                                 IN THE

               UNITED STATES COURT OF APPEALS

                     FOR THE SEVENTH CIRCUIT



Nos. 04-2055, 05-2824

AHMAD AL-MARBU,

                                                                Petitioner,

                                     v.

MICHAEL B. MUKASEY, Attorney
General of the United States,

                                                               Respondent.



                 Petitions for Review of an Order of the
                     Board of Immigration Appeals.
                             No. A79-546-194



               ON MOTION TO STAY THE MANDATE

                             APRIL 24, 2008*




      *
          This opinion is being released initially in typescript form.
Nos. 04-2055, 05-2824                                                Page 2


        RIPPLE, Circuit Judge (in chambers). This matter is before me on
the petitioner’s “Motion to Stay the Mandate of Panel’s Order, Pending
Petition for Writ of Certiorari, and Request for ‘Unopposed’ 30 Day
Extension to File Supplemental Brief,” filed on April 2, 2008. For the
reason set forth in this chambers opinion, I deny the requested relief.



                                     A.

        On March 26, 2008, we denied petitioner Ahmad Al-Marbu’s
petition for rehearing and petition for rehearing en banc. The mandate
was scheduled to issue on April 2, 2008, but the filing of this motion to
stay on that day has stayed temporarily the mandate. Mr. Al-Marbu
seeks a stay of this court’s mandate pending a petition for a writ of
certiorari to the Supreme Court. He also requests 30 days to file a brief
in support of the motion to stay the mandate; he explains that he did not
have sufficient time to prepare the present motion.

        “When a party asks this court to stay its mandate pending the
filing of a petition for a writ of certiorari, that party must show that the
petition will present a substantial question and that there is good cause for
a stay.” Books v. City of Elkhart, 239 F.3d 826, 827 (7th Cir. 2001)
(Ripple, J., in chambers), citing Fed. R. App. P. 41(d)(2)(A). The grant of
a motion to stay the mandate “is far from a foregone conclusion.” 16A
Charles Alan Wright, Arthur R. Miller & Edward H. Cooper, Federal
Practice and Procedure § 3987 (3d ed. 1999). Instead, the party seeking
the stay must demonstrate both “a reasonable probability of succeeding
on the merits” and “irreparable injury absent a stay.” Bricklayers Local
21 v. Banner Restoration, Inc., 384 F.3d 911, 912 (7th Cir. 2004) (Ripple,
Nos. 04-2055, 05-2824                                                 Page 3


J., in chambers); see also Williams v. Chrans, 50 F.3d 1358, 1360 (7th Cir.
1995) (per curiam); United States v. Holland, 1 F.3d 454, 456 (7th Cir.
1993) (Ripple, J., in chambers). In order to demonstrate a reasonable
probability of succeeding on the merits of the proposed certiorari petition,
the applicant must show a reasonable probability that four Justices will
vote to grant certiorari and a “fair prospect” that five Justices will vote to
reverse the judgment of this court. See California v. Am. Stores Co., 492
U.S. 1301, 1307 (1989) (O’Connor, J., in chambers); see also United States
v. Warner, 507 F.3d 508, 511 (7th Cir. 2007) (Wood, J., in chambers);
Williams, 50 F.3d at 1360. We consider the issues that the applicant plans
to raise in the certiorari petition in the context of the case history, the
Supreme Court’s treatment of other cases presenting similar issues and
the considerations that guide the Supreme Court in determining whether
to issue a writ of certiorari. Williams, 50 F.3d at 1361.

        In attempt to demonstrate that a petition for a writ of certiorari
would present a reasonable probability of succeeding on the merits,
counsel lists the five questions that he will raise in the petition: (1)
whether the defective trial transcript prejudiced his ability properly to
appeal his case and constituted a denial of Due Process; (2) whether this
court denied his Due Process rights “to have jurisdiction to consider” the
merits of his case; (3) whether the court unconstitutionally denied
jurisdiction based on the decision in Ali v. Gonzales, 502 F.3d 659 (7th Cir.
2007), cert. denied sub nom. Ali v. Mukasey, --- S. Ct. ----, No. 07-798, 2008
WL 1699478, (Apr. 14, 2008); (4) whether the IJ’s denial of his second
motion to continue the trial constituted an abuse of discretion; and (5)
whether the court’s stay of removal equitably tolled his voluntary
departure period. Counsel argues, in essence, that our holding that we
lacked jurisdiction to review the IJ’s denial of the motion for continuance
Nos. 04-2055, 05-2824                                                  Page 4


was based on a misreading of our precedent. He contends that the Ali
decision misapplied the court’s decision in Subhan v. Ashcroft, 383 F.3d
591 (7th Cir. 2004). The five issues that counsel says he will raise in the
petition for a writ of certiorari are the exact same five issues that he raised
in the petition for rehearing with suggestion for rehearing en banc.

        Counsel also submits that Mr. Al-Marbu would suffer irreparable
harm if he were required to leave the Country now because his wife, a
United States citizen, is currently in Europe seeking advanced medical
attention, and he is the sole custodian of their two children. He offers no
further details regarding his wife’s medical needs, the length of her stay,
or whether there are other arrangements that could be made with respect
to the children or their travel.



                                      B.

        I must conclude that Mr. Al-Marbu has not demonstrated that his
petition for a writ of certiorari would present a reasonable probability of
succeeding on the merits. He has not demonstrated that his case involves
an important question of federal law that should be settled by the
Supreme Court or that his case conflicts with a decision of the Supreme
Court. See Sup. Ct. R. 10(c). Nor has he argued that there exists a
division between the circuits. See Sup. Ct. R. 10(a). At most, he appears
to argue that the decision in his case conflicts with prior precedent from
this circuit. In deciding his case, we relied upon Ali v. Gonzales, 502 F.3d
659 (7th Cir. 2007). A petition for a writ of certiorari was filed in that case
on December 12, 2007 and denied on April 14, 2008. Ali v. Mukasey, ---
S. Ct. ----, No. 07-798, 2008 WL 1699478, (Apr. 14, 2008). Under these
Nos. 04-2055, 05-2824                                               Page 5


circumstances, I must conclude that it is not likely that four Justices will
vote to grant certiorari in this case.

         Finally, I see no reason to prolong these proceedings by permitting
counsel an additional 30 days to file a supplemental brief in support of the
request to stay the mandate. The matters he intends to raise in his
petition for certiorari have been examined thoroughly in the proceedings
in this court and further delay in the issuance of our mandate is not
justified.

        Accordingly, I deny the motion to stay the mandate. I further
deny the request for a 30-day extension of time to file a supplemental
brief in support of the request to stay the mandate.

       The Clerk is directed to issue the mandate immediately.

                                                     IT IS SO ORDERED
