In the United States Court of Federal Claims
                            OFFICE OF SPECIAL MASTERS

*********************
ELIANA MOODY,                         *       No. 16-513V
                                      *       Special Master Christian J. Moran
                   Petitioner,        *
v.                                    *       Filed: May 20, 2020
                                      *
SECRETARY OF HEALTH                   *       Entitlement; meningococcal vaccine;
AND HUMAN SERVICES,                   *       initial reaction; fibromyalgia; need
                                      *       for hearing.
                   Respondent.        *
*********************
Sean F. Greenwood, The Greenwood Law Firm, Houston, TX, for petitioner;
Voris E. Johnson, United States Dep’t of Justice, Washington, DC, for respondent.

                      ORDER REGARDING ENTITLEMENT1

      Eliana Moody claims that the meningococcal conjugate vaccine she received
on March 27, 2015, caused her to suffer an acute allergic reaction, which combined
with overtreatment of her symptoms following this initial reaction, caused her to
develop fibromyalgia. She now seeks compensation for both injuries under the
Vaccine Act.

      The parties have submitted multiple expert reports as well as briefs in
advance of potential adjudication. Nonetheless, the undersigned has questions
regarding Ms. Moody’s mental and physical health before and immediately after


       1
          Because this order contains a reasoned explanation for the action in this case, the
undersigned is required to post it on the United States Court of Federal Claims' website in
accordance with the E-Government Act of 2002. 44 U.S.C. § 3501 note (2012) (Federal
Management and Promotion of Electronic Government Services). This posting means the order
will be available to anyone with access to the internet. In accordance with Vaccine Rule 18(b),
the parties have 14 days to identify and move to redact medical or other information, the
disclosure of which would constitute an unwarranted invasion of privacy. If, upon review, the
undersigned agrees that the identified material fits within this definition, the undersigned will
redact such material before posting the decision.
her vaccination. Additional factual development could affect whether Ms. Moody
is entitled to compensation for her initial reaction. Thus, this issue will be
scheduled for a hearing at a time convenient for the parties and their witnesses. An
order further defining the scope of the hearing is being issued conjunctively.

      However, Ms. Moody’s claim regarding fibromyalgia fails. As explained
below, Ms. Moody has not presented a persuasive medical theory and has not
demonstrated that the theory explains what happened to her. Additional
evidentiary development would not support this claim. Thus, Ms. Moody’s claim
regarding fibromyalgia is denied.

I.    Facts

       Eliana Moody was born on March 18, 1999. Exhibit 3 at 1. She was
homeschooled by her mother prior to her vaccination, exhibit 18, and before
December 12, 2012, her medical records indicate that she had minimal health
issues, mostly relating to asthma and seasonal allergies.

       On December 12, 2012, Ms. Moody saw her pediatrician, Dr. Almazan, and
sought treatment regarding potential epilepsy, reporting that “[e]very few months
or so she develops these transient episodes of entire upper body quivering.”
Exhibit 4 at 32. Ms. Moody’s father was also reported to have been diagnosed
with epilepsy. Id. Ms. Moody’s pediatrician referred her to a pediatric
neurologist, Dr. Tomasevic, id. at 33; however, Ms. Moody never saw him, Pet’r’s
Mot. for Ruling on the Record ¶ 2. For the following three years, she attended
regular check-ups with her pediatrician, but there are no further notations regarding
myoclonic jerks or symptoms of epilepsy in any of these records. See exhibit 4 at
14-31 (showing six visits between March 29, 2013-July 28, 2014, without mention
of myoclonic jerks or epilepsy symptoms); see also Pet’r’s Mot. ¶ 2 (“For the next
three years, Eliana never discussed [epilepsy] symptoms with her doctors because
she did not experience them.”).

       Dr. Almazan and Dr. Hilliard conducted mental health screenings at three
different primary care visits on March 29, 2013; March 21, 2014; and March 27,
2015. See exhibit 4 at 11-12, 17-18, 29-30. Dr. Hilliard did not note any concerns,
although the questionnaires are not part of the record.

      Despite the lack of findings from Dr. Hilliard, Ms. Moody’s mental health
from before the vaccination has become an issue in the litigation. A

                                             2
neuropsychologist the Secretary retained, Deborah Anderson, opined that Ms.
Moody was experiencing significant life stressors immediately before her
vaccination – specifically that “heading off to college after being homeschooled
previously by her mother her entire academic career could be a significant stressful
life event” and that “medical/psychological records indicate the likelihood of other
concurrent interpersonal familial/personal stressors both pre- and post-date of
reported vaccine event.” Exhibit F at 29. However, a psychiatrist Ms. Moody has
retained, Tracey Marks, responded that “[p]rior to receiving the vaccination, [Ms.
Moody] was already taking some college courses. Also, there is no evidence to
suggest that [Ms. Moody’s] college transition was sufficiently disruptive to cause a
depressive episode.” Exhibit 37 at 12.

       As part of an annual routine health maintenance visit with Dr. Hilliard, Ms.
Moody received the Menveo meningococcal vaccine on March 27, 2015. Exhibit
2 at 1. That night, at approximately 11:00 p.m., Ms. Moody’s parents took her to
the emergency room, where she complained of “back pain shooting down arms,
tingling fingers.” Exhibit 3 at 8. She also reported that the pain in her arm began
within one minute of receiving the vaccine earlier that day, and that the shooting
pain and tingling started approximately two hours prior to her arrival at the
emergency room. Id. at 3. The clinical impression was acute allergic reaction to
the meningococcal vaccine. Id. at 4.

       About one week after this incident, Ms. Moody saw her pediatrician, Dr.
Hilliard, still complaining of “pain occurring in her back (lower), shoulders – feels
like twinges.” Exhibit 4 at 8 (April 3, 2015). Dr. Hilliard made a note that she
“[c]alled and spoke with Dr. Atkins and she never heard of that reaction before.” 2
Id. Nevertheless, she reported the incident to the Vaccine Adverse Event
Reporting Service. 3 Id.

       At the following visit on April 13, 2015, the primary complaints seemed to
be seizure-like and neurological symptoms, as opposed to back and shoulder pain,
which were not mentioned. Id. at 5 (“[Ms. Moody] feels like she is in a dream
state and what she describes as auras – parents think it may be partial seizures . . .
happen[ing] several times/day.”). These complaints precipitated a referral by Dr.
Hilliard to neurologist Dr. Linda Leary. Id. at 7.

      2
          Information about Dr. Atkins is not readily available in the record.
      3
          Dr. Hilliard’s VAERS report is not part of the record.

                                                     3
       Ms. Moody then saw Dr. Leary on April 28, 2015. Exhibit 6 at 1. At this
appointment, Dr. Leary identified the trigger or referral reason for this neurological
evaluation as her being “[a]sked to consult to provide recommendations on
myoclonic jerks by Dr. Tricia Hilliard.” Id. at 2. Dr. Leary recorded that Ms.
Moody was complaining of “fatigue, tremors, pain, dizziness, nausea, myalgias[,]
headache, blurry vision, flashes of light.” Id. at 15. Initially, Dr. Leary recorded
an impression of “[m]yoclonic jerks; may represent onset of juvenile epilepsy or
could be primarily muscular or represent form of movement disorder” as well as
“[h]eadaches; mild though frequent.” Id. at 4. Dr. Leary ordered an MRI and EEG
to determine potential epilepsy, but otherwise sent Ms. Moody back to her primary
care pediatrician. Id. (stating that “[c]are will be returned to primary physician”).
The result of the MRI and EEG appeared normal. Id. at 31 (brain MRI on May 9,
2015), 34 (EEG on May 26, 2015). Thus, a diagnosis of epilepsy was not made.

       After the MRI and EEG, Ms. Moody saw Dr. Leary for a follow-up
appointment on June 30, 2015. Ms. Moody complained of “[n]ot doing well
academically; struggling with college algebra. Having more troubling focusing”
and “[p]eriods of sadness, anger, urge to cry.” Id. at 8. The review of systems,
including musculoskeletal, neurological, and behavioral/psychiatric was normal.
On physical exam, Dr. Leary found “[n]o pain on pressure at typical trigger points
for fibromyalgia.” Id. at 9. Dr. Leary recommended various steps including an
MRI of Ms. Moody’s cervical spine, neuropsychological testing to establish a
baseline, and a psychologic/psychiatric evaluation. Id. at 9-10. (Although on July
7, 2015, Ms. Moody’s father attempted to schedule an appointment, the next
opening with a neuropsychologist was in December. Exhibit 10 at 32-33, 150.)
Dr. Leary also requested that the family inform her of the results of Ms. Moody’s
upcoming appointment with a rheumatologist and that Ms. Moody return in two
months. Exhibit 6 at 10.

        Ms. Moody saw a rheumatologist, Dr. Mark Nelson, on July 2, 2015.
Exhibit 5 at 13-16. Ms. Moody reported “chronic fatigue, frequent vertigo usually
associated with nausea and polyarthralgias and myalgias since getting the vaccine.”
Id. at 13. Dr. Nelson reported results of a detailed physical examination,
describing testing at shoulders, elbows, hips, knees, ankles, and feet. Id. at 14.
These were all normal. Dr. Nelson initially diagnosed her with “serum sickness”
and ordered rheumatological labs. Id. at 16.



                                             4
       Ms. Moody had a follow-up appointment with Dr. Nelson on August 4,
2015. She reported virtually identical symptoms to those complained of during her
July 2, 2015 visit. See id. at 9 (reporting “severe chronic fatigue and chronic
generalized fibromyalgia like musculoskeletal pain primarily in the muscles”).
However, the outcome of Dr. Nelson’s musculoskeletal spine exam differed. On
August 4, 2015, Dr. Nelson reported: “spine: 1-2+ tenderness of her fibromyalgia
trigger points and tender [at] lumbar spine mild lower back pain”). Id. at 11; see
also id. at 15 (recording on July 2, 2015 a “normal” spine exam). Dr. Nelson
diagnosed her with fibromyalgia. Id. at 6. Dr. Nelson also diagnosed her with
polyarthralgia, chronic fatigue syndrome, and bilateral headaches. Id.

       Ms. Moody’s next saw her neurologist, Dr. Leary, on September 8, 2015.
Dr. Leary’s office note for this visit begins with an interval history,” stating “[s]een
by rheumatology; not felt to represent fibromyalgia. Thought most [consistent
with] serum sickness.” Exhibit 10 at 29.4 At her visit with Dr. Leary on
September 8, 2015, Ms. Moody complained of chronic, severe headaches three
times per day, lasting 30 minutes. On physical exam, Dr. Leary again found “[n]o
pain on pressure at typical trigger points for fibromyalgia.” Id. at 30. Dr. Leary
repeated her recommendations for neuropsychological testing, and
psychological/psychiatric evaluation because the family had not obtained these.
Dr. Leary also prescribed a medication for the headaches, topiramate (Topamax).
Id.

       One week later, Ms. Moody returned to her rheumatologist, Dr. Nelson. The
history begins that Ms. Moody is “a 16-year-old female who has already graduated
from high school and is taking some college courses online [who] was perfectly
healthy until 15 March when she was given a meningococcal vaccine and has
developed chronic fatigue syndrome and some generalized musculoskeletal pain.”
Exhibit 5 at 3. Her current complaints included “generalized body aches, some
increased bruising and difficulty concentrating.” Id. Dr. Nelson’s physical
examination produced multiple “normals.” Unlike the August 4, 2015 entry that
showed a problem in Ms. Moody’s spine, the September 15, 2015 record has no
entry about her spine. Nevertheless, Dr. Nelson’s record reports: “Fibromyalgia



       4
        This report is partially correct. It seems to reflect Dr. Nelson’s opinion following Ms.
Moody’s first appointment with him on July 2, 2015. But, after the second visit on August 4,
2015, Dr. Nelson diagnosed Ms. Moody with fibromyalgia but did not remark on serum sickness.

                                                   5
Onset: 8/4/2015 Status: Active.” Id. at 4. Dr. Nelson increased the dose of
Cymbalta. Id. at 6.

       Ms. Moody began having problems with cloudy and bloody urine and her
mother thought it could be related to the topiramate that Dr. Leary had prescribed.
See exhibit 10 at 11-18. Ms. Moody returned to Dr. Leary’s office where a
physician’s assistant, Florence Wall, saw her on December 14, 2015. After
stopping the topiramate, Ms. Moody experienced more headaches. Ms. Moody
also reported that she had a seizure the day before. Id. at 17. With respect to the
recommendations for counseling, Ms. Wall recorded that “[f]amily has not yet seen
psychology/psychiatry,” and she repeated the recommendation. Id. at 18-19. For
the neuropsychological testing, Ms. Moody was scheduled to see someone in three
days; however, this appointment had to be rescheduled. Id. at 15. After consulting
Dr. Leary, Ms. Wall ordered gabapentin. Id. at 19.

       In the next visit with Dr. Leary, Ms. Moody reported that the gabapentin was
effective for headaches. Exhibit 10 at 13 (visit on February 5, 2016). By this time,
Ms. Moody was a first-year college student in a nursing program. Dr. Leary
offered two impressions: first “headaches, chronic, not refractory, unspecified
headache” and second “rheumatology evaluation suggestive of fibromyalgia.” Id.
at 13. The plan was to follow up in six months.

      Ms. Moody also sought psychiatric evaluation and psychological treatment.
On Dr. Leary’s referral, she visited Josué Romero, a clinical psychologist, on
February 2, 2016, and March 4, 2016. Exhibit 12 at 1-2. In the first session, Dr.
Romero obtained background information about Ms. Moody and Ms. Moody told
him that her problems started after a meningitis vaccine in March 2015. Ms.
Moody also reported various other problems. After conducting
neuropsychological testing on March 4, 2016, Dr. Romero diagnosed her with
major depressive disorder and recommended additional individual counseling. Id.

       After Ms. Moody filed her petition in this case on April 26, 2016, she saw
another rheumatologist, Dr. Hashish, on May 26, 2016. Dr. Hashish’s assessment
indicated fibromyalgia, among other conditions. Exhibit 9 at 4. During this visit,
Dr. Hashish noted that Ms. Moody’s diffused joint pain and swelling had been
occurring for a “few years.” Id. at 2. Ms. Moody saw Dr. Hashish once more on
June 28, 2016. Id. at 6.



                                            6
       As early as June 30, 2015, Dr. Leary was recommending counseling, exhibit
6 at 10, and Dr. Romero did as well. Ms. Moody attended counseling sessions at
Abiding Hope Institute of Christian Counseling from November 28, 2016, to May
29, 2017. See exhibit 25. During one of these sessions, Ms. Moody’s counselor,
Ms. Kelly Anderson, noted that Ms. Moody’s “[d]epression symptoms go back to
when she was 13/14 [years old].” Id. at 21. However, some notations from Ms.
Moody’s visits with Ms. Anderson indicate that some psychological struggles
during this time were connected to her physical pain, which Ms. Moody attributed
to her vaccine reaction. See id. at 32, 46.

       Ms. Moody continued treatment after she filed her petition, mostly for
conditions connected to her fibromyalgia diagnosis. These treatments included:
aquatic therapy, see exhibit 78 at 24; physical therapy, see exhibit 7 (June 16-Aug.
20, 2016); treatment for dysmenorrhea, including more severe fibromyalgia
symptoms around menstrual cycles, see exhibit 8 at 9 (July 15, 2016); and
treatment for complications stemming from fibromyalgia medications, see exhibit
78 at 19-21 (Sept. 29, 2016), exhibit 76 at 6 (Nov. 19, 2018); see also exhibit 92 at
1 (seeking treatment for possible Crohn’s disease, not apparently connected to Ms.
Moody’s fibromyalgia diagnosis, on June 10, 2019); exhibit 93 at 17 (seeking
treatment from a sleep specialist for chronic fatigue syndrome on Sept. 10, 2019).
The parties have devoted relatively less attention to medical appointments after
2016. See Pet’r’s Mot. at 10-12; Resp’t’s Resp. at 12-13.

II.    Procedural History

      With one small exception, the case proceeded along a typical, but lengthy,
path. The petition was filed on April 26, 2016. 5 Over the next seven months, Ms.
Moody periodically filed medical records.

       The Secretary reviewed this material. The Secretary determined that
compensation was not appropriate for several reasons. These included the lack of
clear diagnosis, the lack of a statement from a treating doctor that said the
vaccination harmed Ms. Moody, and the lack of an expert report. Thus, the




       5
         The original petitioner was Ms. Moody’s father, Rev. Andrew Thomas Moody, because
Ms. Moody was a minor. When Ms. Moody reached adulthood, she became the petitioner.
Order, issued March 30, 2017. For simplicity, this decision treats Ms. Moody as petitioner.

                                                7
Secretary recommended that compensation be denied. Resp’t’s Rep., filed Feb. 24,
2017, at 12.

       In a status conference, Ms. Moody announced an intention to retain an
expert. To promote the filing of persuasive expert reports, the undersigned issued
a set of Instructions. See order, issued April 17, 2017.

       Ms. Moody filed a series of reports from experts. Ms. Moody first filed a
report from Michael McCabe, who has earned a Ph.D. in immunology but not a
medical degree. Exhibit 20 (report). Mr. McCabe’s first report, which was four
pages, did not comply with the Instructions. 6 Ms. Moody was directed to file a
supplemental report from Mr. McCabe, and she did as exhibit 26. In exhibit 26,
Mr. McCabe stated that the relevant disease for Ms. Moody is fibromyalgia. He
presented what he characterized as a “biologically plausible theory” to explain how
the Menveo vaccine can cause fibromyalgia. Exhibit 26 at 5-6. Ms. Moody also
filed a one-paragraph letter from a rheumatologist who treated her, Mark Nelson.
Exhibit 33.

      The Secretary responded in two ways. To respond most directly to Mr.
McCabe, the Secretary submitted a report from Carlos Rose, a pediatric
rheumatologist. Dr. Rose agreed that Ms. Moody suffers from fibromyalgia.
Exhibit A at 10. Dr. Rose, however, disagreed with the opinion that the Menveo
vaccine caused Ms. Moody’s fibromyalgia. In Dr. Rose’s opinion, Ms. Moody’s
fibromyalgia originated before the vaccination, when she was suffering Major
Depressive Disorder. Id. at 10-13.

       The role of Major Depressive Disorder was emphasized by the second expert
whom the Secretary retained, Ms. Anderson.7 Ms. Anderson is a licensed
psychologist and neuropsychologist. She is not a medical doctor. After a review
of the medical records, Ms. Anderson opined Ms. Moody “had a pre-existing
history of depression and/or depressive symptoms several years before the date of
reported vaccination injury.” Exhibit F at 24.



       6
         This decision refers to Michael McCabe with the honorific “Mr.” to distinguish his
credentials from medical doctors. See Dominguez v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., No. 12-
378V, 2019 WL 3315270, at *3 n.2 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. June 24, 2019).
       7
         Because Deborah Anderson does not have a medical license, this decision will refer to
her as “Ms. Anderson.”

                                                   8
      The Secretary’s introduction of a neuropsychologist led to a response from
Ms. Moody. Ms. Moody filed a report from Tracy Marks, a psychiatrist, on
August 9, 2018. Dr. Marks opined that Ms. Moody’s depression came after and
was a result of the fibromyalgia. Exhibit 37.

       Ms. Moody also obtained a supplemental report from Mr. McCabe, which
she filed on October 9, 2018, as exhibit 53. Mr. McCabe generally disagreed with
the points Dr. Rose had offered to contest the connection between the vaccination
and Ms. Moody’s fibromyalgia.

       The volleying continued as the Secretary filed reports from Dr. Rose (exhibit
J) and Ms. Anderson (exhibit K) on February 4, 2019. They continued to maintain
their previous expressed opinions.

       At this point, an unusual development occurred. Despite presenting reports
from Mr. McCabe and Dr. Marks, Ms. Moody sought an opportunity to present a
report from a third expert, a rheumatologist, Eric Gershwin. Pet’r’s Status Rep.,
filed Feb. 20, 2019. The Secretary opposed this request because Ms. Moody had
earlier opportunities to present a report from a rheumatologist. Resp’t’s Not., filed
Feb. 26, 2019, at 2. The Secretary argued that because the Secretary had presented
reports from Dr. Rose and Ms. Anderson, the late retention of Dr. Gershwin would
give Dr. Gershwin “the improper advantage of responding to respondent’s experts,
rather than properly providing an opinion in the first instance. . . . This is
fundamentally unfair and prejudicial to respondent, and should not be allowed.”
Id. In a status conference, Ms. Moody’s attorney represented that he had just
discovered Dr. Gershwin might be able to assist his client, and further represented
that Dr. Gershwin would submit a report promptly. Ms. Moody was allowed to
obtain a report from Dr. Gershwin, despite the Secretary’s objection. Order, issued
March 4, 2020.8



       8
         Later, the Secretary argued that his opposition to a report from Dr. Gershwin was “well-
founded” because Dr. Gershwin “essentially coopted the causation theory advanced by
respondent’s experts, which Dr. Gershwin had the benefit of knowing before developing his
opinion. In other words, Dr. Gershwin had an unfair advantage in this case not afforded to
petitioners’ experts in other cases.” Resp’t’s Resp. at 22 n.8.
        This argument differs slightly from the Secretary’s February 26, 2019 opposition.
Earlier, the Secretary had argued that a late submission from Dr. Gershwin would be prejudicial
to the respondent. In the more recent brief, the Secretary argues prejudice to other petitioners.

                                                    9
       Dr. Gershwin prepared a report relatively quickly, and Ms. Moody filed it on
March 29, 2019. Exhibit 74. Dr. Gershwin proposed the causation theory on
which Ms. Moody is relying: (1) the vaccination caused an immediate reaction,
including headaches; (2) doctors overtreated Ms. Moody’s initial symptoms; (3)
this overtreatment caused stress in Ms. Moody; and (4) the stress led to
fibromyalgia. Id. at 4. While Dr. Gershwin clearly expressed this theory, he did
not express an opinion about when Ms. Moody had developed fibromyalgia. Thus,
Ms. Moody was directed to obtain a supplemental report from him. Order, issued
April 24, 2019.

       Dr. Gershwin’s supplemental report attempted to tie up these loose ends. He
stated: “I agree with Dr. Nelson’s assessment that as of July 2, 2015, [Ms. Moody]
was suffering from fibromyalgia.” Exhibit 79 at 2.

       In response, the Secretary presented a supplemental report from Dr. Rose.
Dr. Rose emphasized that Ms. Moody had problems before vaccination that, at
least, made her predisposed to suffering fibromyalgia. To Dr. Rose, any adverse
reaction and any overtreatment for that adverse reaction could not be singled out as
the cause of Ms. Moody’s fibromyalgia. Exhibit Q at 5-6.

       In a July 1, 2019 status conference, the parties agreed that Dr. Rose’s report
appeared to complete the written evidentiary record. Thus, the parties were
ordered to submit briefs regarding Ms. Moody’s entitlement. This order
recognized that the parties may submit additional articles accompanied by a report
from an expert to explain the significance of any articles. Order for Entitlement
Briefs, issued Aug. 1, 2019.

      Ms. Moody accepted this offer and presented a final report from Dr. Marks.
Dr. Marks cited five articles, which were filed as exhibits 82-86, that concern
adolescent mental health and gender bias in treatment. Exhibit 95.

       Ms. Moody filed her motion for ruling on the record on October 9, 2019.
She argued that she “asserted a biologically plausible mechanism demonstrating
that the Menveo vaccine can cause fibromyalgia.” Pet’r’s Mot. at 20. This
mechanism was the theory that Dr. Gershwin asserted: “the Menveo vaccine can
cause headaches and widespread pain . . . When combined with certain genetic
factors, the stress associated with the pain and medical help-seeking behaviors, can
trigger an individual to develop fibromyalgia.” Id. at 26; accord id. at 29. To
establish the interval in which the development of fibromyalgia is appropriate, Ms.
Moody relied upon Dr. Gershwin’s second report. Id. at 30, citing exhibit 79. Ms.

                                             10
Moody also relied upon Dr. Marks’s opinion to maintain that her more significant
mental health problems arose after the fibromyalgia appeared, not before it.

       The Secretary argued that Ms. Moody had not met her burden of proof.
Although the Secretary accepted that the theory that stress can lead to fibromyalgia
is generally plausible, the Secretary challenged whether that theory explains what
happened to Ms. Moody. See Resp’t’s Resp. at 23-24. Consistent with the
opinions that Dr. Rose and Ms. Anderson had presented in their reports, 9 the
Secretary argued that Ms. Moody had stresses independent of the vaccination
before and after the vaccination. Id. at 24-28. In addition, the Secretary argued
that the alleged overtreatment Dr. Gershwin identified constitutes a superseding
cause of Ms. Moody’s fibromyalgia. Id. at 28-30, citing Restatement (Second) of
Torts §§ 440-41. Finally, the Secretary questioned Ms. Moody’s evidence
regarding timing. Id. at 31-33.

     Ms. Moody replied. She maintained that she had established all the
elements necessary for compensation. Pet’r’s Reply, filed Dec. 17, 2019.

       After an initial review of the parties’ submissions, the undersigned posed
specific questions regarding Ms. Moody’s allegation that she suffered an initial
reaction to the vaccination and the evidence regarding her alleged depression
and/or stress before the vaccination. Order, issued Jan. 27, 2020. Ms. Moody
responded by arguing that the undersigned should give more weight to the absence
of pre-vaccination records indicating depression diagnosis or symptoms than Dr.
Hashish’s notations regarding Ms. Moody’s symptoms having existed for a “few
years.”10 See Pet’r’s Supp’l Br. ¶ 4. The Secretary argued in response that these
notations made by doctors and health professionals visited post-vaccination should

       9
         Like Ms. Moody, the Secretary also accepted the offer to present a final report from an
expert. The Secretary filed an additional report from Ms. Anderson on December 10, 2019.
Exhibit V.
       10
          Ms. Moody did not address the notations made by Dr. Romero and Counselor
Anderson, referenced in respondent’s responsive supplemental brief, which specifically pertain
to pre-vaccination depression. See Resp’t’s Supp’l Br. at 4 (citing exhibits 12 and 25).
Counselor Anderson noted that Ms. Moody reported having depression symptoms since she was
13-14 years old. See exhibit 25 at 21. Dr. Romero diagnosed Ms. Moody with major depressive
disorder in March 2016, but did not note any pre-vaccination symptoms of depression. See
generally exhibit 12. However, based on her overall argument, the undersigned will construe her
argument for weighing pre-vaccination medical records over post-vaccination notations as
extending to these records as well.

                                                   11
be regarded as accurate given that they constitute “information supplied to or by
health professionals to facilitate diagnosis and treatment of medical conditions.”
Resp’t’s Supp’l Br. at 4-5 (quoting Cucuras v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs.,
993 F.3d 1525, 1528 (Fed. Cir. 1993)).

       In the supplemental briefs, the parties also disputed whether the initial
vaccine reaction lasted longer than six months, thus potentially constituting a
compensable injury separate from Ms. Moody’s fibromyalgia. Ms. Moody states
that she “continued to experience symptoms of dizziness, fatigue, pain, myalgia,
sleep disturbances, headache, and hand tingling” for more than six months after her
vaccination. Pet’r’s Supp’l Br. ¶ 3. The Secretary contends that, even if there
were an acute reaction to the vaccine (which the Secretary does not concede), her
post-vaccination medical records indicate otherwise and the alleged six-month
duration undercuts Dr. Gershwin’s theory of causation. Resp’t’s Supp’l Br. at 2-3.

       The submission of supplemental briefs makes Ms. Moody’s motion ready
for adjudication. After setting out the standards for adjudication, this decision
follows the organization the parties endorsed. The first issue is whether Ms.
Moody experienced a compensable immediate reaction to the vaccine. The second
issue is whether the vaccination caused Ms. Moody to suffer fibromyalgia.

III.   Standards for Adjudication

      A petitioner is required to establish her case by a preponderance of the
evidence. 42 U.S.C. § 300aa–13(1)(a). The preponderance of the evidence
standard requires a “trier of fact to believe that the existence of a fact is more
probable than its nonexistence before [he] may find in favor of the party who has
the burden to persuade the judge of the fact's existence.” Moberly v. Sec’y of
Health & Human Servs., 592 F.3d 1315, 1322 n.2 (Fed. Cir. 2010) (citations
omitted). Proof of medical certainty is not required. Bunting v. Sec’y of Health &
Human Servs., 931 F.2d 867, 873 (Fed. Cir. 1991).

       Distinguishing between “preponderant evidence” and “medical certainty” is
important because a special master should not impose an evidentiary burden that is
too high. Andreu v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., 569 F.3d 1367, 1379-80
(Fed. Cir. 2009) (reversing special master's decision that petitioners were not
entitled to compensation); see also Lampe v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., 219
F.3d 1357 (Fed. Cir. 2000); Hodges v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., 9 F.3d
958, 961 (Fed. Cir. 1993) (disagreeing with dissenting judge's contention that the
special master confused preponderance of the evidence with medical certainty).

                                            12
       The Vaccine Act requires a petitioner to establish five elements. 42 U.S.C.
§ 300aa-11(c)(1)(A)-(E). Ms. Moody satisfies three--receipt of a vaccination
(paragraph A), receipt of a vaccination in the United States (paragraph B), and not
previously receiving compensation (paragraph E). The remaining paragraphs
concern causation (paragraph C) and severity (paragraph D). Generally, causation
is the most contested factor. To establish causation, petitioners bear a burden “to
show by preponderant evidence that the vaccination brought about [the vaccinee’s]
injury by providing: (1) a medical theory causally connecting the vaccination and
the injury; (2) a logical sequence of cause and effect showing that the vaccination
was the reason for the injury; and (3) a showing of a proximate temporal
relationship between vaccination and injury.” Althen v. Sec’y of Health & Human
Servs., 418 F.3d 1274, 1278 (Fed. Cir. 2005).

IV.   Initial Reaction to Vaccine

     To establish entitlement for compensation for the symptoms Ms. Moody
reported after the vaccination, Ms. Moody is required to establish that the vaccine
caused an initial reaction and this reaction lasted longer than six months. While
the Secretary offers various arguments against both elements, the primary thrust of
the Secretary’s opposition is that problems that existed before the vaccination
explain the symptoms Ms. Moody reported after the vaccination. To the Secretary,
Ms. Moody’s problems have two interrelated dimensions: depression and stress.

       Depression before Vaccination. To start with points of agreement, the
parties recognize that Dr. Nelson diagnosed Ms. Moody with fibromyalgia on
August 4, 2015. See exhibit 20 at 3 (Mr. McCabe noting Dr. Nelson’s diagnosis as
occurring in September 2015); exhibit 74 at 2 (Dr. Gershwin noting that Dr.
Nelson’s ultimate diagnosis was fibromyalgia); exhibit A at 5 (Dr. Rose noting Dr.
Nelson’s diagnosis on August 4, 2015); see also Pet’r’s Mot. ¶ 18; Resp’t’s Resp.
at 6-7. The parties also acknowledge that Ms. Moody sought neuropsychological
testing from Dr. Romero starting on February 2, 2016, and sought counseling for
depression at Abiding Hope Counseling Center, beginning on November 28, 2016.
See exhibit 37 at 5 (Dr. Marks); exhibit F at 3 (Dr. Anderson); see also Pet’r’s Mot.
¶¶ 23, 36; Resp’t’s Resp. at 8-9, 11. The parties, however, take opposite positions
as to how these events are linked. In Ms. Moody’s view, the fibromyalgia caused
the depression. From the Secretary’s perspective, the depression started before the
fibromyalgia was diagnosed and this undiagnosed depression contributed to the
fibromyalgia.



                                            13
       The Secretary contends that “psycho-social issues [are] the likely source of
petitioner’s fibromyalgic symptoms” and point to Ms. Moody’s “signs of
depression and maladaptive coping strategies months prior to her Menveo
vaccination” as evidence of this pre-vaccination psycho-social cause. Resp’t’s
Resp. at 20-21. The Secretary also cites instances in Ms. Moody’s pre-vaccination
medical history that document “seizure-like” symptoms and headaches. Id. at 25.

       With respect to the contention that Ms. Moody’s pre-vaccination depression
and psychosomatic conditions were the more likely cause of her eventual
fibromyalgia diagnosis, additional factual development would be advisable. For
example, to support her good mental health before the vaccination, Ms. Moody
points to references in her pediatrician’s records that her pediatrician administered
a depression screening form. Pet’r’s Mot. ¶ 6, citing exhibit 4 at 17. However, this
form is not part of the record. In addition, testimony from the pediatrician about
how she screened adolescent patients for depression might influence how much
weight to give to these notations.

       Another piece of evidence that could be expanded is Counselor Anderson’s
notation that Ms. Moody had experienced symptoms of depression since she was
13-14 years old. See exhibit 25 at 21. The Secretary’s retained expert, Ms.
Anderson, partially relies upon this report to opine that Ms. Moody suffered from
depression before the vaccination. See exhibit F at 29. However, Ms. Moody’s
retained expert, Dr. Marks, offers a different interpretation of this same record:

             [t]his one statement does not reliably show that [Ms.
             Moody] had a previous history of depression . . . the
             more likely explanation for [Ms. Moody’s] statement to
             Ms. Anderson is that she may have used the word
             “depression” to connote an emotion rather than a
             constellation of symptoms that are part of a depressive
             disorder illness.

Exhibit 37 at 13. Given this dichotomy, testimony from Counselor Anderson
could be informative.

       Role of Other Potential Sources of Stress. Development of additional
factual material concerning Ms. Moody’s mental state before the vaccination
would necessarily encompass other factors in her life that were potentially
stressful. As Dr. Rose points out, “[a]dolescents like [Ms. Moody] who spent their
entire educational life in the protected environment offered by home schooling

                                            14
[are] expected to experience the transition to college life as a [s]tressful event.”
Exhibit A at 12.

      While medical professionals did not create any records before the
vaccination that contemporaneously document concerns about Ms. Moody’s
mental well-being, some records created after vaccination allude to problems pre-
dating the vaccination. For example, in Ms. Moody’s second appointment with Dr.
Leary, Dr. Leary recommended neuropsychological testing and psychological
counseling. Exhibit 6 at 9-10 (June 30, 2015).

       For reasons that are not entirely clear in the record, Ms. Moody did not seek
psychological counseling for more than one year. In her initial appointment with
Counselor Anderson on November 28, 2016, Ms. Moody sought guidance related
to post-vaccination chronic pain and fatigue, as well as feelings of hopelessness.
Exhibit 25 at 46-47. As the counseling sessions advanced, Ms. Moody also
discussed other issues in her life, such as getting ready for college, taking college
classes, working, searching for jobs, and relationship issues with her boyfriend at
the time. See generally exhibit 25. Unfortunately, while Ms. Anderson’s records
show when Ms. Moody spoke with Ms. Anderson about these problems, the
records do not always indicate when Ms. Moody began having those problems.
Oral testimony from Ms. Moody and Counselor Anderson might close some of the
gaps in the written material.

      Accordingly, another order will issue to provide more information about a
hearing regarding the initial reaction claim. In light of the additional anticipated
development, any discussion from the undersigned about causation or severity
would be premature.

V.    Development of Fibromyalgia

       In addition to claiming that she suffered an immediate adverse reaction to
the vaccination, Ms. Moody claims that she developed fibromyalgia as an indirect
consequence of the vaccination. As the parties do not dispute that Ms. Moody has
suffered fibromyalgia for longer than six months, she meets the severity
requirement. Thus, the only question is whether she meets the causation
requirement as set forth in Althen.

      A.     Medical Theory

     To succeed in proving entitlement to compensation, petitioners must first
show by a preponderance of the evidence “a medical theory causally connecting
                                              15
the vaccination to the injury.” Althen, 418 F.3d at 1278. Ms. Moody has failed to
meet her burden of presenting a persuasive medical theory here.

       Though Ms. Moody’s medical theory developed over the course of multiple
expert reports, the expert reports of Mr. McCabe and Dr. Gershwin work together
to propose a two-step theory. See Pet’r’s Supp’l Br. ¶ 1. The two steps are: (1)
Ms. Moody suffered an initial reaction to the vaccine, see exhibit 20 at 3-4
(McCabe), and (2) the doctors’ overtreatment for that initial reaction led to
disturbances in the stress-response system that then led to fibromyalgia. Exhibit 74
at 3-4 (Gershwin) (citing exhibit 57 (Arnold) at 384). This occurs via a resulting
impaired ability to activate the hypothalamic-pituitary-adrenal (HPA) axis. Id.;
exhibit 64 (Chrousos et al.) at 7.

       Ms. Moody argues that she has presented a “biologically plausible” theory.
Pet’r’s Mot. at 20, ¶ 53. Ms. Moody’s characterization of her evidence is accurate
in that her experts stated that they were expressing “plausible” ideas. See exhibit
20 (Mr. McCabe) at 3-4; exhibit 26 (Mr. McCabe) at 5-6; exhibit 53 (Dr.
Gershwin) at 3. However, as the Secretary pointed out, Resp’t’s Resp. at 19-20,
23, the correct standard is not “biologic plausibility.” LaLonde v. Sec’y of Health
& Human Servs., 746 F.3d 1334, 1339 (Fed. Cir. 2014) (“[S]imply identifying a
‘plausible’ theory of causation is insufficient for a petitioner to meet her burden of
proof.”); Moberly v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., 592 F.3d 1315, 1322 (Fed.
Cir. 2010) (rejecting “proof of a ‘plausible’ or ‘possible’ causal link between the
vaccine and injury” as the applicable statutory standard).

       While LaLonde and Moberly articulated that a theory must be persuasive, a
more recent case from the Federal Circuit demonstrates the consequence of failing
to present opinions at the correct level. In Boatmon, petitioners’ experts opined
that a vaccine can serve as an exogenous stressor triggering the upregulation of
cytokines. Boatmon v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., 941 F.3d 1351, 1355-56
(Fed. Cir. 2019). On appeal, the Federal Circuit held that these opinions were
insufficient, stating that “the Special Master erred in allowing a theory that was at
best ‘plausible’ to satisfy the Petitioners’ burden of proof.” Id. at 1360; see also
Kottenstette v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., No. 15-1016V, 2020 WL 953484,
at *3 (Fed. Cl. Feb. 12, 2020) (deeming the “biologic credibility” standard as akin
to the invalid “plausibility” standard and striking it down in accordance with
Boatmon). The Federal Circuit, therefore, affirmed the Court of Federal Claims’
reversal of an award of compensation. Id. at 1363. Boatmon, therefore, dictates



                                             16
that Ms. Moody has failed to meet her burden of proof to present a persuasive
medical theory. 11 Nevertheless, the remaining Althen prongs are further analyzed.

       B.     Logical Sequence

       If Ms. Moody had presented a persuasive medical theory explaining
causation, she also would be required to show with preponderant evidence “a
logical sequence of cause and effect showing that the vaccination was the reason
for the injury.” Althen, 418 F.3d at 1278. The key issue in making this
determination is whether Ms. Moody was in fact overtreated following her
vaccination. The second issue is whether any overtreatment constitutes an
intervening cause.

              1.      Whether doctors overtreated Ms. Moody

       Ms. Moody’s assertion of a logical sequence of cause and effect between her
vaccine and development of fibromyalgia relies heavily on the resulting stress from
overtreatment between her vaccination and onset of fibromyalgia. In fact, Dr.
Gershwin characterizes overtreatment as the “lynchpin of why unlike other
individuals who experience local reactions to vaccines, [Ms. Moody] continued to
experience symptoms and developed fibromyalgia.” Exhibit 74 at 4. Thus,
overtreatment is an essential part of the chain of causation alleged by Ms. Moody.

        Despite the critical importance of overtreatment, neither Dr. Gershwin nor
Ms. Moody explain how Ms. Moody was overtreated. To review, Dr. Gershwin
asserted that Ms. Moody suffered from fibromyalgia on July 2, 2015. Exhibit 79 at
2. The medical records show that, between her vaccination and July 2, 2015 (the
diagnosis date referenced by Dr. Gershwin, representing a time span of
approximately four months between vaccination and diagnosis), Ms. Moody had
six doctors’ appointments with two different doctors. See exhibit 4 at 5, 8 (two
visits to Dr. Hilliard on April 3, 2015, and April 13, 2015); exhibit 6 at 1, 7 (two
visits to Dr. Leary on April 28, 2015, and June 30, 2015); id. at 31-32, 50 (MRI


       11
           Ms. Moody cites Lee, in which the special master accepted a medical theory virtually
identical to the one provided in this case. However, in Lee, which was decided in 2005 before
Boatmon, LaLonde, or Moberly were issued, the Special Master looked for a “plausible
biological mechanism” by which the vaccine could cause the injury at issue. Lee v. Sec’y of
Health & Human Servs., No. 03-2479V, 2005 WL 1125672, at *6, *17 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr.
April 8, 2005). As explained above, “plausibility” is no longer recognized as an acceptable
standard capable of satisfying a petitioner’s burden of proof.

                                                  17
conducted May 9, 2015, and EEG conducted on May 26, 2015, both ordered by Dr.
Leary). It is not clear how Ms. Moody was overtreated.

       Dr. Gershwin’s conclusion that doctors overtreated her seems to be just that,
a conclusion. He does not explain how multiple doctors’ visits alone constitute
“overtreatment” sufficient to trigger a stress response and ultimately lead to the
development of fibromyalgia. He simply states, without defining or expounding
on the nature of “overtreatment,” that instead of being given counseling on vaccine
reactions and physical therapy, “[Ms. Moody] began this long road involving
multiple physicians, unneeded imaging, and extensive and unneeded laboratory
tests.” Exhibit 74 at 3. It is unclear how doctors’ appointments and diagnostic
testing constitutes overtreatment. Additionally, the Secretary raises the point that
Ms. Moody asserted that her treating physicians dismissed and minimized her
complaints, which is inconsistent with the idea that they overtreated her. Resp’t’s
Resp. at 29. In response, Ms. Moody stated that “[a]n individual can be over-
treated for certain symptoms, e.g., the psychological symptoms and under treated
for others e.g., chronic pain.” Pet’r’s Reply ¶ 16. However, there is virtually no
evidence of overtreatment specifically with respect to psychological symptoms
before Ms. Moody’s fibromyalgia diagnosis, and Dr. Gershwin does not make this
psychological versus physical distinction in his report when he discusses
overtreatment.

       If anything, Ms. Moody’s overtreatment, particularly with respect to her
psychological symptoms, seems to have occurred after her August 4, 2015
fibromyalgia diagnosis. During this period, Ms. Moody continued visits to Dr.
Leary, saw another rheumatologist Dr. Hashish, and sought treatment for several
different conditions related to her fibromyalgia (including aquatic therapy, physical
therapy, treatment from an OB/GYN for dysmenorrhea, and a sleep specialist for
chronic fatigue syndrome). See supra Part I. She also underwent
neuropsychological testing from Dr. Romero and attended counseling sessions.
See id.

       Therefore, the lack of clear overtreatment during the critical time period—
between her vaccination and fibromyalgia onset—as well as the ambiguity
regarding how Ms. Moody was overtreated makes it unlikely that she was
overtreated during this time period. Indeed, if anything, she was overtreated after
her fibromyalgia diagnosis, a finding which does not aid in establishing causation
under Dr. Gershwin’s theory.



                                            18
             2.    Overtreatment as an intervening cause

       If Ms. Moody could establish that the doctors overtreated her, the Secretary
contends that “the actions of petitioner’s treating physicians operate as an
intervening/superseding cause that breaks the causal chain between the Menveo
vaccine and petitioner’s fibromyalgia, because those actions meet most, if not all,
of the factors set forth in the Restatement.” Resp’t’s Resp. at 30. Specifically, the
Secretary points to factors (a)-(e) of Restatement (Second) of Torts § 442. In
response, Ms. Moody argues that “the overtreatment Petitioner describes is not an
‘extraordinary operation’ because local reactions, myalgias, and headaches are part
of a sequelae of the vaccination at issue, and they continuously operated along with
the over-treatment to bring about the harm.” Pet’r’s Reply ¶ 17.

       The Restatement provides “the damages assessable against the actor include
not only the injury originally caused by the actor’s negligence but also the harm
resulting from the manner in which the medical . . . services are rendered . . . .”
Restatement (Second) of Torts § 457(a). Cases have followed this guidance. See,
e.g., LaClair v. Suburban Hosp., Inc., 518 Fed. App’x 190, 197 (4th Cir. 2013)
(stating that “tortfeasors are liable for more significant harm inflicted by
intervening negligent medical professionals” unless they were “extraordinarily
negligent”); Sharkey v. Penn Central Transp. Co., 493 F.2d 685, 690-91 (2d Cir.
1974) (articulating the test as whether “the cause of the aggravation is a normal
intervening cause”).

      In this case, however, neither party has discussed Restatement § 457. Thus,
the undersigned does not resolve the intervening cause issue as it pertains to
alleged overtreatment in this case.

       In summary, for prong 2, although overtreatment is essential to her theory,
Ms. Moody has not persuasively shown that overtreatment occurred in her case.
The evidence does not persuasively show that she was overtreated in the months
following any alleged initial vaccine reaction. Thus, the undersigned finds that
Ms. Moody has not met her burden in establishing a logical sequence of cause and
effect. See Hibbard v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., 698 F.3d 1355, 1364
(Fed. Cir. 2012); Dodd v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., 114 Fed. Cl. 43, 52-57
(2013).

      C.     Timing

      Finally, petitioners must show by a preponderance of the evidence “a
proximate temporal relationship between vaccination and injury.” Althen, 418
                                           19
F.3d at 1278. The timing prong actually contains two parts. A petitioner must
show the “timeframe for which it is medically acceptable to infer causation” and
that the onset of the disease occurred in this period. Shapiro v. Secʼy of Health &
Human Servs., 101 Fed. Cl. 532, 542-43 (2011), recons. denied after remand on
other grounds, 105 Fed. Cl. 353 (2012), aff’d without op., 503 F. App’x 952 (Fed.
Cir. 2013).

      Here, Ms. Moody’s chain of events implicates the appropriateness of the
amount of time from the alleged initial reaction to the development of
fibromyalgia. In evaluating the temporal relationship between the initial reaction
and the onset of fibromyalgia, the first question, again, is what is the interval that
medical science expects between a stressful event (or between stressful events) and
the onset of fibromyalgia?

       Dr. Gershwin states that “it is difficult for researchers to develop a
traditional timetable for when an individual may develop fibromyalgia after an
event; however, there are many studies demonstrating the onset of fibromyalgia
within a few months of an event . . . .” Exhibit 79 at 2. Therefore, under his
assessment, the appropriate time frame for onset of fibromyalgia is less definite
than many other conditions. Dr. Rose did not comment on this particular claim in
his responsive report, instead mostly focusing on the lack of causation due to pre-
vaccination factors in the medical records. However, if Dr. Gershwin’s theory
were accepted, the chain of causation connecting initial vaccine reaction to
overtreatment to resulting stress to development of fibromyalgia could extend
several months.

       The next question is when did Ms. Moody develop fibromyalgia? Dr.
Gershwin was specifically directed to answer this question in a supplemental
report. See order, issued April 24, 2019. In his report, Dr. Gershwin stated that
“as of July 2, 2015, [Ms. Moody] was suffering from fibromyalgia.” Exhibit 79 at
2.

      However, it appears that Dr. Gershwin has misread the medical records.
When Ms. Moody saw Dr. Nelson on July 2, 2015, he conducted a physical
examination. He specifically determined that a trigger point examination did not
produce results consistent with fibromyalgia. Exhibit 5 at 15. As a
rheumatologist, Dr. Nelson’s determination about whether a patient whom he
examined was suffering from fibromyalgia is almost unimpeachable.

      Moreover, two other records bulwark Dr. Nelson’s determination. First, on
June 30, 2015, Dr. Leary found “[n]o pain on pressure at typical trigger points for
                                           20
fibromyalgia.” Id. at 9. The report from another doctor just two days before Dr.
Nelson’s evaluation considerably strengthen the value of Dr. Nelson’s opinion.
Second, Dr. Nelson’s record from September 15, 2015, indicates that Ms. Moody
has “active” fibromyalgia with an onset date of August 4, 2015. Id. at 3-4.

       Between the July 2, 2015 appointment, when Dr. Nelson stated that she did
not have fibromyalgia, and the September 15, 2015 appointment, when Dr. Nelson
stated she had active fibromyalgia, is the August 4, 2015 appointment. In the
August appointment, Dr. Nelson found “1-2+ tenderness of her fibromyalgia
trigger points” in her spine. Id. at 11. This different finding appears to underlie
the change in Ms. Moody’s diagnosis.12

       To some degree, the error in Dr. Gershwin’s review of the medical records
diminishes the value of his opinion. However, whether a shift in the day of
diagnosis from July 2, 2015, to August 4, 2015, affects the prong 3 analysis is not
clear. This uncertainty is due to vagueness in Dr. Gershwin’s opinion in two
respects.

       First, Dr. Gershwin has not explained when the overtreatment occurred.
(This absence of specificity may be because, as explained above, there is no
evidence of any overtreatment.) Without some basis for determining when a
doctor overtreated Ms. Moody, starting the clock for the appropriate temporal
interval is not possible.

        Second, Dr. Gershwin has not defined with much precision what an
appropriate interval is. One reason is that the relationship between stressful events
that trigger the onset of fibromyalgia is poorly understood. But, without some
outside limit, the persuasiveness of Dr. Gershwin’s opinion diminishes. See
Hennessey v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., 91 Fed. Cl. 126, 142 (2010) (the
expert’s “overly broad” opinion on timing effectively “renders Althen’s third


       12
           Ms. Moody, too, seems to misinterpret the medical records. In defending Dr.
Gershwin’s opinion that she was suffering fibromyalgia on July 2, 2015, Ms. Moody claims that
she “had to wait for several months before receiving a referral to a rheumatologist. Once she
presented to the rheumatologist, he declined to give her a diagnosis for fibromyalgia even though
when [Ms. Moody] returned describing the same exact symptoms, she was diagnosed with
fibromyalgia.” Pet’r’s Mot. ¶ 22. Compare exhibit 5 at 13 (reporting on July 2, 2015, “chronic
fatigue, frequent vertigo usually associated with nausea and polyarthralgias and myalgias since
getting the vaccine”), with id. at 9 (reporting on August 4, 2015, “severe chronic fatigue and
chronic generalized fibromyalgia like musculoskeletal pain primarily in the muscles”).

                                                  21
prong a nullity”). While Dr. Gershwin has opined that a diagnosis of fibromyalgia
on July 2, 2015, falls within the appropriate time frame, whether a diagnosis on
August 4, 2015, is also appropriate is not stated.

       Because Ms. Moody bears the burden of establishing the Althen prongs by
preponderant evidence, these deficiencies in her evidence might be sufficient to
rule against her. However, the outcome of her claim that the vaccination caused
her fibromyalgia does not depend upon prong 3. Rather, for the reasons explained
above, Ms. Moody has not met her burden of proof on prongs 1 and 2. And, even
if Ms. Moody could be found to have met her burden on prong 3, a “proximate
temporal association alone does not suffice to show a causal link between the
vaccination and the injury.” Grant v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., 956 F.2d
1144, 1148 (Fed. Cir. 1992).

VI.   Hearing

       Special masters retain wide discretion in determining whether an evidentiary
hearing is necessary. Kreizenbeck v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., 945 F.3d
1362, 1365 (Fed. Cir. 2020) (citing 42 U.S.C. § 300aa-12(d)(3)(B)(v) (“In
conducting a proceeding on a petition a special master . . . may conduct such
hearings as may be reasonable and necessary.”)). The special master must only
determine “that the record is comprehensive and fully developed before ruling on
the record.” Id. at 1366 (citing Simanski v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., 671
F.3d 1368, 1385 (Fed. Cir. 2012)).

       Here, the usefulness of a hearing differs on the two claims. For the claim
that the vaccination caused an adverse reaction lasting six months, a hearing may
be useful. Testimony from Ms. Moody, medical professionals who treated her, and
other percipient witnesses may provide reliable evidence about her mental and
physical well-being before and after the vaccination.

      However, a hearing for the fibromyalgia claim is not necessary. The parties
have had ample opportunity to develop the record both in terms of the facts
presented, as well as the expert opinions in the case. Indeed, six different experts
have opined across twelve different expert reports, providing significant material
through which the undersigned was able to discern the parties’ medical theories,
arguments, and responses. The parties have also submitted briefs.

      Ms. Moody’s claim regarding fibromyalgia fails for reasons that a hearing
could not cure. First, her experts offered theories that are “plausible,” not
“persuasive.” Ms. Moody presented these reports even though Federal Circuit
                                             22
cases rejecting the plausibility standard, Moberly and LaLonde, were issued before
the opinions. Moreover, even after the Secretary argued that Boatmon, too,
prevents compensation on a plausible theory, Ms. Moody did not submit revised
reports.

      Second, Ms. Moody has not supported a critical assumption in Dr.
Gershwin’s theory--the assumption that doctors who treated her for symptoms after
the vaccination overtreated her. The undersigned’s review of the record has not
suggested any instances of overtreatment and Dr. Gershwin has not identified any.
Because Dr. Gershwin may not introduce new opinions at a hearing, see Simanski,
671 F.3d at 1382-83, a hearing on this issue would be futile.


VII. Conclusion

       For the foregoing reasons, Ms. Moody has not presented sufficient evidence
to show that the meningococcal vaccine caused her to develop fibromyalgia.
Accordingly, this claim for compensation is DENIED. An order for a hearing to
resolve Ms. Moody’s claim regarding an initial reaction will issue in conjunction
with this order.

      IT IS SO ORDERED.

                                                  s/ Christian J. Moran
                                                  Christian J. Moran
                                                  Special Master




                                           23
