12.        And,     that       floor      could     not   be

compromised.             See    Shaw    II,       517   U.S.     at    907     (“Race       was   the

criterion that, in the State’s view, could not be compromised;

respecting         communities         of    interest       and       protecting        Democratic

incumbents came into play only after the race-based decision had

been made.”).             A congressional district necessarily is crafted

because of race when a racial quota is the single filter through

which     all       line-drawing        decisions         are       made,    and       traditional

redistricting            principles         are    considered,         if    at      all,    solely

insofar       as     they      did     not    interfere         with    this       quota.         Id.

Accordingly,         the       Court    holds      that   “race        was     the     predominant

factor        motivating         the     legislature’s            decision         to     place     a

significant         number      of     voters      within      or     without      a    particular

district.”          Miller, 515 U.S. at 916.

        Because race predominated, the state must demonstrate that

its     districting         decision         is   narrowly        tailored        to    achieve    a

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compelling interest.         Even if the Court assumes that compliance

with the VRA is a compelling state interest, attempts at such

compliance    “cannot     justify    race-based   districting       where    the

challenged     district      was   not    reasonably   necessary     under     a

constitutional reading and application” of federal law.                Id. at

921; see also Bush, 517 U.S. at 977.               Thus, narrow tailoring

requires that the legislature have a “strong basis in evidence”

for its race-based decision, that is, “good reasons to believe”

that the chosen racial classification was required to comply

with the VRA.     Alabama, 135 S. Ct. at 1274.          Evidence of narrow

tailoring in this case is practically nonexistent; the state

does not even proffer any evidence with respect to CD 12.               Based

on this record, as explained below, the Court concludes that

North Carolina’s 2011 Congressional Redistricting Plan was not

narrowly   tailored     to    achieve     compliance   with   the    VRA,    and

therefore fails strict scrutiny.

                                         A.

     As with any law that distinguishes among individuals on the

basis of race, “equal protection principles govern a State’s

drawing of congressional districts.”            Miller, 515 U.S. at 905.

“Racial classifications with respect to voting carry particular

dangers.     Racial gerrymandering, even for remedial purposes, may

balkanize us into competing racial factions; it threatens to

carry us further from the goal of a political system in which

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race no longer matters . . . .”                Shaw I, 509 U.S. at 657.          As

such, “race-based districting by our state legislatures demands

close judicial scrutiny.”          Id.

        To trigger strict scrutiny, the plaintiffs first bear the

burden of proving that race was not only one of several factors

that the legislature considered in drawing CD 1 and CD 12, but

that race “predominated.”           Bush, 517 U.S. at 963.            Under this

predominance test, a plaintiff must show that “the legislature

subordinated     traditional       race-neutral         districting   principles

. . . to racial considerations.”               Miller, 515 U.S. at 916; see

also Alabama, 135 S. Ct. at 1271 (“[T]he ‘predominance’ question

concerns which voters the legislature decides to choose, and

specifically whether the legislature predominantly uses race as

opposed to other, ‘traditional’ factors when doing so.”).                      When

a legislature has “relied on race in substantial disregard of

customary      and    traditional          districting      principles,”       such

traditional principles have been subordinated to race.                   Miller,

515 U.S. at 928 (O’Connor, J., concurring).

        When   analyzing     the     legislative        intent     underlying     a

redistricting decision, there is a “presumption of good faith

that must be accorded legislative enactments.”                      Id. at 916.

This    presumption    “requires         courts   to    exercise   extraordinary

caution in adjudicating claims that a State has drawn district

lines     on   the   basis   of    race.”         Id.      Such    restraint    is

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particularly warranted given the “complex interplay of forces

that enter a legislature’s redistricting calculus,” id. at 915–

16, making redistricting possibly “the most difficult task a

legislative      body    ever      undertakes,”    Smith      v.    Beasley,   946    F.

Supp. 1174, 1207 (D.S.C. 1996).                  This presumption must yield,

however,       when    the    evidence     shows      that    citizens      have    been

assigned to legislative districts primarily based on their race.

See Miller, 515 U.S. at 915–16.

                                           1.

        CD 1 presents a textbook example of racial predominance.

There     is    an     extraordinary       amount       of     direct      evidence     –

legislative       records,      public    statements,         instructions     to     Dr.

Hofeller, the “principal architect” of the 2011 Congressional

Redistricting Plan, and testimony – that shows a racial quota,

or floor, of 50-percent-plus-one-person was established for CD

1.    Because traditional districting criteria were considered, if

at all, solely insofar as they did not interfere with this 50-

percent-plus-one-person minimum floor, see Shaw II, 517 U.S. at

907, the quota operated as a filter through which all line-

drawing    decisions         had    to   pass.        As     Dr.   Hofeller    stated,

“[S]ometimes      it     wasn’t     possible     to    adhere      to   some   of     the

traditional redistricting criteria in the creation of [CD 1]”

because    “the       more   important     thing      was    to    . . .   follow     the

instructions that I ha[d] been given by the two chairmen [to

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     Case 1:13-cv-00949-WO-JEP Document 142 Filed 02/05/16 Page 22 of 100
draw the district as majority-BVAP].”                             Trial Tr. 626:19-627:1

(Hofeller) (emphasis added).                    Indeed.       The Court therefore finds

that     race      necessarily            predominates            when,   as         here,   “the

legislature has subordinated traditional districting criteria to

racial        goals,    such       as    when     race       is    the    single       immutable

criterion and other factors are considered only when consistent

with the racial objective.”                      Bethune-Hill v. Va. State Bd. of

Elections, 14-cv-852, 2015 WL 6440332, at *63 (Oct. 22, 2015)

(Keenan, J., dissenting) (citing Shaw II, 517 U.S. at 907).

                                                 a.

        The     legislative             record     is        replete      with        statements

indicating that race was the legislature’s paramount concern in

drawing CD 1.           During legislative sessions, Senator Rucho and

Representative Lewis made clear that CD 1 “[w]as required by

Section 2” of the VRA to have a BVAP of at least 50 percent plus

one person.        See Pls.’ Ex. 139 at 8:19-9:6 (July 25, 2011 Senate

Testimony of Rucho) (CD 1 was “required by Section 2” of the VRA

to   contain      a    majority         BVAP,    and     “must      include      a    sufficient

number of African-Americans so that [CD 1] can re-establish as a

majority black district”); id. 17:23-25 (CD 1 “has Section 2

requirements,          and    we    fulfill       those      requirements”);           see   also

Pls.’    Ex.     140,    at    30:2-4      (July       27,    2011     House     Testimony     of

Lewis) (Representative Lewis stating that CD 1 “was drawn with

race as a consideration, as is required by the [VRA]”); Trial

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Tr.     57:24-58:6        (Blue)          (Senator            Blue,        describing      conversation

with     Senator         Rucho       in        which          Senator       Rucho       explained     “his

understanding and his belief that he had to take [districts of

less     than       50   percent          BVAP]          all     beyond          50   percent     because

Strickland informed him that that’s what he’s supposed to do”);

Defs.’ Ex. 100 at 29:2-7 (July 22, 2011, House Committee Tr.

Lewis) (“In order to foreclose the opportunity for any Section 2

lawsuits, and also for the simplicity of this conversation, we

elected       to    draw       the    VRA           district          at    50     percent    plus     one

. . . .”).

                                                         b.

        The     public         statements            released              by    Senator     Rucho     and

Representative            Lewis       also           reflect          their       legislative        goal,

stating that, to comply with section 2 of the VRA, CD 1 must be

established with a BVAP of 50 percent plus one person.                                                See,

e.g.,       Defs.’       Ex.     5.11          at    2        (June     17,      2011     Joint     Public

Statement);         Pls.’      Ex.    67        at    3-4       (July       1,    2011    Joint     Public

Statement);         Pls.’       Ex.       68    at       3     (July       19,    2011    Joint     Public

Statement).          Further, in its preclearance submission to the DOJ,

North Carolina makes clear that it purposefully set out to add

“a sufficient number of African-American voters in order to”

draw CD 1 “at a majority African-American level.”                                          Pls.’ Ex. 74

at    12;     see    also      id.    at        13       (“Under       the       enacted     version    of

District 1, the . . . majority African-American status of the

                                                         24



      Case 1:13-cv-00949-WO-JEP Document 142 Filed 02/05/16 Page 24 of 100
District      is    corrected      by     drawing    the   District   into   Durham

County.”).

                                            c.

        In light of this singular legislative goal, Senator Rucho

and      Representative          Lewis,     unsurprisingly,       instructed    Dr.

Hofeller to treat CD 1 as a “voting rights district,” Trial Tr.

478:25-479:11 (Hofeller), meaning that he was to draw CD 1 to

exceed 50-percent BVAP.            Id. 480:21-481:1 (“My understanding was

I     was   to     draw   that    1st     District    with   a   black   voting-age

population in excess of 50 percent because of the Strickland

case.”); see also id. 573:1-6 (Dr. Hofeller’s instructions were

to draw CD 1 at “50 percent [BVAP] plus one person”); id. 610:3-

8 (“[T]he instruction was to draw District 1 with a black VAP

level of 50 percent or more.”); id. 615:15-21 (“I received an

instruction that said . . . that District 1 was a voting rights

district.”); id. 572:6-17 (“[T]he 1st District was drawn to be a

majority minority district.”); id. at 615:20–21 (“[B]ecause of

the Voting Rights Act, [CD 1] was to be drawn at 50 percent

plus.”); id. 620:5-11 (“Once again, my instructions from the

chairman of the two committees was because of the Voting Rights

Act and because of the Strickland decision that the district had

to be drawn at above 50 percent.”); id. 620:17-20 (agreeing that

his “express instruction” was to “draw CD 1 as 50 percent black

voting-age population plus one”).

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        The    Court     is   sensitive    to    the   fact    that    CD    1      was

underpopulated;          it   is   not     in    dispute      that    CD     1      was

underpopulated by 97,500 people and that there were efforts to

create     districts      with   approximately    equal    population.            While

equal population objectives “may often prove ‘predominant’ in

the ordinary sense of that word,” the question of whether race

predominated        over      traditional       raced-neutral        redistricting

principles is a “special” inquiry:               “It is not about whether a

legislature believes that the need for equal population takes

ultimate priority,” but rather whether the legislature placed

race above nonracial considerations in determining which voters

to allocate to certain districts in order to achieve an equal

population goal.         Alabama, 135 S. Ct. at 1270-71.

        To accomplish equal population, Dr. Hofeller intentionally

included high concentrations of African-American voters in CD 1

and     excluded       less   heavily    African-American      areas       from     the

district.       During cross-examination, Dr. Hofeller, in response

to why he moved into CD 1 a part of Durham County that was “the

heavily African-American part” of the county, stated, “Well, it

had to be.”        Trial Tr. 621:3-622:19 (Hofeller); see id. 620:21-

621:15; id. 640:7-10; see also Bush, 517 U.S. at 962 (“These

findings – that the State substantially neglected traditional

districting criteria such as compactness, that it was committed

from     the   outset    to   creating    majority-minority      districts,         and

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that it manipulated district lines to exploit unprecedentedly

detailed       racial       data    –    together         weigh    in      favor       of   the

application           of      strict          scrutiny.”          (emphasis         added)).

Dr. Hofeller, after all, had to “make sure that in the end it

all adds up correctly” – that is, that the “net result” was a

majority-BVAP district.             See Trial Tr. 621:3-622:19 (Hofeller);

see also id. 620:21-621:15; id. 640:7-10.

        Dr. Hofeller certainly “ma[de] sure that in the end it

add[ed]       up    correctly.”         Id.    621:7.       The     BVAP     substantially

increased          from    47.76   percent,         the   BVAP    in    CD   1     when     the

benchmark plan was enacted, to 52.65 percent, the BVAP under the

2011 Congressional Plan – an increase of nearly five percentage

points.        Pls.’ Ex. 69 at 111.                  And, while Dr. Hofeller had

discretion, conceivably, to increase the BVAP to as high as he

wanted, he had no discretion to go below 50-percent-plus-one-

person BVAP.          See Trial Tr. 621:13-622:19 (Hofeller).                          This is

the very definition of a racial quota.

                                               d.

        The    Supreme       Court’s      skepticism         of    racial        quotas      is

longstanding.             See generally J.A. Croson Co., 488 U.S. at 469

(minority set-aside program for construction contracts); Bakke,

438    U.S.    at     265    (higher    education         admissions).           The    Court,

however, has yet to decide whether use of a racial quota in a

legislative redistricting plan or, in particular, use of such a

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quota exceeding 50 percent, establishes predominance as a matter

of law under Miller.2                See Bush, 517 U.S. at 998 (Kennedy, J.,

concurring) (reserving the question).                        But see League of United

Latin Am. Citizens v. Perry, 548 U.S. 399, 517 (2006) (Scalia,

J., concurring in the judgment in part and dissenting in part)

(“[W]hen a legislature intentionally creates a majority-minority

district,          race   is    necessarily         its   predominant        motivation     and

strict scrutiny is therefore triggered.”).3                         The Court recently

has cautioned against “prioritizing mechanical racial targets

above        all     other       districting         criteria”      in       redistricting.

Alabama, 135 S. Ct. at 1267, 1272–73.                           Although the Court in

Alabama       did     not      decide    whether      the    use   of    a    racial   quota

exceeding 50 percent, standing alone, can establish predominance

as a matter of law, the Court made clear that such “mechanical

racial targets” are highly suspicious.                       Id. at 1267.

        There is “strong, perhaps overwhelming” direct evidence in

this        case     that      the      general      assembly      “prioritize[ed]          [a]

mechanical racial target[] above all other districting criteria”

in   redistricting.              See     id.   at    1267,    1272–73.         In   order    to


        2
       This Court need not reach this question because there is
substantial   direct   evidence  that   traditional   districting
criteria were considered, if at all, solely insofar as they did
not interfere with this 50-percent-plus-one-person quota.
        3
       Chief Justice Roberts, Justice Thomas, and Justice Alito
appear to agree with Justice Scalia’s statement. Id.


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     Case 1:13-cv-00949-WO-JEP Document 142 Filed 02/05/16 Page 28 of 100
achieve the goal of drawing CD 1 as a majority-BVAP district,

Dr.     Hofeller   not    only   subordinated     traditional        race-neutral

principles but disregarded certain principles such as respect

for political subdivisions and compactness.                  See Stephenson v.

Bartlett, 562 S.E. 2d 377, 385-89 (N.C. 2002) (recognizing “the

importance of counties as political subdivisions of the State of

North Carolina” and “observ[ing] that the State Constitution’s

limitations upon redistricting and apportionment uphold what the

United States Supreme Court has termed ‘traditional districting

principles’ . . . such as ‘compactness, contiguity, and respect

for political subdivisions’” (quoting Shaw I, 509 U.S. at 647)).

        Dr. Hofeller testified that he would split counties and

precincts when necessary to achieve a 50-percent-plus-one-person

BVAP in CD 1.          Trial Tr. 629:17-629:24 (Hofeller); see also

Pls.’ Ex. 67 at 7 (July 1, 2011 Joint Public Statement) (“Most

of    our   precinct     divisions    were   prompted   by    the    creation   of

Congressman      Butterfield’s       majority   black   First       Congressional

District.”).       Dr. Hofeller further testified that he did not use

mathematical measures of compactness in drawing CD 1.                  Pls.’ Ex.

129 (Hofeller Dep. 44:19-45:12).             Had he done so, Dr. Hofeller

would have seen that the 2011 Congressional Redistricting Plan

reduced the compactness of CD 1 significantly.                  Pls.’ Ex. 17,

Table 1; see also Trial Tr. 689:22-690:1-11 (Ansolabehere).




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       Apparently seeing the writing on the wall, the defendants

make the passing argument that the legislature configured CD 1

to protect the incumbent and for partisan advantage.4                          Defs.’

Findings of Fact, ECF No. 138 at 74.                   The defendants, however,

proffer no evidence to support such a contention.                    Id.    There is

nothing         in   the   record   that    remotely    suggests     CD    1   was   a

political gerrymander, or that CD 1 was drawn based on political

data.      Compare Trial Tr. 479:4-479:22 (Hofeller) (“Congressional

District 1 was considered by the chairs to be a voting rights

district . . . so it had to be drawn in accordance with the fact

that it needed to be passed through . . . Section 2 and also

Section 5.”); with id. (“[M]y instructions from the two chairmen

were       to    treat     the    12th     District    as    . . .   a     political

[district].”).             It    cannot    seriously    be   disputed      that   the

predominant focus of virtually every statement made, instruction

given, and action taken in connection with the redistricting

effort was to draw CD 1 with a BVAP of 50 percent plus one

person to comply with the VRA.                   See, e.g., Trial Tr. 479:4-

479:22 (Hofeller).


       4
       The defendants have suggested that CD 1’s configuration
was necessary to add voters to the district to equalize
population.   Defs.’ Findings of Fact, ECF No. 138 at 74.     As
discussed earlier, Alabama squarely forecloses this argument as
a matter of law, holding that “an equal population goal is not
one factor among others to be weighed against the use of race to
determine whether race predominates.” 135 S. Ct. at 1270.


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                                           e.

        Even if the Court assumes, arguendo, that this is a “mixed-

motive suit” - in which a state’s conceded goal of “produc[ing]

majority-minority         districts”       is    accompanied       by    “other          goals,

particularly        incumbency       protection”          -     race      can        be     the

predominant factor in the drawing of a district without the

districting revisions being “purely race-based.”                         Bush, 517 U.S.

at   959     (emphasis     omitted).           Indeed,    the     Supreme       Court       has

observed that “partisan politicking” may often play a role in a

state’s      redistricting         process,      but      the     fact       “[t]hat        the

legislature        addressed     these    interests       [need]       not    in     any    way

refute     the   fact     that    race    was    the    legislature’s         predominant

consideration.”          Shaw II, 517 U.S. at 907; see also Alabama, 135

S. Ct. at 1271 (remanding to trial court to determine whether

race    predominated       even     though      “preserving        the       core    of     the

existing district, following county lines, and following highway

lines    played     an   important       boundary-drawing         role”);       Bush,       517

U.S.    at   962    (finding      predominant      racial       purpose       where       state

neglected traditional districting criteria such as compactness,

committed itself to creating majority-minority districts, and

manipulated        district      lines   based     on    racial     data);          Clark    v.

Putnam Cnty., 293 F.3d 1261, 1270 (11th Cir. 2002) (“[The] fact

that    other      considerations        may    have     played    a     role       in    . . .

redistricting does not mean that race did not predominate.”).

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       As    the   Supreme     Court   has     explained,    traditional   factors

have been subordinated to race when “[r]ace was the criterion

that, in the State’s view, could not be compromised,” and when

traditional, race-neutral criteria were considered “only after

the race-based decision had been made.”                   Shaw II, 517 U.S. at

907.        When a legislature has “relied on race in substantial

disregard of customary and traditional districting practices,”

such   traditional      principles       have    been    subordinated   to   race.

Miller, 515 U.S. at 928 (O’Connor, J., concurring).                     Here, the

record is unequivocally clear:                 the general assembly relied on

race – the only criterion that could not be compromised – in

substantial        disregard    of     traditional      districting   principles.

See, e.g., Trial Tr. 626:19-627:1 (Hofeller).

       Moreover,      because    traditional       districting    criteria    were

considered, if at all, solely insofar as they did not interfere

with this 50-percent-plus-one-person minimum floor, see Shaw II,

517 U.S. at 907, the quota operated as a filter through which

all line-drawing decisions had to pass.                     Such a racial filter

had a discriminatory effect on the configuration of CD 1 because

it rendered all traditional criteria that otherwise would have

been “race-neutral” tainted by and subordinated to race.                      Id.

For these reasons, the Court holds that the plaintiffs have

established that race predominated in the legislative drawing of




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CD 1, and the Court will apply strict scrutiny in examining the

constitutionality of CD 1.

                                              2.

        CD 12 presents a slightly more complex analysis than CD 1

as to whether race predominated in redistricting.                               Defendants

contend that CD 12 is a purely political district and that race

was      not      a     factor        even     considered         in     redistricting.

Nevertheless,          direct    evidence      indicating        racial       predominance

combined with the traditional redistricting factors’ complete

inability to explain the composition of the new district rebut

this contention and leads the Court to conclude that race did

indeed predominate in CD 12.

                                              a.

        While    not    as    robust    as    in    CD   1,    there    is    nevertheless

direct     evidence      supporting      the       conclusion     that       race   was   the

predominant factor in drawing CD 12.                     Public statements released

by     Senator        Rucho     and    Representative           Lewis        reflect      this

legislative       goal.         In    their    June      17,   2011,     statement,        for

example, Senator Rucho and Representative Lewis provide,

                In creating new majority African American
                districts, we are obligated to follow . . .
                the decisions by the North Carolina Supreme
                Court and the United States Supreme Court
                . . . .   Under the[se] decisions, districts
                created to comply with section 2 of the
                Voting Rights Act, must be created with a
                “Black Voting Age Population” (“BVAP”), as
                reported by the Census, at the level of at

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            least 50% plus one.    Thus, in constructing
            VRA majority black districts, the Chairs
            recommend   that,   where   possible,  these
            districts be drawn at a level equal to at
            least 50% plus one “BVAP.”

Defs.’ Ex. 5.11 at 2 (emphasis added).             This statement describes

not only the new CD 1, as explained above, but clearly refers to

multiple districts that are now majority minority.                     This is

consistent with the changes to the congressional map following

redistricting:        the number of majority-BVAP districts in the

2011 plan, compared to the benchmark 2001 plan, increased from

zero to two, namely CD 1 and CD 12.            Tr. 59:25-60:6 (Blue).       The

Court cannot conclude that this statement was the result of

happenstance, a mere slip of the pen.              Instead, this statement

supports the contention that race predominated.

        The public statement issued July 1, 2011, further supports

this objective.       There, Senator Rucho and Representative Lewis

stated,    “Because    of   the   presence    of   Guilford   County   in   the

Twelfth District [which is covered by section 5 of the VRA], we

have drawn our proposed Twelfth District at a black voting age

level     that   is   above   the    percentage     of   black   voting     age

population found in the current Twelfth District.”                 Pls.’ Tr.

Ex. 67 at 5 (emphasis added).                As explained, section 5 was

intended to prevent retrogression; to ensure that such result

was achieved, any change was to be precleared so that it did

“not have the purpose and [would] not have the effect of denying

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or abridging the right to vote on account of race or color.”

Beer, 425 U.S. at 131-33.         Despite the fact that nothing in

section 5 required the creation of a majority-minority district

in CD 12,5 this statement indicates that it was the intention in

redistricting to create such a district—it was drawn at a higher

BVAP than the previous version.         This statement does not simply

“show[] that the legislature considered race, along with other

partisan and geographic considerations,” Cromartie II, 532 U.S.

at 253; instead, reading the text in its ordinary meaning, the

statement evinces a level of intentionality in the decisions

regarding race.     The Court will again decline to conclude that

it was purely coincidental that the district was now majority

BVAP after it was drawn.

     Following    the   ratification    of   the   revised   redistricting

plan, the North Carolina General Assembly and attorney general

submitted the plan to the DOJ for preclearance under section 5.

Pls.’ Ex. 74.    The submission explains,

            One of the concerns of the Redistricting
            Chairs was that in 1992, the Justice
            Department   had   objected   to    the  1991
            Congressional Plan because of a failure by
            the state to create a second majority
            minority district combining the African-
            American community in Mecklenburg County
            with African-American and Native American
            voters   residing   in  south    central  and
            southeastern North Carolina.

     5
         See infra Part II.B.


                                   35



   Case 1:13-cv-00949-WO-JEP Document 142 Filed 02/05/16 Page 35 of 100
Id. at 14.         The submission further explains that Congressman

Watt did not believe that African-American voters in Mecklenburg

County were politically cohesive with Native American voters in

southeastern North Carolina.             Id.    The redistricting committee

accordingly drew the new CD 12 based on these considerations,

id. at 15, including DOJ’s 1992 concern that a new majority-

minority district be created—a concern that the U.S. Supreme

Court    handily     rejected    in    Miller,     when    it     repudiated     the

maximization policy, see 515 U.S. at 921–24.                   The discussion of

CD 12 in the DOJ submission concludes, “Thus, the 2011 version

maintains,     and     in    fact      increases,        the    African-American

community’s    ability      to   elect    their    candidate       of   choice    in

District 12.”        Pls.’ Ex. 74 at 15.          Given the express concerns

of the redistricting committee, the Court will not ascribe the

result to mere coincidence and instead finds that the submission

supports race predominance in the creation of CD 12.

                                         b.

        In addition to the public statements issued, Congressman

Watt     testified    at    trial     that     Senator    Rucho    himself       told

Congressman Watt that the goal was to increase the BVAP in CD 12

to over 50 percent.           Congressman Watt testified that Senator

Rucho said “his leadership had told him that he had to ramp up

the minority percentage in [the Twelfth] Congressional District

up to over 50 percent to comply with the Voting Rights Law.”

                                         36



   Case 1:13-cv-00949-WO-JEP Document 142 Filed 02/05/16 Page 36 of 100
Trial Tr. 108:23-109:1 (Watt).                     Congressman Watt sensed that

Senator        Rucho      seemed     uncomfortable      discussing        the     subject

“because his leadership had told him that he was going to have

to go out and justify that [redistricting goal] to the African-

American community.”               Id. at 109:2-3; see also id. at 136:5-9

(“[H]e told me that his leadership had told him that they were

going to ramp -- or he must ramp up these districts to over 50

percent African-American, both the 1st and the 12th, and that it

was going to be his job to go and convince the African-American

community that that made sense.”).

        Defendants        argue     that   Senator      Rucho    never         made     such

statements        to      Congressman      Watt,    citing      Senator        Rucho     and

Congresswoman Ruth Samuelson’s testimony in the Dickson trial.

Defs.’ Proposed Findings of Fact, ECF No. 138, at 40 (citing

Dickson        Tr.     358,    364).          Nevertheless,      after         submitting

Congressman Watt to thorough and probing cross-examination about

the specifics of the content and location of this conversation,

the defendants declined to call Senator Rucho or Congresswoman

Samuelson       to     testify,     despite    both    being    listed     as     defense

witnesses and being present throughout the trial.                         The Court is

thus somewhat crippled in its ability to assess either Senator

Rucho     or    Congresswoman’s        Samuelson’s     credibility        as    to     their

claim that Senator Rucho never made such statements.                            Based on

its     ability      to    observe     firsthand      Congressman    Watt        and     his

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      Case 1:13-cv-00949-WO-JEP Document 142 Filed 02/05/16 Page 37 of 100
consistent      recollection     of    the    conversation         between    him     and

Senator Rucho, the Court credits his testimony and finds that

Senator Rucho did indeed explain to Congressman Watt that the

legislature’s goal was to “ramp up” CD 12’s BVAP.

        And, make no mistake, the BVAP in CD 12 was ramped up:                        the

BVAP increased from 43.77 percent to 50.66 percent.                         Pls.’ Exs.

106-107.      This correlates closely to the increase in CD 1.                       Such

a   consistent     and    whopping     increase      makes    it    clear    that     the

general assembly’s predominant intent regarding district 12 was

also race.

                                         c.

        The shape of a district is also relevant to the inquiry, as

it “may be persuasive circumstantial evidence that race for its

own     sake,   and      not   other    districting         principles,       was     the

legislature’s dominant and controlling rationale in drawing its

district     lines.”       Miller,     515    U.S.    at     913.      CD    12     is   a

“serpentine       district      [that]       has     been     dubbed        the     least

geographically compact district in the Nation.”                        Shaw II, 517

U.S. at 906.

        Under the benchmark 2001 plan, CD 12 had a Reock score6 of

.116, the lowest in the state by far.                       Pls.’ Ex. 17, Expert


        6
       The Reock score is “a commonly used measure of compactness
that is calculated as the ratio of the area of a district to the
area of the smallest inscribing circle of a district.”      Pls.’


                                         38



      Case 1:13-cv-00949-WO-JEP Document 142 Filed 02/05/16 Page 38 of 100
Report of Stephen Ansolabehere, at 22.                Under the new plan, the

Reock score of CD 12 decreased to .071, remaining the lowest in

the state by a good margin.          Id.      A score of .071 is low by any

measure.      At trial, Dr. Ansolabehere testified that a score of

.2 “is one of the thresholds that [is] commonly use[d] . . . one

of the rules of thumb” to say that a district is noncompact.

Trial Tr. 354:8-13.

       Defendants     do    not   disagree.          At     trial,    Dr.    Hofeller

testified that in redrawing CD 12, he made the district even

less compact.       Id. 658:3-5; see also id. at 528:1 (Hofeller) (“I

have     no    quarrel      whatsoever        with    [Ansolabehere’s]            Reock

scores.”); id. at 656:20-21 (Hofeller) (“When I calculated the

Reock scores, I got the same scores he did.                          So, obviously,

we’re in agreement.”).            And importantly, Dr. Hofeller did not

“apply the mathematical measures of compactness to see how the

districts were holding up” as he was drawing them.                          Pls.’ Ex.

129 (Hofeller Dep. 45:3-7).              Nevertheless, Dr. Hofeller opined

that “District 12’s compactness was in line with former versions

of   District    12   and    in   line    with   compactness         as     one   would

understand it in the context of North Carolina redistricting

. . . .”      Id. (Hofeller Dep. 45:20-23).               While he did not recall

Ex. 17, Expert Report of Stephen Ansolabehere, at 5. As “[t]he
circle is the most compact geometric shape,” the Reock score of
a perfect square “would be the ratio of the area of a square to
the area of its inscribing circle, or .637.” Id. n.1.


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     Case 1:13-cv-00949-WO-JEP Document 142 Filed 02/05/16 Page 39 of 100
any specific instructions as to compactness, he was generally

“to     make   plans    as       compact     as     possible    with    the    goals       and

policies of the entire plan,” id. (Hofeller Dep. 44:25-45:2)—

that     is,   as     the    defendants        claim,    to    make    the    state    more

favorable to Republican interests, a contention to which the

Court now turns.

                                               d.

        Defendants claim that politics, not race, was the driving

factor behind the redistricting in CD 12.                             The goal, as the

defendants portray it, was to make CD 12 an even more heavily

Democratic district and make the surrounding counties better for

Republican       interests.             This      goal   would     not       only    enable

Republican control but also insulate the plan from challenges

such as the instant one.                 See Cromartie II, 532 U.S. at 258;

Cromartie       I,     526       U.S.   at     551-52    (“Evidence          that    blacks

constitute even a supermajority in one congressional district

while     amounting         to   less   than      a   plurality    in    a    neighboring

district       will    not,       by    itself,       suffice     to     prove      that     a

jurisdiction was motivated by race in drawing its district lines

when the evidence also shows a high correlation between race and

party preference.”).

        Dr. Hofeller testified to this singular aim time and again

at trial:      “My instructions from the two chairman [Senator Rucho

and Congressman Lewis] were to treat District 12 as a political

                                               40



      Case 1:13-cv-00949-WO-JEP Document 142 Filed 02/05/16 Page 40 of 100
district and to draw it using political data and to draw it in

such a manner that it favorably adjusted all of the surrounding

districts.”      Trial Tr. 495:12-15 (Hofeller); see also, e.g., id.

479:20-22 (“So my instructions from the two chairmen were to

treat the 12th District exactly as it has been treated by the

Democrats in 1997 and 2001 as a political draw.”); id. 496:10-

13, 15-22 (“It really wasn’t about -- totally about the 12th

District.        It   was    about     what       effect   it    was     having      on   the

surrounding districts. . . .                 [T]he 6th District needed to be

made better for Republican interests by having more Democratic

votes removed from it, whereas the 5th District had a little

more strength in it and could take on some additional Democratic

areas in -- into it in Forsyth County.”).

        Dr. Hofeller testified that he complied with Senator Rucho

and Representative Lewis’s instructions and did not look at race

at all when creating the new districts.                     Using Maptitude,7 Dr.

Hofeller provided, “On the screen when I was drawing the map was

the Obama/McCain race shaded in accordance with the two-party

vote, which excluded the minor party candidates, and that was

the    sole   thematic      display     or    numeric      display       on    the   screen

except for one other thing, and that was the population of the

precinct      because       of   one    person,       one       vote,”        id.    526:3-8

        7
       Software commonly used in redistricting.                        Trial Tr. 343:14
(Ansolabehere).


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      Case 1:13-cv-00949-WO-JEP Document 142 Filed 02/05/16 Page 41 of 100
(Hofeller); see also id. at 496:4-5 (“[T]he thematic was based

on    the   two-party         presidential    vote    in    2008    Obama    versus

McCain.”);       id.    at    662:1-17   (stating    that    only    one    set   of

election results can be on the screen at a time and that the

only results Dr. Hofeller had on his screen were the 2008 Obama

election results).            Hofeller testified that it was only after

the fact that he considered race and what impact it may or may

not have had.           Id. at 644:24–45:1 (“[W]hen we checked it, we

found out that we did not have an issue in Guilford County with

fracturing the black community.”).

       Despite    the    defendants’     protestations,      the    Court   is    not

persuaded that the redistricting was purely a politically driven

affair.       Parts      of    Dr.   Hofeller’s     own    testimony   belie      his

assertions that he did not consider race until everything was

said and done.         At trial, he testified that he was “aware of the

fact that Guilford County was a Section 5 county” and that he

“was instructed [not] to use race in any form except perhaps

with regard to Guilford County.”               Id. at 608:23–24, 644:12-13

(emphasis added).            Dr. Hofeller also testified in his deposition

that race was a more active consideration:                   “[I]n order to be

cautious and draw a plan that would pass muster under the Voting

Rights Act, it was decided to reunite the black community in

Guilford County into the Twelfth.”             Pls.’ Ex. 129 (Hofeller Dep.

75:13-16); see id. (Hofeller Dep. 37:7-16) (“[M]y understanding

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     Case 1:13-cv-00949-WO-JEP Document 142 Filed 02/05/16 Page 42 of 100
of the issue was because Guilford was a Section 5 county and

because there was a substantial African-American population in

Guilford County, that if the portion of the African-American

community was in the former District 13 . . . which was a strong

Democratic   district     was     not     attached     to     another     strong

Democratic district [and] that it could endanger the plan and

make a challenge to the plan.”).8

     Moreover, Senator Rucho and Representative Lewis themselves

attempted to downplay the “claim[] that [they] have engaged in

extreme political gerrymandering.”          Pls.’ Ex. 68 at 1.          In their

joint statement published July 19, 2011, they assert that these

claims are “overblown and inconsistent with the facts.”                      Id.

The press release continues to explain how Democrats maintain a

majority advantage in three districts and a plurality advantage

in the ten remaining districts.            Id. at 2.         This publication

serves to discredit their assertions that their sole focus was

to create a stronger field for Republicans statewide.

     That    politics    not      race     was    more       of   a     post-hoc

rationalization   than   an     initial   aim    is   also    supported    by   a

series of emails presented at trial.              Written by counsel for


     8
       Moreover, Dr. Hofeller’s assertion that he, the “principal
architect,” considered no racial data when drawing the maps
rings a somewhat hollow when he previously served as the staff
director to the U.S. House Subcommittee on the Census leading up
to the 2000 census. See Defs.’ Ex. 129, Hofeller Resume, at 6.


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   Case 1:13-cv-00949-WO-JEP Document 142 Filed 02/05/16 Page 43 of 100
Senator Rucho and Representative Lewis during the redistricting,

the first email, dated June 30, 2011, was sent to Senator Rucho,

Representative Lewis, Dr. Hofeller, and others involved in the

redistricting effort, providing counsel’s thoughts on a draft

public statement “by Rucho and Lewis in support of proposed 2011

Congressional       Plan.”       See      Pls.’   Ex.    13.     “Here    is   my   best

efforts     to   reflect       what   I   have    been    told   about    legislative

intent     for     the   congressional        plans.       Please       send   me   your

suggestions and I will circulate a revised version for final

approval by [Senator Rucho] and [Representative Lewis] as soon

as possible tomorrow morning,” counsel wrote.                     Id.    In response,

Brent Woodcox, redistricting counsel for the general assembly,

wrote, “I do think the registration advantage is the best aspect

to focus on to emphasize competitiveness.                      It provides the best

evidence of pure partisan comparison and serves in my estimation

as a strong legal argument and easily comprehensible political

talking point.”          Id.    Unlike the email at issue in Cromartie II,

which did not discuss “the point of the reference” to race,

Cromartie II, 532 U.S. at 254, this language intimates that the

politics rationale on which the defendants so heavily rely was

more of an afterthought than a clear objective.

        This conclusion is further supported circumstantially by

the     findings    of    the    plaintiffs’      experts,       Drs.    Peterson   and

Ansolabehere.        At trial, Dr. Peterson opined that race “better

                                            44



      Case 1:13-cv-00949-WO-JEP Document 142 Filed 02/05/16 Page 44 of 100
accord[ed] with” the boundary of CD 12 than did politics, based

on his “segment analysis.”             Trial Tr. 211:21-24 (Peterson); see

id. 220:16-18, 25.               This analysis looked at three different

measures of African-American racial representation inside and

outside of the boundary of CD 12, and four different measures of

representations       of     Democrats     for    a   total    of    twelve    segment

analyses.       Id. at 213:24-214:2, 219:5, 9-11.               Four of the twelve

studies     supported      the    political      hypothesis;    two    support     both

hypotheses equally; while six support the race hypothesis—“and

in each of these six, the imbalance is more pronounced than in

any    of   the    four    studies    favoring     the   Political      Hypothesis.”

Pls.’ Ex. 15, Second Aff. of David W. Peterson Ph.D., at 6; see

also Trial Tr. 219-20 (Peterson).

        Using     different      methods   of     analysis,      Dr.    Ansolabehere

similarly concluded that the new districts had the effect of

sorting along racial lines and that the changes to CD 12 from

the     benchmark     plan    to     the   Rucho-Lewis        plan    “can    be   only

explained by race and not party.”                Trial Tr. 314, 330:10-11.

        Defendants argue that these findings are based on a theory

the Supreme Court has rejected—that is, Dr. Ansolabehere used

only party registration in his analysis, and the Supreme Court

has found that election results are better predictors of future

voting behavior.           Defs.’ Findings of Fact, ECF No. 128, at 79

(citing Cromartie I and II).               But Dr. Ansolabehere stated that

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      Case 1:13-cv-00949-WO-JEP Document 142 Filed 02/05/16 Page 45 of 100
he understood the Supreme Court’s finding and explained why in

this     situation     he    believed          that    using      registration     data    was

nonetheless preferable:                 registration data was a good indicator

of voting data and it “allowed [him] to get down to [a deeper]

level of analysis.”               Trial Tr. 309:7-8, 349:2-3 (Ansolabehere).

Moreover,       Defendants         themselves          appear      to     have    considered

registration data at some point in the redistricting process:

in     their    July        19,     2011,        statement,         Senator      Rucho     and

Representative         Lewis        consider          the    numbers       of     registered

Democrats,      Republicans,             and    unaffiliated           voters    across    all

districts.      Pls.’ Ex. 68 at 2.

        While both studies produce only circumstantial support for

the conclusion that race predominated, the plaintiffs were not

limited to direct evidence and were entitled to use “direct or

circumstantial evidence, or a combination of both.”                                Cromartie

I, 526 U.S. at 547; see also id. at 546 (“The task of assessing

a jurisdiction’s motivation, however, is not a simple matter; on

the     contrary,      it    is         an   inherently         complex     endeavor,      one

requiring the trial court to perform a ‘sensitive inquiry into

such circumstantial and direct evidence of intent as may be

available.’”      (quoting         Arlington          Heights     v.    Metro.   Hous.    Dev.

Corp., 429 U.S. 252, 266 (1977))).                          The defendants’ argument

that Dr. Peterson’s analysis is “of little to no use” to the

Court,     as   he   “did         not    and     could      not    conclude”      that    race

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      Case 1:13-cv-00949-WO-JEP Document 142 Filed 02/05/16 Page 46 of 100
predominated, Defs.’ Proposed Findings of Fact, ECF No. 138, at

77 (emphasis omitted), is unavailing in this regard.

       The     defendants          contend           that,         to     show           that        race

predominated,        the     plaintiffs      must       show       “alternative            ways”      in

which      “the     legislature      could           have    achieved          its       legitimate

political objectives” that were more consistent with traditional

districting principles and that resulted in a greater racial

balance.       Cromartie II, 532 U.S. at 258; see Defs.’ Proposed

Findings      of    Fact,    ECF   No.     138,       at     62.         The   Supreme          Court,

however, limited this requirement to “a case such as [the one at

issue in Cromartie II],” id.—that is, a case in which “[t]he

evidence      taken     together      . . .          [did]     not        show       that       racial

considerations         predominated,”           id.         Here,       the    evidence          makes

abundantly          clear     that       race,         although           generally             highly

correlative         with     politics,      did        indeed           predominate         in        the

redistricting         process:       “the       legislature             drew     District            12’s

boundaries         because    of   race    rather           than    because       of      political

behavior.”           Id.       Redistricting            is     inherently            a    political

process; there will always be tangential references to politics

in   any     redistricting—that           is,    after        all,       the   nature           of   the

beast.       Where, like here, at the outset district lines were

admittedly drawn to reach a racial quota, even as political

concerns may have been noted at the end of the process, no

“alternative” plans are required.

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                                             e.

        In    light    of     all    of    the      evidence,       both     direct     and

circumstantial, the Court finds that race predominated in the

redistricting of CD 12.                  Traditional redistricting principles

such as compactness and contiguity were subordinated to this

goal.          Moreover,      the    Court        does    not   find       credible     the

defendants’ purported rationale that politics was the ultimate

goal.        To find that otherwise would create a “magic words” test

that would put an end to these types of challenges.                          See Dickson

v. Rucho, No. 201PA12, 2015 WL 9261836, at *53 (N.C. Dec. 18,

2015)     (Beasley,     J.,    dissenting)         (“To    justify    this    serpentine

district, which follows the I–85 corridor between Mecklenburg

and     Guilford      Counties,     on    partisan        grounds    allows       political

affiliation to serve as a proxy for race and effectively creates

a “magic words” test for use in evaluating the lawfulness of

this district.”)            To accept the defendants’ explanation would

“create[] an incentive for legislators to stay “on script” and

avoid     mentioning        race    on    the     record.”      Id.         The    Court’s

conclusion finds support in light of the defendants’ stated goal

with respect to CD 1 to increase the BVAP of the district to 50

percent plus one person, the result of which is consistent with

the changes to CD 12.




                                             48



      Case 1:13-cv-00949-WO-JEP Document 142 Filed 02/05/16 Page 48 of 100
                                             B.

        The    fact      that     race   predominated        when      the    legislature

devised CD 1 an CD 12, however, does not automatically render

the     districts        constitutionally          infirm.          Rather,        if     race

predominates, strict scrutiny applies, but the districting plan

can still pass constitutional muster if narrowly tailored to

serve a compelling governmental interest.                       Miller, 515 U.S. at

920.     While such scrutiny is not necessarily “strict in theory,

but fatal in fact,” Johnson v. California, 543 U.S. 499, 514

(2005),       the    state   must    establish       the   “most     exact       connection

between justification and classification.”                      Parents Involved in

Cmty.     Sch.      v.   Seattle    Sch.     Dist.   No.   1,    551      U.S.     701,   720

(2007).

        The    Court’s       strict-scrutiny         analysis        for      CD     12     is

straightforward.           The defendants completely fail to provide this

Court     with       a   compelling        state     interest       for      the    general

assembly’s use of race in drawing CD 12.                        Accordingly, because

the defendants bear the burden of proof to show that CD 12 was

narrowly      tailored       to    further    a    compelling    interest,         and    the

defendants failed to carry that burden, the Court concludes that




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      Case 1:13-cv-00949-WO-JEP Document 142 Filed 02/05/16 Page 49 of 100
CD 12 is an unconstitutional racial gerrymander in violation of

the Equal Protection Clause of the Fourteenth Amendment.9

        The    defendants     do,      however,         point     to    two     compelling

interests for CD 1:               the interest in avoiding liability under

the         “results”      test     of      VRA         section        2(b)      and        the

“nonretrogression” principle of VRA section 5.                                Although the

Supreme Court has yet to decide whether VRA compliance is a

compelling         state   interest,       it    has    assumed    as     much       for    the

purposes of subsequent analyses.                   See, e.g., Shaw II, 517 U.S.

at 915 (“We assume, arguendo, for the purpose of resolving this

suit,       that    compliance      with    § 2     [of    the     VRA]       could    be     a

compelling         interest. . . .”);           Bush,    517    U.S.    at     977     (“[W]e

assume without deciding that compliance with the results test

[of the VRA] . . . can be a compelling state interest.”).                                   The

Court, therefore, will assume, arguendo, that compliance with

the VRA is a compelling state interest.                         Even with the benefit

of that assumption, the 2011 Congressional Redistricting Plan

does not survive strict scrutiny because the defendants did not

have a “strong basis in evidence” for concluding that creation


        9
       Even assuming, arguendo, that there was a compelling
interest under the VRA, the Court finds, for principally the
same reasons discussed in its analysis of CD 1, that the
defendants did not have a “strong basis in evidence” for
concluding that creation of a majority-minority district – CD 12
- was reasonably necessary to comply with the VRA. Alabama, 135
S. Ct. at 1274.


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      Case 1:13-cv-00949-WO-JEP Document 142 Filed 02/05/16 Page 50 of 100
of     a     majority-minority        district    –    CD   1   -    was    reasonably

necessary to comply with the VRA.                 Alabama, 135 S. Ct. at 1274.

Accordingly, the Court holds that CD 1 was not narrowly tailored

to achieve compliance with the VRA, and therefore fails strict

scrutiny.

                                            1.

                                            a.

        “The essence of a § 2 claim is that a certain electoral

law, practice, or structure interacts with social and historical

conditions to cause an inequality in the opportunities enjoyed

by      black       and     white     voters     to    elect        their     preferred

representatives.”           Thornburg v. Gingles, 478 U.S. 30, 47 (1986).

Section 2 of the VRA forbids state and local voting procedures

that “result[ ] in a denial or abridgement of the right of any

citizen of the United States to vote on account of race[.]”                         52

U.S.C. § 10301(a).              “Vote dilution claims involve challenges to

methods of electing representatives - like redistricting or at-

large        districts      -    as   having     the    effect       of     diminishing

minorities’ voting strength.”               League of Women Voters of N.C. v.

North Carolina, 769 F.3d 224, 239 (4th Cir. 2014); see also Shaw

II, 517 U.S. at 914 (“Our precedent establishes that a plaintiff

may        allege   a     § 2   violation      . . .   if   the     manipulation    of

districting lines fragments politically cohesive minority voters

among several districts or packs them into one district or a

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      Case 1:13-cv-00949-WO-JEP Document 142 Filed 02/05/16 Page 51 of 100
small      number     of     districts,        and        thereby       dilutes        the       voting

strength of members of the minority population.”).

          The question of voting discrimination vel non, including

vote       dilution,        is      determined            by     the         totality        of     the

circumstances.             Gingles, 478 U.S. at 43-46.                          Under Gingles,

however,       the     Court        does       not        reach        the     totality-of-the-

circumstances         test       unless     the      challenging         party     is        able    to

establish three preconditions.                      Id. at 50-51; see also Bartlett

v.     Strickland,          556     U.S.       1,     21        (2009)        (“[T]he        Gingles

requirements         are    preconditions,           consistent          with     the    text       and

purpose of § 2, to help courts determine which claims could meet

the        totality-of-the-circumstances                       standard          for         a      § 2

violation.”); Jenkins v. Red Clay Consol. Sch. Dist. Bd. of

Educ., 4 F.3d 1103, 1135 (3d Cir. 1993) (“[I]t will be only the

very unusual case in which the plaintiffs can establish the

existence of the three Gingles factors but still have failed to

establish       a      violation          of        § 2        under     the      totality           of

circumstances.”).

          Unlike cases such as Gingles, in which minority groups use

section 2 as a sword to challenge districting legislation, here

the Court is considering the general assembly’s use of section 2

as    a    shield.         The    general      assembly,          therefore,       must       have    a

“strong      basis     in        evidence”     for        finding       that     the     threshold

conditions for section 2 liability are present:                                   “first, ‘that

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[the minority group] is sufficiently large and geographically

compact to constitute a majority in a single member district’;

second, ‘that [the minority group] is politically cohesive’; and

third, ‘that the white majority votes sufficiently as a bloc to

enable     it    . . .       usually   to    defeat     the       minority’s      preferred

candidate.’”          Growe v. Emison, 507 U.S. 25, 40 (1993) (quoting

Gingles, 478 U.S. at 50–51).                 A failure to establish any one of

the Gingles factors is fatal to the defendants’ claim.                            Gingles,

478 U.S. at 50–51; see also Overton v. City of Austin, 871 F.2d

529, 538 (5th Cir. 1989).                   For the reasons stated below, the

Court finds that the defendants fail to show the third Gingles

factor, that the legislature had a “strong basis in evidence” of

racially polarized voting in CD 1 significant enough that the

white majority routinely votes as a bloc to defeat the minority

candidate of choice.

                                             b.

        “[R]acial       bloc    voting      . . .    never    can     be      assumed,    but

specifically          must     be   proved.”         Shaw    I,    509     U.S.    at    653.

Generalized          assumptions     about     the    “prevalence        of    racial    bloc

voting” do not qualify as a “strong basis in evidence.”                                 Bush,

517    U.S.     at    994    (O’Connor,      J.,     concurring).          Moreover,     the

analysis must be specific to CD 1.                     See Alabama, 135 S. Ct. at

1265.      Thus, evidence that racially polarized voting occurs in

pockets of other congressional districts in North Carolina does

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not suffice.       The rationale behind this principle is clear:

simply because “a legislature has strong basis in evidence for

concluding that a § 2 violation exists [somewhere] in the State”

does     not   permit   it   to   “draw     a    majority-minority        district

anywhere [in the state].”            Shaw II, 517 U.S. at 916–17 (“[The

argument] that the State may draw the district anywhere derives

from a misconception of the vote-dilution claim.               To accept that

the district may be placed anywhere implies that the claim, and

hence    the   coordinate    right   to   an     undiluted   vote   (to    cast   a

ballot equal among voters), belongs to the minority as a group

and not to its individual members.              It does not.”).

        Strikingly, there is no evidence that the general assembly

conducted or considered any sort of a particularized polarized-

voting analysis during the 2011 redistricting process for CD 1.

Dr. Hofeller testified that he did not do a polarized voting

analysis for CD 1 at the time he prepared the map.                    Trial Tr.

639:21-25 (Hofeller).        Further, there is no evidence “‘that the

white majority votes sufficiently as a bloc to enable it . . .

usually to defeat the minority’s preferred candidate.’”                    Growe,

507 U.S. at 40 (quoting Gingles, 478 U.S. at 51).                     In fact,

based on the defendants’ own admission, “African American voters

have been able to elect their candidates of choice in the First

District since the district was established in 1992.”                      Defs.’

Memo. of Law in Opp. to Pls.’ Mot. for Sum. J. (June 23, 2014),

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ECF No. 76, at 2, 8.             This admission, in the Court’s view, ends

the inquiry.          In the interest of completeness, the Court will

comment on an argument the defendants’ counsel made at trial and

in their posttrial brief.

        The defendants contend that there is some evidence that the

general assembly considered “two expert reports” that “found the

existence     of      racially    polarized     voting    in”    North    Carolina.

Defs.’ Findings of Fact, ECF No. 138 at 93.                     These generalized

reports, standing alone, do not constitute a “strong basis in

evidence” that the white majority votes as a bloc to defeat the

minority’s preferred candidate of choice in CD 1.                     Moreover, it

is not enough for the general assembly to simply nod to the

desired conclusion by claiming racially polarized voting showed

that African-Americans needed the ability to elect candidates of

their    choice       without    asserting    the   existence    of   a   necessary

premise:      that the white majority was actually voting as a bloc

to   defeat    the      minority’s    preferred     candidates.          See,   e.g.,

Rodriguez v. Pataki, 308 F. Supp. 2d 346, 438-39 (S.D.N.Y. 2004)

(rejecting       an    “analysis     [that]    examines    racially       polarized

voting without addressing the specifics of the third Gingles

factor, which requires white majority bloc voting that usually

defeats    the     [minority]-preferred        candidate”       and   noting    that

“[e]ven if there were racially polarized voting, the report does

not speak—one way or the other—to the effects of the polarized

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voting”), aff’d, 543 U.S. 997 (2004); Moon v. Meadows, 952 F.

Supp. 1141, 1149-50 (E.D. Va. 1997) (state could not justify

redistricting plan under section 2 where “white bloc voting does

not prevent blacks from electing their candidates of choice” as

“black candidates . . . were elected despite the absence of a

black        majority    district”).               “Unless     [this]    point[]     [is]

established,       there       neither    has      been    a    wrong   nor    can   be   a

remedy.”       Growe, 507 U.S. at 40.

        Contrary    to     the    defendants’         unfounded      contentions,     the

composition and election results under earlier versions of CD 1

vividly demonstrate that, though not previously a majority-BVAP

district, the white majority did not vote as a bloc to defeat

African-Americans’ candidate of choice.                        In fact, precisely the

opposite occurred in these two districts:                       significant crossover

voting by white voters supported the African-American candidate.

See    Strickland,       556     U.S.    at   24    (“In     areas   with     substantial

crossover voting it is unlikely that the plaintiffs would be

able to establish the third Gingles precondition – bloc voting

by majority voters” and thus “[i]n those areas majority-minority

districts would not be required in the first place”).10                               The


        10
        The defendants’ reliance on Strickland is misplaced.   A
plurality in Strickland held that section 2 did not require
states to draw election-district lines to allow a racial
minority that would make up less than 50 percent of the voting
age population in the new district to join with crossover voters


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suggestion       that       the     VRA     would     somehow   require        racial

balkanization where, as here, citizens have not voted as racial

blocs, where crossover voting has naturally occurred, and where

a majority-minority district is created in blatant disregard for

fundamental redistricting principles is absurd and stands the

VRA on its head.                As the defendants fail to meet the third

Gingles      factor,      the    Court    concludes   that   section     2    did   not

require the defendants to create a majority-minority district in

CD 1.

                                            2.

        Turning to consider the defendants’ section 5 defense, the

Supreme      Court   has    repeatedly      struck    down   redistricting      plans

that were not narrowly tailored to the goal of avoiding “‘a

retrogression in the position of racial minorities with respect

to their effective exercise of the electoral franchise.’”                       Bush,

517 U.S. at 983 (quoting Miller, 515 U.S. at 926); see also Shaw

II,    517   U.S.    at    915–18    (concluding      that   districts       were   not


to elect the minority’s candidate of choice.      556 U.S. at 25
(plurality). That is, section 2 does not compel the creation of
crossover districts wherever possible.    This is a far cry from
saying that states must create majority-BVAP districts wherever
possible - in fact, the case stands for the opposite
proposition:   “Majority-minority districts are only required if
all three Gingles factors are met and if § 2 applies based on a
totality of the circumstances.” Id. at 24 (emphasis added). As
extensively discussed, the general assembly did not have a
“strong basis in evidence” to conclude that the threshold
conditions for section 2 liability were present.


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narrowly tailored to comply with the VRA).                         Indeed, “the [VRA]

and our case law make clear that a reapportionment plan that

satisfies § 5 still may be enjoined as unconstitutional,” as

section 5 does not “give covered jurisdictions carte blanche to

engage      in         racial       gerrymandering           in         the      name      of

nonretrogression.”              Shaw      I,     509      U.S.     at     654–55.          “A

reapportionment plan would not be narrowly tailored to the goal

of avoiding retrogression if the State went beyond what was

reasonably necessary to avoid retrogression.”                             Id.      Applying

that principle below, it is clear that CD 1 is not narrowly

tailored to the avoidance of section 5 liability.

                                           a.

        In Alabama, the Supreme Court made clear that section 5

“does     not     require       a   covered       jurisdiction          to      maintain    a

particular numerical minority percentage.”                        135 S. Ct. at 1272.

Rather, section 5 requires legislatures to ask the following

question:        “To what extent must we preserve existing minority

percentages in order to maintain the minority’s present ability

to elect its candidate of choice?”                     Id. at 1274.           There is no

evidence        that    the     general        assembly     asked        this     question.

Instead, the general assembly directed Dr. Hofeller to create CD

1 as a majority-BVAP district; there was no consideration of why

the general assembly should create such a district.




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        While the Court “do[es] not insist that a legislature guess

precisely    what        percentage      reduction          a    court    or   the    Justice

Department    might          eventually       find     to       be    retrogressive,”     the

legislature must have a “strong basis in evidence” for its use

of racial classifications.                Id. at 1273–74.                Specifically, the

Supreme     Court      noted     that     it    would       be       inappropriate     for   a

legislature       to     “rel[y]   heavily          upon    a    mechanically      numerical

view as to what counts as forbidden retrogression.”                                   Id. at

1273.      That     is       precisely    what      occurred          here:    the    general

assembly established a mechanical BVAP target for CD 1 of 50

percent     plus       one    person,     as    opposed          to    conducting     a   more

sophisticated analysis of racial voting patterns in CD 1 to

determine    to     what       extent    it    must    preserve         existing     minority

percentages to maintain the minority’s present ability to elect

its candidate of choice.            See id. at 1274.

                                               b.

        Although CD 1 has been an extraordinarily safe district for

African-American preferred candidates of choice for over twenty

years, the 2011 Congressional Redistricting Plan increased CD

1’s BVAP from 47.76 percent to 52.65 percent.                             Despite the fact

that African-Americans did not make up a majority of the voting-

age population in CD 1, African-American preferred candidates

easily and repeatedly won reelection under earlier congressional

plans, including the 2001 benchmark plan.                              Representative Eva

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Clayton   prevailed      in    CD       1    in    1998        and    2000,       for    instance,

winning 62 percent and 66 percent of the vote, respectively.

Pls.’ Ex. 112.          Indeed, African-American preferred candidates

prevailed    with      remarkable           consistency,             winning      at     least       59

percent of the vote under each of the five general elections

under the benchmark version of CD 1.                        Id.       In 2010, Congressman

Butterfield won 59 percent of the vote, while in 2012 – under

the redistricting plan at issue here – he won by an even larger

margin, receiving 75 percent of the vote.                            Id.

     In this respect, the legislature’s decision to increase the

BVAP of CD 1 is similar to the redistricting plan invalidated by

the Supreme Court in Bush.                   See 517 U.S. at 983.                       In Bush, a

plurality of the Supreme Court held that increasing the BVAP

from 35.1 percent to 50.9 percent was not narrowly tailored

because   the    state’s      interest           in    avoiding        retrogression            in   a

district where African–American voters had successfully elected

their representatives of choice for two decades did not justify

“substantial      augmentation”             of     the      BVAP.            Id.          Such       an

augmentation     could     not    be        narrowly       tailored          to    the    goal       of

complying    with      section      5       because        there       was     “no      basis    for

concluding      that    the      increase             to   a     50.9%       African–American

population . . . was necessary to ensure nonretrogression.”                                      Id.

“Nonretrogression is not a license for the State to do whatever

it deems necessary to ensure continued electoral success; it

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merely     mandates    that       the        minority’s        opportunity     to     elect

representatives of its choice not be diminished, directly or

indirectly,    by     the   State’s          actions.”         Id.   While     the     BVAP

increase here is smaller than that in Bush, the principle is the

same.       Defendants      show        no    basis      for     concluding     that    an

augmentation    of     CD   1’s    BVAP        to   52.65      percent   was    narrowly

tailored when the district had been a safe district for African-

American preferred candidates of choice for over two decades.

        In sum, the legislators had no basis - let alone a strong

basis - to believe that an inflexible racial floor of 50 percent

plus one person was necessary in CD 1.                      This quota was used to

assign voters to CD 1 based on the color of their skin.                             “Racial

classifications of any sort pose the risk of lasting harm to our

society.     They reinforce the belief, held by too many for too

much of our history, that individuals should be judged by the

color of their skin.”         Shaw I, 509 U.S. at 657.

        For these reasons, the Court finds that CD 1 cannot survive

strict scrutiny.        Accordingly, the Court is compelled to hold

that CD 1 violates the Equal Protection Clause of the Fourteenth

Amendment.



                                             III.

        Having found that the 2011 Congressional Redistricting Plan

violates the Equal Protection Clause, the Court now addresses

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the     appropriate       remedy.            Plaintiffs      have   requested    that    we

“determine        and    order      a    valid        plan    for     new   congressional

districts.”        Compl., ECF No. 1 at 19.                   Nevertheless, the Court

is conscious of the powerful concerns for comity involved in

interfering with the state’s legislative responsibilities.                              As

the Supreme Court has repeatedly recognized, “redistricting and

reapportioning legislative bodies is a legislative task which

the federal courts should make every effort not to pre-empt.”

Wise, 437 U.S. at 539.                  As such, it is “appropriate, whenever

practicable,        to     afford        a     reasonable      opportunity      for     the

legislature to meet constitutional requirements by adopting a

substitute measure rather than for the federal court to devise

. . . its own plan.”             Id. at 540.              Under North Carolina law,

courts     must    give    legislatures          at    least    two    weeks   to   remedy

defects identified in a redistricting plan.                         See N.C. Gen. Stat.

§ 120-2.4.

        The Court also recognizes that individuals in CD 1 and CD

12 whose constitutional rights have been injured by improper

racial gerrymandering have suffered significant harm.                                “Those

citizens ‘are entitled to vote as soon as possible for their

representatives          under   a      constitutional         apportionment        plan.’”

Page, 2015 WL 3604029, at *18 (quoting Cosner v. Dalton, 522 F.

Supp. 350, 364 (E.D. Va. 1981)).                        Therefore, the Court will

require that new districts be drawn within two weeks of the

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entry of this opinion to remedy the unconstitutional districts.

In    accordance        with    well-established               precedent          that    a      state

should have       the     first      opportunity          to    create       a    constitutional

redistricting plan,            see,    e.g.,     Wise,         437    U.S.       at    539-40,     the

Court allows the legislature until February 19, 2016, to enact a

remedial districting plan.



                                              IV.

        Because the plaintiffs have shown that race predominated in

CD    1   and     CD     12     of    North         Carolina's            2011        Congressional

Redistricting Plan,            and because the defendants have                           failed     to

establish       that    this    race-based          redistricting            satisfies        strict

scrutiny,        the     Court        finds     that           the        2011        Congressional

Redistricting          Plan    is    unconstitutional,               and    will       require     the

North     Carolina      General       Assembly       to    draw       a    new        congressional

district plan.          A final judgment accompanies this opinion.

                                                                                        SO ORDERED.




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COGBURN, District Judge, concurring:

        I   fully    concur      with     Judge       Gregory’s    majority    opinion.

Since the issue before the court was created by gerrymandering,

and based on the evidence received at trial, I write only to

express     my    concerns       about    how     unfettered       gerrymandering      is

negatively impacting our republican form of government.

        Voters should choose their representatives.                         Mitchell N.

Berman, Managing Gerrymandering, 83 Tex. L. Rev. 781 (2005).

This is the “core principle of republican government.”                         Id.     To

that end, the operative clause of Article I, § 4 of the United

States Constitution, the Elections Clause, gives to the states

the power of determining how congressional representatives are

chosen:

             The Times, Places and Manner of holding Elections
        for Senators and Representatives, shall be prescribed
        in each State by the Legislature thereof; but the
        Congress may at any time by Law make or alter such
        Regulations, except as to the places of chusing
        Senators.

U.S.     Const.     art.    I,   § 4,    cl.     1.      As   redistricting        through

political gerrymander rather than reliance on natural boundaries

and     communities        has   become     the       tool    of   choice    for    state

legislatures         in      drawing        congressional          boundaries,         the

fundamental         principle        of        the      voters      choosing         their

representative has nearly vanished.                       Instead, representatives

choose their voters.

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       Indeed, we heard compelling testimony from Congressman G.

K. Butterfield (CD 1) and former Congressman Mel Watt (CD 12)

that    the    configuration         of    CD     1    and    CD   12     made    it    nearly

impossible for them to travel to all the communities comprising

their     districts.           Not      only      has        political     gerrymandering

interfered with voters selecting their representatives, it has

interfered with the representatives meeting with those voters.

In at least one state, Arizona, legislative overuse of political

gerrymandering in redistricting has caused the people to take

congressional redistricting away from the legislature and place

such     power     in     an      independent          congressional           redistricting

commission,       an     action      that       recently        passed     constitutional

muster.          See      Ariz.      State      Legislature          v.        Ariz.    Indep.

Redistricting Comm’n, ___ U.S. ___, 135 S. Ct. 2652, 192 L. Ed.

2d 704 (2015).

       Redistricting through political gerrymandering is nothing

new.     Starting in the year the Constitution was ratified, 1788,

state legislatures have used the authority under the Elections

Clause    to     redraw    congressional          boundaries         in    a    manner    that

favored the majority party.               For example, in 1788, Patrick Henry

persuaded        the     Virginia       legislature           to    remake        its    Fifth

Congressional          District    to     force       Henry’s      political      foe    James

Madison to run against James Monroe.                         Madison won in spite of

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this,    but    the   game      playing       had    begun.       In      1812,    Governor

Elbridge      Gerry   signed     a     bill    redistricting         Massachusetts         to

benefit his party with one district so contorted that it was

said    to    resemble   a    salamander,           forever    giving      such    type    of

redistricting the name gerrymander.                        Thus, for more than 200

years,       gerrymandering      has    been       the    default    in    congressional

redistricting.

        Elections should be decided through a contest of issues,

not skillful mapmaking.              Today, modern computer mapping allows

for gerrymandering on steroids as political mapmakers can easily

identify      individual     registrations           on    a   house-by-house         basis,

mapping their way to victory.                      As was seen in Arizona State

Legislature,      supra,     however,     gerrymandering            may    well     have   an

expiration date as the Supreme Court has found that the term

“legislature” in the Elections Clause is broad enough to include

independent congressional redistricting commissions.                            135 S. Ct.

at 2673.

        To be certain, gerrymandering is not employed by just one

of     the    major   political        parties.            Historically,        the    North

Carolina Legislature has been dominated by Democrats who wielded

the gerrymander exceptionally well.                        Indeed, CD 12 runs its

circuitous      route    from    Charlotte          to    Greensboro      and     beyond   --

thanks in great part to a state legislature then controlled by

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Democrats.      It is a district so contorted and contrived that the

United States Courthouse in Charlotte, where this concurrence

was written, is five blocks within its boundary, and the United

States Courthouse in Greensboro, where the trial was held, is

five blocks outside the same district, despite being more than

90     miles    apart    and      located    in     separate   federal   judicial

districts.      How a voter can know who their representative is or

how a representative can meet with those pocketed voters is

beyond comprehension.

       While redistricting to protect the party that controls the

state legislature is constitutionally permitted and lawful, it

is in disharmony with fundamental values upon which this country

was founded.         “[T]he true principle of a republic is, that the

people should choose whom they please to govern them.”                       Powell

v. McCormack, 395 U.S. 486, 540–41, 89 S. Ct. 1944, 23 L. Ed. 2d

491 (1969) (quoting Alexander Hamilton, 2 Debates on the Federal

Constitution 257 (J. Elliot ed. 1876)).                   Beyond taking offense

at the affront to democracy caused by gerrymandering, courts

will     not,    however,        interfere       with   gerrymandering   that    is

philosophically rather than legally wrong.                  As has been seen in

Arizona, it is left to the people of the state to decide whether

they    wish    to      select     their     representatives     or   have    their

representatives                                  select                       them.

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OSTEEN, JR., District Judge, concurring in part and dissenting
                             in part:

        I concur with the majority in finding that Plaintiffs have

met     their     burden    of       proving      that     race    predominated       in    the

drawing      of     North       Carolina’s             First    Congressional        District

(“CD 1”)     and    that        Defendants         have    failed    to     show    that    the

legislature’s use of race in the drawing of that district was

narrowly tailored to serve a compelling governmental interest.

I also concur with the majority with respect to North Carolina’s

Twelfth Congressional District (“CD 12”) in that, if race was a

predominant       factor,       Defendants         did    not     meet    their    burden    to

prove that CD 12 was narrowly tailored to serve a compelling

state     interest.         However,         I     respectfully          dissent    from    the

majority     in    that     I       find   that    Plaintiffs       have    not    met   their

burden of proving that race predominated in the drawing of CD

12.     As a result, I conclude that the district is subject to and

passes the rational basis test and is constitutional.                               I differ

with the well-reasoned opinion of my colleagues only as to the

degree to which race was a factor in the drawing of CD 12.

I.      CONGRESSIONAL DISTRICT I

        With respect to my concurring opinion, I only add that I do

not find, as Plaintiffs have contended, that this legislative

effort     constitutes          a    “flagrant”         violation    of     the    Fourteenth

Amendment.        The majority opinion makes clear that bad faith is
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not necessary in order to find a violation.                  (Maj. Op. at 4.)

Although Plaintiffs argued that the actions of the legislature

stand in “flagrant” violation of Fourteenth Amendment principles

(See Pls.’ Trial Br. (Doc. 109) at 7.), Plaintiffs also conceded

at trial they did not seek to prove any ill-intent.                  (Trial Tr.

at   16:20-25.)      Nevertheless,     I   wish   to   emphasize      that   the

evidence does not suggest a flagrant violation.                  Instead, the

legislature’s      redistricting     efforts      reflect      the    difficult

exercise in judgment necessary to comply with section 5 of the

Voting Rights Act (“VRA”) in 2010, prior to the Supreme Court’s

decision in Shelby County v. Holder, ____ U.S. ____, 133 S. Ct.

2612 (2013).      Shelby struck down as unconstitutional the formula

created under section 4 of the VRA and, resultingly, removed

those covered jurisdictions from section 5.            Id.

       In Shelby, the Supreme Court recognized the success of the

VRA.    Id. at 2626 (“The [Voting Rights] Act has proved immensely

successful at redressing racial discrimination and integrating

the voting process.”).         However, the Court also described its

concern with an outdated section 4 formula and the restrictions

of section 5:

       Yet the Act has not eased the restrictions in § 5 or
       narrowed the scope of the coverage formula in § 4(b)
       along the way.  Those extraordinary and unprecedented
       features were reauthorized — as if nothing had
       changed.   In fact, the Act’s unusual remedies have
       grown even stronger.  When Congress reauthorized the
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     Act in 2006, it did so for another 25 years on top of
     the previous 40 — a far cry from the initial five-year
     period.    Congress also expanded the prohibitions in
     § 5.   We had previously interpreted § 5 to prohibit
     only those redistricting plans that would have the
     purpose or effect of worsening the position of
     minority groups.     In 2006, Congress amended § 5 to
     prohibit laws that could have favored such groups but
     did not do so because of a discriminatory purpose,
     even though we had stated that such broadening of § 5
     coverage would “exacerbate the substantial federalism
     costs that the preclearance procedure already exacts,
     perhaps to the extent of raising concerns about § 5’s
     constitutionality.”     In addition, Congress expanded
     § 5 to prohibit any voting law “that has the purpose
     of or will have the effect of diminishing the ability
     of any citizens of the United States,” on account of
     race, color, or language minority status, “to elect
     their preferred candidates of choice.”     In light of
     those   two    amendments,    the  bar   that   covered
     jurisdictions must clear has been raised even as the
     conditions     justifying    that   requirement    have
     dramatically improved.

Shelby   Cnty.,    133   S.   Ct.   at   2626-27   (internal    citations

omitted).

     Although no court has held that compliance with section 5

is a compelling state interest, the Supreme Court has generally

assumed without deciding that is the case.           See Bush v. Vera,

517 U.S. 952, 977 (1996); Shaw v. Hunt, 517 U.S. 899, 915 (1996)

(“Shaw II”).      Compliance with section 5 was, in my opinion, at

least a substantial concern to the North Carolina legislature in

2011, a concern made difficult by the fact that, at least by

2013 and likely by 2010, see Nw. Austin Mun. Util. Dist. No. 1

v. Holder, 557 U.S. 193 (2009), coverage was “based on decades-


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old      data     and     eradicated       practices”      yet       had     expanded

prohibitions.         Shelby, 133 S. Ct. at 2617.

        As a result, while I agree with my colleagues that CD 1, as

drawn, violates the Fourteenth Amendment, I do not find that

violation to be flagrant, as argued by Plaintiffs.                         (See Pls.’

Trial     Brief   (Doc.    109)     at   7.)    Instead,   I     simply      find   the

violation as to CD 1 to be the result of an ultimately failed

attempt at the very difficult task of achieving constitutionally

compliant redistricting while at the same time complying with

section     5   and     receiving    preclearance   from    the      Department     of

Justice.        In drawing legislative districts, the Department of

Justice and other legislatures have historically made similar

mistakes in their attempts to apply the VRA.                         See generally,

e.g., Ala. Legislative Black Caucus v. Alabama, ____ U.S. ____,

135 S. Ct. 1257 (2015); Miller v. Johnson, 515 U.S. 900 (1995);

Shaw v. Reno, 509 U.S. 630 (1993) (“Shaw I”); Page v. Va. State

Bd. of Elections, Civil Action No. 3:13cv678, 2015 WL 3604029

(E.D. Va. June 5, 2015).                 Further, the difficult exercise of

judgment involved in the legislature’s efforts to draw these

districts is reflected in the differing conclusions reached by

this court and the North Carolina Supreme Court.                      See generally

Dickson v. Rucho, No. 201PA12-3, 2015 WL 9261836 (N.C. Dec. 18,

2015).       Contrary      to   Plaintiffs’     suggestion,      I    find    nothing

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flagrant or nefarious as to the legislature’s efforts here, even

though I agree that CD 1 was improperly drawn using race as a

predominant factor without sufficient justification.

II.     CONGRESSIONAL DISTRICT 12

        Turning   to   my   dissent   regarding     whether      Plaintiffs   have

carried their burden of showing that race was the dominant and

controlling consideration in drawing CD 12, a brief history of

redistricting efforts in the state will provide helpful context

to the current situation.             In 1991, North Carolina enacted a

Congressional      Districting    Plan      with    a   single    majority-black

district — the 1991 version of CD 1.                The 1991 version of CD 1

was     a   majority    single-race-black          district      in   both    total

population and voting age population (”VAP”).                    The State filed

for preclearance from the Department of Justice for the 1991

plan under section 5 of the VRA, and there was no objection to

the 1991 version of CD 1 specifically.              See Shaw II, 517 U.S. at

902, 912; (Defs.’ Ex. 126, Tab 1, “Section 5 Submission for 1991

Congressional      Redistricting      Plan”.)        There    was,    however,   a

preclearance objection to the 1991 Congressional Plan overall

because of the State’s failure to create a second majority-

minority district running from the southcentral to southeastern

region of the State.        Shaw II, 517 U.S. at 902, 912.




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        As a result of this objection, the General Assembly drew a

new     Congressional            Plan    in    1992.      The     1992       plan    included    a

different version of CD 1 that was majority minority but did not

include any portion of Durham County.                       The General Assembly also

created        a        second    majority-minority             district       (CD    12)     that

stretched          from     Mecklenburg          County    to     Forsyth       and     Guilford

Counties and then all the way into Durham County.                                   The Attorney

General did not interpose an objection to the 1992 Congressional

Plan.

        Under the 1992 Congressional Plan, CD 12 was drawn with a

single-race total black population of 56.63% and a single-race

black VAP (“BVAP”) of 53.34%.                          (Defs.’ Ex. 126, Tab 2, “1992

Congressional Base Plan #10”; Defs.’ Ex. 4.1A; Defs.’ Ex. 4.)

Under     a    mathematical             test    for    measuring       the    compactness       of

districts called the “Reock” test (also known as the dispersion

test), the 1992 CD 12 had a compactness score of 0.05.                                      (Trial

Tr. at 351:24-352:16.)

        The 1992 districts were subsequently challenged under the

VRA,     and       in    Shaw    I,     the    Supreme    Court       found    that    the   1992

versions of CD 1 and 12 were racial gerrymanders in violation of

the Fourteenth Amendment.                      509 U.S. 630 (1993).             The case was

remanded       for       further      proceedings.        Id.    On    appeal       again    after

remand, in Shaw II, the Supreme Court again found that the 1992

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version of CD 12 constituted a racial gerrymander.                               517 U.S. at

906.

        Following       the    decision    in      Shaw        II,   in   1997    the    North

Carolina       General       Assembly    enacted         new    versions    of    CD     1    and

CD 12.        The 1997 version of CD 12 was drawn with a black total

population of 46.67% and a black VAP of 43.36%.                                  (Defs.’ Ex.

126, Tab 3, “97 House/Senate Plan A”.)

        The      plan   was     yet   again        challenged        in   court,       and     in

Cromartie v. Hunt, 34 F. Supp. 2d 1029 (E.D.N.C. 1998) (three-

judge court), rev’d, 526 U.S. 541 (1999) (“Cromartie I”), a

three-judge panel held on summary judgment that the 1997 version

of CD 12 also constituted a racial gerrymander in violation of

the Fourteenth Amendment, although the decision was reversed by

the Supreme Court on appeal.

        On remand, the district court again found the 1997 version

of     CD   12    to    be    an   unconstitutional             racial     gerrymander         in

violation of the Fourteenth Amendment, Cromartie v. Hunt, 133 F.

Supp. 2d 407 (E.D.N.C. 2000) (three-judge court), a ruling that

the    State      again      appealed,    Hunt      v.    Cromartie,       529    U.S.       1014

(2000).       The Supreme Court reversed the district court, finding

that politics, not race, was the predominant motive for the




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district.      Easley v. Cromartie, 532 U.S. 234 (2001) (“Cromartie

II”).1

        In 2001, the North Carolina General Assembly enacted the

Congress Zero Deviation Plan for redistricting based upon the

2000 Census (“2001 Congressional Plan”).             (Defs.’ Ex. 126, Tab

5,    “Congress    Zero   Deviation     2000   Census”;   Defs.’   Ex.    4.4A;

Defs.’ Ex. 4.4.)

        Under the 2000 Census, the 2001 version of CD 12 was drawn

with a single-race black total population of 45.02% and an any-

part black total population of 45.75%.            (Pls.’ Ex. 80.)        Single-

race black VAP was 42.31% and any-part black VAP was 42.81%.

(Id.)

        In every election held in CD 12 between 1992 and 2010,

without     exception,    the   African-American    candidate      of   choice,

Congressman Mel Watt, prevailed with no less than 55.95% of the

vote, regardless of whether the black VAP in CD 12 exceeded 50%,

and     regardless   of   any   other   characteristic    of   any      specific


        1
       They reversed the trial court despite evidence such as:
(1) the legislature’s statement in its 1997 DOJ preclearance
submission that it drew the 1997 CD 12 with a high enough
African-American population to “provide a fair opportunity for
incumbent Congressman Watt to win election”; (2) the admission
at trial that the General Assembly had considered race in
drawing CD 12; and (3) the district court’s rejection of
evidence that the high level of black population in CD 12 was
sheer happenstance.


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election, demonstrating clearly that African-Americans did not

require a majority of the VAP to elect their chosen candidate.

The relevant election results are set forth in the following

table:

                       Twelfth Congressional District
                                 Election
                       Results and Black Voting
                                     Percent
                    Year   BVAP      of Vote      Candidate
                    1992   53.34%    70.37%       Mel Watt
                    1994   53.34%    65.80%       Mel Watt
                    1996   53.34%    71.48%       Mel Watt
                    1998   32.56%    55.95%       Mel Watt
                    2000   43.36%    65.00%       Mel Watt
                    2002   42.31%    65.34%       Mel Watt
                    2004   42.31%    66.82%       Mel Watt
                    2006   42.31%    67.00%       Mel Watt
                    2008   42.31%    71.55%       Mel Watt
                    2010   42.31%    63.88%       Mel Watt
        A.   The 2011 Redistricting Process

        Following    the    2010     Census,       Senator    Robert    Rucho    and

Representative David Lewis were appointed chairs of the Senate

and House Redistricting Committees, respectively, on January 27,

2011,    and   February     15,     2011.         (See   Parties’   Joint   Factual

Stipulation (Doc. 125) ¶ 3.)

        Jointly,    Senator       Rucho     and     Representative     Lewis    were

responsible for developing a proposed congressional map based

upon the 2010 Census.             (Id.)     Under the 2010 Census, the 2001


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version of CD 12 was overpopulated by 2,847 people, or 0.39%.

(Defs.’ Ex. 4.5 at 3.)

        They hired Dr. Thomas Hofeller to be the architect of the

2011 plan, and he began working under the direction of Senator

Rucho and Representative Lewis in December 2010.2                           Senator Rucho

and Representative Lewis were the sole source of instructions

for    Dr.   Hofeller      regarding     the      criteria      for       the   design    and

construction of the 2011 congressional maps.

        Throughout       June   and    July       of    2011,      Senator      Rucho     and

Representative       Lewis      released      a   series      of    public      statements

describing, among other things, the criteria that they had used

to    draw   the    proposed     congressional          plan.        As    Senator      Rucho

explained at the July 21, 2011 joint meeting of the Senate and

House Redistricting Committees, those public statements “clearly

delineated”        the   “entire      criteria”        that   were    established         and

“what areas [they] were looking at that were going to be in

compliance with what the Justice Department expected [them] to

do as part of [their] submission.”                      (Pls.’ Ex. 136 at 29:2-9

(7/21/11 Joint Committee Meeting transcript).)



        2
       Dr. Hofeller had served as Redistricting Coordinator for
the Republican National Committee for the 1990, 2000, and 2010
redistricting cycles. (See Trial Tr. at 577:1-23 (Testimony of
Dr. Thomas Hofeller).)


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       B.       The Factors Used to Draw CD 123

       On July 1, 2011, Senator Rucho and Representative Lewis

made public the first version of their proposed congressional

plan, Rucho-Lewis Congress 1, along with a statement explaining

the rationale for the map.                Specifically with regard to CD 12,

Senator Rucho and Representative Lewis noted that although the

2001 benchmark version of CD 12 was “not a Section 2 majority

black district,” there “is one county in the Twelfth District

that       is    covered     by    Section     5       of    the   Voting   Rights    Act

(Guilford).”         (Pls.’ Ex. 67 at 5.)              Therefore, “[b]ecause of the

presence of Guilford County in CD 12, we have drawn our proposed

Twelfth District at a black voting age level that is above the

percentage of black voting age population found in the current

Twelfth         District.”        (Id.)      Although        the   proposed   map    went

through         several    iterations,    CD      12    remained    largely   unchanged

from       Rucho-Lewis       1    throughout           the    redistricting    process.

(Compare Defs.’ Ex. 4.7 (Rucho Lewis 1), with Defs.’ Ex. 4.11

(Rucho Lewis 3).)



       3
        CD 12 contains pieces of six counties: Mecklenburg,
Cabarrus, Rowan, Davidson, Forsyth, and Guilford. A line of
precincts running through Cabarrus, Rowan, and Davidson counties
connects population centers in Mecklenburg (Charlotte), Forsyth
(Winston Salem), and Guilford (Greensboro). CD 12 splits
thirteen cities and towns. (Pls.’ Ex. 17 ¶ 17.)


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     It is clear from both this statement and the record that

race was, at the very least, one consideration in how CD 12 was

drawn.     These instructions apparently came, at least in part,

from concerns about obtaining preclearance from the DOJ.                   (See

Trial Tr. at 645:4-20 (Dr. Hofeller:          “[M]y understanding of the

issue was because Guilford was a Section 5 county and because

there was a substantial African-American population in Guilford

County, . . . that it could endanger the plan” unless Guilford

County was moved into CD 12.); see also Pls.’ Ex. 129 (Hofeller

Dep. 75:13-16) (“So in order to be cautious and draw a plan that

would pass muster under the VRA it was decided to reunite the

black community in Guilford County into the 12th.”).)                 Testimony

was elicited at trial that Dr. Hofeller was in fact told to

consider    placing    the    African-American    population     of    Guilford

County     into   CD   12    because   Guilford   County   was    a     covered

jurisdiction under section 5 of the VRA.               (See Trial Tr. at

608:19-24 (Dr. Hofeller “was instructed [not] to use race in any

form [in drawing CD 12] except perhaps with regard to Guilford

County” (emphasis added)).)4

     4
       I share the majority’s concern over the fact that much of
the communication regarding the redistricting instructions given
to Dr. Hofeller were provided orally rather than in writing or
by email. (Maj. Op. at 11.) As a result, the process used to
draw CD 12 is not particularly transparent in several critical
areas.

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   Case 1:13-cv-00949-WO-JEP Document 142 Filed 02/05/16 Page 79 of 100
        That race was at least present as a concern in the General

Assembly’s mind is further confirmed when looking to the General

Assembly’s       2011    preclearance       submission    to    the   Department    of

Justice.        There it explained that it drew “District 12 as an

African-American and very strong Democratic district that has

continually elected a Democratic African American since 1992,”

and also noted that CD 12 had been drawn to protect “African-

American voters in Guilford and Forsyth.”                      (Pls.’ Ex. 74 at 15

(emphasis added).)

        The   DOJ    preclearance       submission    also     explained    that   the

General Assembly had drawn CD 12 in such a way to mitigate

concerns over the fact that “in 1992 the Justice Department had

objected to the 1991 Congressional Plan because of a failure by

the     State       to   create     a   second    majority-minority          district

combining the African-American community in Mecklenburg County

with African American and Native American voters residing in

south central and southeastern North Carolina.”                       (Id. at 14.)

The     preclearance       submission       further   stated      that     “the    2011

version [of CD 12] maintains and in fact increases the African

American      community’s         ability    to   elect      their    candidate      of

choice.”        (Id. at 15.)       I note that I interpret this statement

slightly differently from the majority.                   (See Maj. Op. at 36).

I conclude that this statement describes one result of how the

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new district was drawn, rather than the weight a particular

factor was given in how to draw the district in the first place.

Essentially, I would find this statement is an explanation by

legislature that because they chose to add Guilford County back

into CD 12, the district ended up with an increased ability to

elect African- American candidates, rather than the legislature

explaining that they chose to add Guilford County back into CD

12 because of the results that addition created.

        However, while it is clear that race was a concern, it is

also clear that race was not the only concern with CD 12.                 In

their     July   19,   2011   Joint    Statement,   Senator   Rucho       and

Representative Lewis stated that the version of CD 12 in Rucho-

Lewis Congress 2, the second map that they put forward, was

based upon the 1997 and 2001 versions of that district and that

the 2011 version was again drawn by the legislative leaders

based upon political considerations.         According to them, CD 12

was drawn to maintain that district as a “very strong Democratic

district . . . based upon whole precincts that voted heavily for

President Obama in the 2008 General Election.”           (Defs.’ Ex. 72

at 40-44 “19 July Joint Statement” (noting that the co-chairs

also “[understood] that districts adjoining the Twelfth District

[would] be more competitive for Republican candidates”); Trial




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Tr. at 491:2-493:13; Defs.’ Ex. 26.1 at 21-22, Maps 2 and 3.)5

The     co-chairs       stated       that    by     making    CD     12    a   very      strong

Democratic           district,       adjoining           districts        would     be     more

competitive for Republicans.                 (Id.)

        Further,       Dr.    Hofeller       testified      that     he   constructed      the

2011        version    of    CD     12     based    upon     whole    Voting      Tabulation

Districts (“VTDs”) in which President Obama received the highest

vote totals during the 2008 Presidential Election, indicating

that political lean was a primary factor.                          (Trial Tr. at 495:20-

496:5, 662:12-17.)                The only information on the computer screen

used by Dr. Hofeller in selecting VTDs for inclusion in the CD

12 was the percentage by which President Obama won or lost a

particular           VTD.         (Trial     Tr.    at     495:20-496:5,          662:12-17.)

Dr. Hofeller has also stated that there was no racial data on

the    screen        when    he    constructed      the     district,      providing      some

support        for     the    conclusion          that     racial    concerns       did    not

predominate over politics.                 (Trial Tr. at 526:3-11.)

        Although       Plaintiffs          argue    that     the     primary      difference

between the 2001 and 2011 versions of CD 12 is the increase in

        5
        The use of election results from the 2008 presidential
election was the subject of some dispute at trial.      However,
regardless of the merits of either position, I find nothing to
suggest those election results should not be properly considered
in   political  issues  or   political  leanings   as  described
hereinafter.


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      Case 1:13-cv-00949-WO-JEP Document 142 Filed 02/05/16 Page 82 of 100
black       VAP,       allegedly      due   to   the      predominance           of    race    as    a

factor,          Defendants      contend       that   by    increasing           the    number      of

Democratic             voters   in    the   2011      version     of       CD    12    located      in

Mecklenburg and Guilford Counties, the 2011 Congressional Plan

created          districts      that    were     more      competitive          for    Republican

candidates as compared to the 2001 versions of these districts,

including Congressional Districts 6, 8, 9, and 13, a stated goal

of the redistricting chairs.                       (See Trial Tr. at 491:2-495:19;

Defs.’ Ex. 26.1 at 22-23, maps 2 and 3; Defs.’ Ex. 126, Tab 6,

Tab     12.)6           Defendants      argue      that    the    principal            differences

between the 2001 and 2011 versions of CD 12 are that the 2011

version:           (1) adds more strong Democratic voters located in

Mecklenburg             and    Guilford     Counties;       (2)   adds          more   Democratic

voters to the 2011 version of CD 5 because it was able to accept

additional             Democrats       while     remaining        a        strong      Republican

district; (3) removes Democratic voters from the 2011 CD 6 in

Guilford County and places them in the 2001 CD 12; and (4)

removes Republican voters who had formerly been assigned to the

2001        CD    12    from    the    corridor       counties        of    Cabarrus,         Rowan,


        6
       Plaintiffs did not dispute persuasively that CD 5, CD 6,
CD 8, and CD 13 became more competitive for Republican
candidates. Dr. Stephen Ansolabehere’s analysis was limited to
movement into and out of CD 12, without regard to the effects in
surrounding districts.


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      Case 1:13-cv-00949-WO-JEP Document 142 Filed 02/05/16 Page 83 of 100
Davidson     and   other    locations.       (Trial     Tr.    at   491:6-493:13,

495:9-19, 561:5-562:14; Defs.’ Ex. 31 at 220, 247-49.)

        Defendants also contend, or at least intimate, that the

final black VAP of the 2011 version of CD 12 resulted in part

from the high percentage of African-Americans who vote strongly

Democrat.       They note that, both in previous versions of CD 12

and     in   alternative    proposals    that    were    before     the    General

Assembly in 2010, African-Americans constituted a super-majority

of registered Democrats in the district, citing the 2001 Twelfth

Congressional Plan (71.44%); the Southern Coalition for Social

Justice Twelfth Congressional Plan (71.53%); and the “Fair and

Legal” Twelfth Congressional Plan (69.14%).               (Defs.’ Ex. 2 ¶ 27;

Defs.’ Ex. 2.64; Defs.’ Ex. 2.66; Defs.’ Ex. 2.67.)7                    Defendants

are    apparently    making   the     same   argument    the    State     has   made

several times previously:           the percentage of African-Americans

added to the district is coincidental and the result of moving

Democrats who happen to be African-American into the district.

        C.   Racial Concerns did not Predominate

        Equal protection principles deriving from the Fourteenth

Amendment      govern   a   state’s    drawing    of    electoral       districts.


        7
       In comparison, the statewide percentage of Democrats who
are African-American is 41.38%.   (Defs.’ Ex. 62 at 83-84, F.F.
No. 173.)


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      Case 1:13-cv-00949-WO-JEP Document 142 Filed 02/05/16 Page 84 of 100
Miller, 515 U.S. at 905.                The use of race in drawing a district

is a concern because “[r]acial gerrymandering, even for remedial

purposes, may balkanize us into competing racial factions; it

threatens       to    carry     us    further    from    the   goal    of    a   political

system in which race no longer matters.”                       Shaw I, 509 U.S. at

657.         To prove a claim of racial gerrymandering, Plaintiffs

first have the burden to prove that race was the predominant

factor in the drawing of the allegedly gerrymandered districts.

Id. at 643; see also Page, 2015 WL 3604029, at *6.                           Predominance

can     be    shown    by     proving     that     a   district      “is    so   extremely

irregular on its face that it rationally can be viewed only as

an effort to segregate the races for purposes of voting, without

regard for traditional districting principles,” (i.e., proving

predominance circumstantially), Shaw I, 509 U.S. at 642, or by

proving that “race for its own sake, and not other districting

principles,          was    the      legislature’s      dominant      and     controlling

rationale in drawing its district lines.                       . . . [and] that the

legislature          subordinated       traditional      race-neutral         districting

principles       . . .        to     racial     considerations”        (i.e.,      proving

predominance directly), Miller, 515 U.S. at 913, 916.

        Plaintiffs can meet this burden through direct evidence of

legislative          purpose,      showing      that    race   was    the     predominant

factor in the decision on how to draw a district.                           Such evidence

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      Case 1:13-cv-00949-WO-JEP Document 142 Filed 02/05/16 Page 85 of 100
can     include    statements     by    legislative            officials   involved    in

drawing     the    redistricting        plan      and    preclearance         submissions

submitted by the state to the Department of Justice.                             Shaw I,

509 U.S. at 645; Clark v. Putnam Cty., 293 F.3d 1261, 1267-68,

1272 (11th Cir. 2002); Page, 2015 WL 3604029, at *9.                           Plaintiffs

can also meet this burden through circumstantial evidence such

as the district’s shape, compactness, or demographic statistics.

See, e.g., Shaw II, 517 U.S. at 905.                       Circumstantial evidence

can      show      that      traditional          redistricting         criteria      were

subordinated and that a challenged district is unexplainable on

grounds other than race.               Plaintiffs do not need to show that

race was the only factor that the legislature considered, just

that it predominated over other factors.                            Clark, 293 F.3d at

1270 (“The fact that other considerations may have played a role

in     . . .    redistricting         does    not       mean     that   race    did    not

predominate.”).

        If race is established as the predominant motive for CD 12,

then     the      district     will     be     subject         to    strict     scrutiny,

necessitating an inquiry into whether the use of race to draw

the district was narrowly tailored to meet a compelling state

interest.       See Bush, 517 U.S. at 976.                     The Supreme Court has

assumed without deciding that compliance with sections 2 and 5

of the VRA is a compelling state interest.                       Shaw II, 517 U.S. at

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      Case 1:13-cv-00949-WO-JEP Document 142 Filed 02/05/16 Page 86 of 100
915; Bush, 517 U.S. at 977.                           Defendants in this case contend

that,       if    the       court       finds    that     either       district       was     drawn

predominantly based on race, their maps are narrowly tailored to

avoid liability under these sections in satisfaction of strict

scrutiny.

        Just      as    with       CD    1,     the     first    hurdle        Plaintiffs        must

overcome         is    to    show       that    racial     concerns        predominated          over

traditional criteria in the drawing of CD 12.                                  As stated above,

it is in this finding that I dissent from the majority.

        Most      importantly,           as     compared        to   CD    1,     I   find       that

Plaintiffs        have       put    forth       less,    and     weaker,       direct     evidence

showing      that       race   was       the    primary     motivating          factor      in   the

creation of CD 12, and none that shows that it predominated over

other       factors.8          Plaintiffs         first        point      to    several      public

statements that they argue demonstrate the State’s intent to


        8
       In their Proposed Findings of Fact and Conclusions of Law,
Plaintiffs point to the increase in black VAP from 42.31% to
50.66% as direct evidence of racial intent. (See Pls.’ Proposed
Findings of Fact and Conclusions of Law, supp. pt. 3 (Doc.
137-2) ¶ 103.) I disagree, and would find that on these facts,
the black VAP increase is a result, not an explanation, and thus
is at most circumstantial evidence of a legislature’s intent in
drawing the district. While CD 12 certainly experienced a large
increase in black VAP, it is still Plaintiffs’ burden
(especially given the high correlation between the Democratic
vote and the African-American vote) to prove that race, not
politics, predominated and that the increase is not coincidental
and subordinate to traditional political considerations.


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   Case 1:13-cv-00949-WO-JEP Document 142 Filed 02/05/16 Page 87 of 100
draw CD 12 at a majority black level and argue that this stated

goal demonstrates that race predominated.              However, I find that

the statements issued by the redistricting chairs show only a

“consciousness”     of   race,    rather   than   a   predominance,   and   by

themselves do not show an improperly predominant racial motive.

See Bush, 517 U.S. at 958.

     First, Plaintiffs cite to the July 1, 2011 press release

where the redistricting chairs explained that:

     Because of the presence of Guilford County [a section
     5 jurisdiction under the VRA] in the Twelfth District,
     we have drawn our proposed Twelfth District at a black
     voting age level that is above the percentage of black
     voting age population found in the current Twelfth
     District.     We believe this measure will ensure
     preclearance of the plan.

(Pls.’ Ex. 67 at 5.)             This statement seems similar to, and

perhaps slightly more persuasive than, the statements that the

Supreme Court found unpersuasive in Cromartie II.                In Cromartie

II, the Supreme Court considered a statement by the mapmaker

that he had “moved [the] Greensboro Black Community into the

12th, and now need to take about 60,000 out of the 12th.”                   See

532 U.S. at 254.         The Court in that case noted that while the

statement did reference race, it did not discuss the political

consequences   or    motivation      for    placing     the    population   of

Guilford County in the 12th district.                 Id.     Here, while the

statement by the co-chairs does reference political consequences


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(ensuring preclearance), it still does not rise to the level of

evidence that the Supreme Court has found significant in other

redistricting cases.           See Bush, 517 U.S. at 959 (O’Connor, J.,

principal opinion) (Texas conceded that one of its goals was to

create a majority-minority district); Shaw II, 517 U.S. at 906

(recounting testimony that creating a majority-minority district

was the “principal reason” for the 1992 version of District 12);

Miller,   515    U.S.    at    907   (State   set   out   to   create   majority-

minority district).           While this statement, like the statement in

Cromartie II, provides some support for Plaintiffs’ contention,

it does not rise to the level of showing predominance.                       It does

not indicate that other concerns were subordinated to this goal,

merely, that it was a factor.9

     The co-chairs’ later statement that this result would help

to ensure preclearance under the VRA similarly falls short of

explaining      that    such   actions   were   taken     in   order    to    ensure

preclearance, or that a majority BVAP (or even an increase in

BVAP) was a non-negotiable requirement.10             In fact, the co-chairs



     9
       The statement by Dr. Hofeller, set out below, furthers
this finding in that he testified that Guilford County was
placed in CD 12 as a result of an effort to re-create the 1997
CD 12.
     10
        The State’s DOJ submission is in a similar stance, in
that while it explains that the BVAP of CD 12 increased, it does

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   Case 1:13-cv-00949-WO-JEP Document 142 Filed 02/05/16 Page 89 of 100
explicitly state in the same release that CD 12 was created with

“the intention of making it a very strong Democratic district”

and that that it was not a majority black district that was

required by section two (insinuating that it became so as a

result of the addition of Guilford County, rather than Guilford

being added in order to achieve that goal), belying that there

was any mechanical racial threshold of the sort that would lend

itself to a finding of predominance.       (Pls.’ Ex. 67 at 5.)

     Further, regarding the placement of Guilford County into

CD 12, Dr. Hofeller testified as follows:

     My instructions in drawing the 12th District were to
     draw it as it were a political district, as a whole.
     We were aware of the fact that Guilford County was a
     Section 5 county. We were also aware of the fact that
     the black community in Greensboro had been fractured
     by the Democrats in the 2001 map to add Democratic
     strengths to two Democratic districts. During the
     process, it was my understanding that we had had a
     comment made that we might have a liability for
     fracturing the African-American community in Guilford
     County between a Democratic district and a Republican
     district. When the plan was drawn, I knew where the
     old 97th, 12th District had been drawn, and I used
     that as a guide because one of the things we needed to
     do politically was to reconstruct generally the 97th
     district; and when we checked it, we found out that we
     did not have an issue in Guilford County with
     fracturing the black community.

(Trial Tr. at 644:11-645:1 (emphasis added).)



not show that the State had any improper threshold or racial
goal. (See Pls.’ Ex. 74 at 15.)


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         Dr. Hofeller’s testimony shows that, while the map drawers

were aware that Guilford County was a VRA county and that there

were possibly some VRA concerns surrounding it, the choice to

place Guilford County in CD 12 was at least in part also based

on   a        desire   to   reconstruct   the   1997   version   of   CD   12   for

political reasons and doing so also happened to eliminate any

possible          fracturing     complaint.        This    is    furthered      by

Dr. Hofeller’s deposition testimony, in which he explained that

while the redistricting chairs were certainly concerned about a

fracturing complaint over Guilford County, “[his] instruction

was not to increase [the black] population.                 [His] instruction

was to try and take care of [the VRA] problem, but the primary

instructions and overriding instruction in District 12 was to

accomplish the political goal.”            (Pls.’ Ex. 129 at 71:19-24.)11


         11
        It should be noted that Guilford County had been placed
in District 12 before but had been moved into the newly-created
District 13 during the 2001 redistricting process.          This
occurred as a result of North Carolina gaining a thirteenth
congressional seat and needing to create an entirely new
district.   As Dr. Hofeller testified, in 2011, CD 13, which in
2001 had been strongly Democratic, was being moved for political
reasons, and thus the districts surrounding District 13 would
necessarily be different than they had been in 2001.      As the
legislature   wished  for   these   districts   to be   strongly
Republican,   moving   Guilford   County,   which  is   strongly
Democratic, into the already Democratic CD 12 only made sense.
(Pls.’ Ex. 129 at 71:6-18.) Given that as a result of CD 13’s
move, Guilford County was going to end up being moved anyways,
the decision to re-create the 1997 version of CD 12 as a way to
avoid a VRA claim does not persuade me that the choice to move

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        Compare these statements with those made about CD 1, where

Dr. Hofeller repeatedly testified that he was told “to draw that

1st District with a black voting-age population in excess of 50

percent because of the Strickland case.”                         (See Trial Tr. at

480:21-481:1.)         He also testified that this goal for CD 1 could

not be compromised, explaining that while he had some leeway in

how high he could take the BVAP of the district, he could not go

lower than 50% plus 1.            (Trial Tr. at 621:13-622:19.)                These are

the    sorts   of   statements        that    show    predominance,         rather    than

consciousness,      of     race    and   are       clearly    distinguishable         from

those made about CD 12, where there is only evidence that race

was one among several factors.

        Based upon this direct evidence, I conclude that race was a

factor in how CD 12 was drawn, although not a predominant one.

A comparison of the legislative statements as to CD 12 with

those made with respect to CD 1 is illustrative, given that the

legislature clearly stated its intention to create a majority-

minority district within CD 1.

        Compared    with       such    open        expressions    of        intent,    the

statements      made    with      respect     to    CD   12   seem     to    be   more   a

description of the resulting characteristics of CD 12 rather


Guilford County to CD 12 was in and of itself predominantly
racial.


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      Case 1:13-cv-00949-WO-JEP Document 142 Filed 02/05/16 Page 92 of 100
than evidence about the weight that the legislature gave various

factors used to draw CD 12.                    For example, as the majority points

out, in the public statement issued July 1, 2011, Senator Rucho

and Representative Lewis stated, “[b]ecause of the presence of

Guilford County in the Twelfth District [which is covered by

section    5    of       the   VRA],      we    have     drawn       our    proposed     Twelfth

District       at    a    black      voting       age        level     that    is     above    the

percentage of black voting age population found in the current

Twelfth District.”             (Pls.’ Tr. Ex. 67 at 5; (Maj. Op. at 35).)

While the majority reaches an imminently reasonable conclusion

that this is evidence of an intention to create a majority-

minority    district,          I,    on     the      other     hand,       conclude     that   the

statement      reflects        a    recognition         of     the     fact    the    black    VAP

voting    age       was    higher      in      the     new    district        because    of    the

inclusion of a section 5 county, not necessarily that race was

the predominant factor or that Guilford County was included in

order to bring about that result.                            It seems clear to me that

some recognition of the character of the completed CD 12 to the

Department      of       Justice     addressing          the    preclearance          issue    was

necessary.           However,       that       recognition           does     not    necessarily

reflect predominant, as opposed to merely significant, factors

in drawing the district.




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   Case 1:13-cv-00949-WO-JEP Document 142 Filed 02/05/16 Page 93 of 100
        Plaintiffs also point to circumstantial evidence, including

the    shape    of    the     district,           the    low   compactness      scores,         and

testimony      from     two       experts         who    contend     that    race,    and       not

politics, better explains the choices made in drawing CD 12.

        As    regards       the     district’s            shape    and      compactness,         as

Defendants         point    out,       the    redistricting          co-chairs       were       not

working from a blank slate when they drew the 2011 version of

CD 12.       CD 12 has been subject to litigation almost every single

time it has been redrawn since 1991, and, although Plaintiffs

are correct that it has a bizarre shape and low compactness

scores, it has always had a bizarre shape and low compactness

scores.       As such, pointing out that these traditional criteria

were not observed by the co-chairs in drawing CD 12 is less

persuasive         evidence       of     racial          predominance       than     it       might

otherwise      be,    given       that       to    create      a   district    with       a    more

natural shape and compactness score, the surrounding districts

(and likely the entire map) would have to be redrawn.                                         It is

hard to conclude that a district that is as non-compact as CD 12

was in 2010 was revised with some specific motivation when it

retains a similar shape as before and becomes slightly less

compact than the geographic oddity it already was.

        As   for    Plaintiffs’         expert          testimony,    I     first    note      that

Dr. David Peterson’s testimony neither establishes that race was

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      Case 1:13-cv-00949-WO-JEP Document 142 Filed 02/05/16 Page 94 of 100
the predominant motive for the drawing of CD 12 nor does it even

purport to.           As Dr. Peterson himself stated, his opinion was

simply that race “better accounts for” the boundaries of CD 12

than     does     politics,     but       he    did    not    have    an    opinion      on     the

legislature’s actual motivation, on whether political concerns

predominated over other criteria, or if the planners had non-

negotiable racial goals.              (Trial Tr. at 233:17-234:3.)

        Further,      when    controlling             for    the    results   of     the       2008

presidential election, the only data used by the map’s architect

in drawing CD 12, Dr. Peterson’s analysis actually finds that

politics is a better explanation for CD 12 than race.                                    (Defs.’

Ex.    122   at    113-15.)          As    such,       even    crediting      his    analysis,

Dr. Peterson’s         report       and        testimony      are     of    little       use     in

examining       the    intent       behind      CD     12    in    that    they,    much       like

Plaintiffs’ direct evidence, show at most that race may have

been one among several concerns and that politics was an equal,

if not more significant, factor.

        As for Dr. Ansolabehere, his testimony may provide some

insight into the demographics that resulted from how CD 12 was

drawn.       However,        even    assuming         that    his    testimony      is     to    be




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      Case 1:13-cv-00949-WO-JEP Document 142 Filed 02/05/16 Page 95 of 100
credited in its entirety, I do not find that it establishes that

race predominated as a factor in how CD 12 was drawn.12

        First, as Defendants point out, Dr. Ansolabehere relied on

voter registration data, rather than actual election results, in

his     analysis.        (Trial      Tr.   at    307:4-308:9.)        Even   without

assuming       the    Supreme    Court’s     admonishment     about    the   use   of

registration data as less correlative of voting behavior than

actual       election    results       remains   accurate,    Dr.   Ansolabehere’s

analysis       suffers    from     a     separate   flaw.    Dr.    Ansolabehere’s

analysis says that race better explains the way CD 12 was drawn

than does political party registration.                      However, this is a

criterion that the state did not actually use when drawing the

map.     Dr. Hofeller testified that when drawing the districts, he

examined       only     the   2008      presidential   election       results   when

deciding which precincts to move in and out of a district.13 (See


        12
        I note that Dr. Ansolabehere testified that he                    performed
the same analysis in Bethune-Hill v. Virginia State                       Board of
Elections, Civil Action No. 3:14CV852, 2015 WL 6440332                   (E.D. Va.
Oct. 22, 2015), and that the three-judge panel in                        that case
rejected the use of his analysis. Id. at *41-42.
        13
        While Plaintiffs criticize this use of an admittedly
unique electoral situation, the fact that the 2008 presidential
election was the only election used to draw CD 12 does not, in
and of itself, establish that politics were merely a pretext for
racial gerrymandering.   In my opinion, the evidence does not
necessarily establish the correlation between the specific
racial identity of voters and voting results; instead, a number
of different factors may have affected the voting results.

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      Case 1:13-cv-00949-WO-JEP Document 142 Filed 02/05/16 Page 96 of 100
Trial     Tr.   at   495:20-502:14.)              This    fact     is   critical     to   the

usefulness of Dr. Ansolabehere’s analysis because, absent some

further        analysis     stating         that     race        better    explains       the

boundaries of CD 12 than the election results from the 2008

presidential election, his testimony simply does not address the

criteria that Dr. Hofeller actually used.                           Plaintiffs contend

that the legislature’s explanation of political motivation is

not     persuasive       because,      if    it    were     the     actual    motivation,

Dr. Ansolabehere’s analysis would show that the boundaries were

better explained by voter registration than by race.                               However,

because        Defendants      have     explained          that     they     based    their

political       goals     on     the    results       of    the     2008     presidential

election,       rather    than    voter      registration,          Dr.    Ansolabehere’s

analysis is simply not enough to prove a predominant racial

motive.

        This    is   particularly       true       when    the    other    evidence       that

might confirm Dr. Ansolabehere’s analysis is less than clear,


(Compare, e.g., Trial Tr. at 325:7-9 (“There’s huge academic
literature on this topic that goes into different patterns of
voting and how Obama changed it . . .”) with Trial Tr. at
403:17-18 (“you can’t tell at the individual level how
individuals of different races voted”); id. at 503:7-10 (“we’re
looking   for   districts   that  will   hold  their  political
characteristics, to the extent that any districts hold them,
over a decade rather than a one or two year cycle.”).)     As a
result, I do not find the use of the 2008 presidential election
to be pretext for racial gerrymandering.


                                             97




      Case 1:13-cv-00949-WO-JEP Document 142 Filed 02/05/16 Page 97 of 100
and in fact provides some hesitation as to the analysis, rather

than corroborating it.                 Specifically, Dr. Ansolabehere applied

his envelope analysis to CD 12, a district that was originally

drawn    in       order    to     create     a   majority-minority                 district,       has

retained a substantial minority population in the twenty years

since     its       creation,          and   was        extremely             non-compact          when

originally drawn.               Therefore, absent some consideration of other

factors       -     the     competitiveness                of       surrounding,          contiguous

districts         and     the    compactness          of       those    districts         -   it     is

difficult to place great weight on Dr. Ansolabehere’s analysis.

In   other        words,    if     a   district        starts          out    as     an   extremely

gerrymandered district, drawn with race as a predominant factor,

I do not find compelling a subsequent study concluding that

race,    and       not    politics,        may   be        a    better        predictor       of   the

likelihood of voter inclusion in a modification of the original

district.          See     Bethune-Hill,         2015          WL   6440332     at    *42     (“If   a

district is intentionally designed as a performing district for

Section 5 purposes, there should be little surprise that the

movement of VTDs into or out of the district is correlated -

even to a statistically significant degree - with the racial

composition of the population.”).

        As the Supreme Court has explained, Plaintiffs’ burden of

proving        that        racial       considerations                 were     “dominant          and

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     Case 1:13-cv-00949-WO-JEP Document 142 Filed 02/05/16 Page 98 of 100
controlling” is a demanding one.                            See Miller, 515 U.S. at 913,

929.      In my opinion, Plaintiffs have not met that burden here as

to CD 12.         Plaintiffs’ direct evidence shows only that race was

a    factor      in     how    CD     12     was       drawn,       not    the       “dominant      and

controlling”           factor.        As        for    their    circumstantial              evidence,

Plaintiffs        must      show      that       the       district       is    unexplainable       on

grounds other than race.                   Id. at 905.              Here, Defendants explain

CD   12    based       on     the    use     of       political       data      that    Plaintiffs’

experts     do       not    even     specifically            address.           As   the    Court   in

Cromartie        II    explained,          in     cases      where    racial         identification

correlates            highly        with        political       affiliation,               Plaintiffs

attacking        a     district         must       show       “at     the       least      that     the

legislature           could      have       achieved          its      legitimate           political

objectives in alternative ways that are comparably consistent

with      traditional          districting             principles          [and]        that      those

districting alternatives would have brought about significantly

greater racial balance.”                    Cromartie II, 532 U.S. at 234, 258.

Plaintiffs have not done so here.                            In essentially alleging that

political goals were pretext, they have put forth no alternative

plan that would have made CD 12 a strong Democratic district

while     simultaneously            strengthening             the    surrounding           Republican

districts and not increasing the black VAP.                                    As such, they have

not proven that politics was mere pretext in this case.

                                                      99




     Case 1:13-cv-00949-WO-JEP Document 142 Filed 02/05/16 Page 99 of 100
     Finally,       mindful        of    the     fact      that    the    burden      is   on

Plaintiffs     to     prove         “that        the       legislature      subordinated

traditional race-neutral districting principles . . . to racial

considerations” (i.e., proving predominance directly), Miller,

515 U.S. at 913, 916, it is not clear whether compliance with

section   5,   although       it    necessarily           involved    consideration        of

race, should be considered a “neutral” redistricting principle

or a purely racial consideration.                         Although I reach the same

decision regardless, I conclude that actions taken in compliance

with section 5 and preclearance should not be a factor that

elevates race to a “predominant factor” when other traditional

districting    principles          exist,       as     here,     supporting      a   finding

otherwise.      As    a   result,         the     fact      that    certain      voters    in

Guilford County were included in CD 12 in an effort to comply

with section 5, avoid retrogression, and receive preclearance

does not persuade me that race was a predominant factor in light

of the other facts of this case.

     As   Plaintiffs      have          failed       to   show     that   race       was   the

predominant factor in the drawing of CD 12, it is subject to a

rational basis test rather than strict scrutiny.                          Because I find

that CD 12 passes the rational basis test, I would uphold that

district as constitutional.




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  Case 1:13-cv-00949-WO-JEP Document 142 Filed 02/05/16 Page 100 of 100


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