                   UNITED STATES DISTRICT COURT
                   FOR THE DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA

______________________________
                              )
THE BOEING COMPANY,           )
                              )
                Plaintiff,    )
     v.                       )
                              )     Civil Action No. 05-365 (GK)
U.S. DEPARTMENT OF THE        )
     AIR FORCE,               )
                              )
                Defendant.    )
______________________________)

                        MEMORANDUM OPINION

     Plaintiff The Boeing Company (“Boeing”) brings this action

against Defendant United States Department of the Air Force Space

and Missile Systems Center (“Air Force”) pursuant to the Freedom of

Information Act (“FOIA”), 5 U.S.C. § 552, as amended by the Freedom

of Information Act of 1986 (“FIRA”), Pub.L. No. 99-570, § 1801-04,

100 Stat. 3207-48, 48-50; the Trade Secrets Act, 18 U.S.C. § 1905;

and the Administrative Procedure Act, 5 U.S.C. § 702.

     The present matter is before the Court on Defendant’s Motion

for Summary Judgment [Dkt. No. 20], and Plaintiff’s Motion for

Summary Judgment [Dkt. No. 21].

     Upon consideration of the Motions, Oppositions, the entire

record herein, and for the reasons set forth below, Defendant’s

Motion for Summary Judgment is granted, and Plaintiff’s Motion for

Summary Judgment is denied.
I.     Background1

       The Global Positioning System (“GPS”) is a “space-based radio-

positioning system” that depends on a “24-satellite constellation

that provides navigation and timing information to military and

civilian users.”          Pl.’s Mot. for Summ. J. at 1.           It has become

increasingly widespread as a mapping tool in cars, cell phones, and

fitness monitors used by runners and cyclists.

       The technology depends upon a network of satellites that are

updated and replaced over time.              Id. at 2.   There have been four

generations of satellites: Block I, Block II, Block IIA, and Block

IIR.        Id.

       After a competitive procurement in April 1996, the Air Force

awarded the production contract for the Block IIF “next generation”

satellites to Boeing.          Id.    The contract provided for Boeing to

build and launch six satellites and included options for twenty-

seven more.         Id.    In March 2000, the Air Force decided not to

exercise all twenty-seven options.              It contracted with Boeing to

build       the   first   twelve   satellites   and   put   the   other   fifteen

contracts out for competitive bidding.             Id.



        1
        Unless otherwise noted, the facts set forth herein are
undisputed. These facts are typically drawn primarily from the
parties’ Statements of Undisputed Material Facts submitted pursuant
to Local Civil Rule 7(h). However, in this case, only Defendant
submitted a Statement of Undisputed Material Facts to accompany its
Motion for Summary Judgment. Plaintiff responded to Defendant’s
Statement [Dkt. No. 28], but submitted its Motion for Summary
Judgment without including its own Statement of Material Facts.

                                         2
       On January 22, 2004, the Air Force received a FOIA request

from       Federal   Sources,   Inc.       Federal      Sources   is   a   fee-based

commercial       service   that    submits       FOIA   requests   on      behalf    of

companies or individuals.           Boeing believes that the requestor is

Boeing’s major competitor, Lockheed Martin.

       The request sought a copy of Air Force contract F4701-96-C-

0025, all modifications to that contract, and the Source Selection

Decision Document.           The contract was awarded in 1996 and will

continue through 2012.            Federal Sources subsequently agreed to

accept a conformed version of the contract in place of the original

contract and all modifications.2

       Boeing was notified of this request by a letter from the Air

Force dated January 28, 2004.          On March 31, 2004, Boeing responded

to the request for the Source Selection Decision Document.                          The

parties       subsequently      resolved       their    differences     about   this

document, so it is not an issue in this litigation.

       On April 12, 2004, Boeing submitted its objections to the

release of the pricing information or wrap-around rates contained

in sections B and H of the contract. Specifically, Boeing objected

to the release of information in Sections H.17, H.23, and H.24, as

well as the following contract line item numbers (“CLINs”) in




       2
       Boeing used the term “conformed” in its Motion.                     Pl.’s Mot.
for Summ. J. at 4. Neither party defined the term.

                                           3
section B: CLINs 7, 16, 23, 40, 41, 43, and 45.3                 Boeing objected

only to the release of rates, not to the release of the total

contract price.      Pl.’s Opp’n at 21.        Boeing emphasized in all its

pleadings that it is opposed to disclosing “wrap rates,” i.e.,

rates    that   combine     an   employee’s    wages,   employer-paid       taxes,

benefits, and allocated overhead costs.             Id. at 23.    The wrap rates

include “labor rates, profit rates, or the combination of the two

-- and any information that would enable a competitor to derive

those rates.”     Id. at 21.

     On October 22, 2004, the Air Force responded that information

from 1996 through 2004 could not be used to produce projections

with “sufficient validity to cause a likelihood of substantial

competitive harm.”        It also agreed not to release information from

2005 through 2012.

     On December 2, 2004, Boeing submitted additional comments. It

agreed to the release of pricing information for the years 1996

through 1999.     However, it objected to the release of such data for

the 2000-2004 period on the ground that it could be used to predict

Boeing’s future labor rates.

     On    January    25,    2005,    the     Air   Force   issued    its   Final

Administrative Decision Letter (“Decision Letter”).                 The Decision



     3
       CLINs are “composed predominantly of the costs of materials
and services [Boeing] procures from other vendors.”      McDonnell
Douglas v. Dep’t of the Air Force, (“McDonnell Douglas II”), 375
F.3d 1182, 1190 (D.C. Cir. 2004).

                                        4
Letter indicated that the Air Force would release all requested

pricing information for the period between 1996 and 2004 within two

weeks of that date, although it agreed not to release prices for

the years 2005-2012.          The Decision Letter also indicated that

Boeing    was    required    to    submit      proposed   unit    prices    when   it

submitted its contract bid and that Boeing had failed to establish

that release of the requested information would be likely to cause

substantial harm to Boeing’s competitive position.

     On February 16, 2005, Boeing responded to the Decision Letter,

stating its disagreement with the agency’s decision.                     On February

23, 2005, the Air Force responded further, stating that it had been

careful in reaching its decision and indicating that it planned to

release    the    contract,       including     the   disputed    information      in

sections B and H, for all years prior to 2005.

     On that same date, Boeing filed its Complaint for Declaratory

and Injunctive Relief.            On August 18, 2005, a stay was ordered

until December 28, 2005 to permit Boeing to submit comments in

response to the Air Force’s February 23, 2005 letter and to allow

the Air Force to reply.           Boeing submitted its comments on November

23, 2005, and the Air Force issued a final agency decision on

December    27,    2005.      In    this    final     decision,    the    Air   Force

reiterated      its   view   that    the    requested     information      could   be

released for the years between 1996 and 2004.




                                           5
II.   Standard of Review

      FOIA “requires agencies to comply with requests to make their

records available to the public, unless the requested records fall

within one or more of nine categories of exempt material.” Oglesby

v. Dep’t of the Army, 79 F.3d 1172, 1176 (D.C. Cir. 1996) (citing

5 U.S.C. §§ 552(a), (b)).

      In a FOIA case, the district court conducts a de novo review

of the government’s decision to withhold requested documents under

any of the statute’s nine exemptions.   5 U.S.C. § 552(a)(4)(B).   An

agency that withholds information pursuant to a FOIA exemption

bears the burden of justifying its decision. Petroleum Info. Corp.

v. Dep’t of the Interior, 976 F.2d 1429, 1433 (D.C. Cir. 1992)

(citing 5 U.S.C. § 552(a)(4)(B)); Anderson v. Liberty Lobby, Inc.,

477 U.S. 242, 254 (1986).   In this Circuit, an agency is obligated

to submit a so-called “Vaughn Index,” an index of all responsive

material it has withheld, either in whole or in part, under a FOIA

exemption. Vaughn v. Rosen, 484 F.2d 820, 826-28 (D.C. Cir. 1973).

      In a FOIA case, a court may award summary judgment solely on

the basis of information provided in affidavits or declarations

when they (1) “describe the documents and the justifications for

nondisclosure with reasonably specific detail”; (2) “demonstrate

that the information withheld logically falls within the claimed

exemption”; and (3) “are not controverted by either contrary

evidence in the record nor by evidence of agency bad faith.”


                                 6
Military Audit Project v. Casey, 656 F.2d 724, 738 (D.C. Cir.

1981).

     Because this action is a challenge to an agency’s decision to

disclose documents, it, like other agency actions, is reviewed

under the arbitrary and capricious standard of the Administrative

Procedure Act (“APA”).    See 5 U.S.C. § 706(2)(A).    The agency’s

decision must be set aside if it is “arbitrary, capricious, an

abuse of discretion, or otherwise not in accordance with the law.”

Canadian Commercial Corp. v. Dep’t of the Air Force, 514 F.3d 37,

39 (D.C. Cir. 2008).     An agency’s decision is arbitrary when it

provides no “empirical support” for its assertions, id. at 40, when

it suffers from “shortfalls in logic and evidence,” Canadian

Commercial Corp. v. Dep’t of the Air Force, 442 F. Supp. 2d 15, 39

(D.D.C. 2006), or when it “fail[s] to explain how its knowledge or

experience supports” its decision, McDonnell Douglas v. Dep’t of

the Air Force, (“McDonnell Douglas II”), 375 F.3d 1182, 1191 (D.C.

Cir. 2004).

III. Analysis

     A.   FOIA’s Exemption 4 and the Trade Secrets Act

     FOIA “mandates a strong presumption in favor of disclosure.”

Multi Ag Media LLC v. Dep’t of Agriculture, 515 F.3d 1224, 1227

(D.C. Cir. 2008) (internal quotation marks omitted).   Nonetheless,

as noted earlier, an agency may withhold information that falls

within one of the statute’s nine enumerated exemptions.   August v.


                                 7
FBI, 328 F.3d 697, 699 (D.C. Cir. 2003).          These exemptions were

“designed to protect those legitimate governmental and private

interests that might be harmed by release of certain types of

information.” Id. (internal quotation marks omitted). Yet because

the statute favors disclosure, the exemptions “must be narrowly

construed.”     Multi Ag Media LLC, 515 F.3d at 1227 (internal

quotation marks omitted).

     FOIA’s Exemption 4 protects “matters that are . . . trade

secrets and commercial or financial information obtained from a

person and privileged or confidential.”          5 U.S.C. § 552(b)(4).

Commercial    information   is   considered   “confidential”   under   the

statute if “disclosure would . . . cause substantial harm to the

competitive position of the person from whom the information was

obtained.”     Canadian Commercial Corp., 514 F.3d at 39 (quoting

Nat’l Parks & Conservation Ass’n v. Morton, 498 F.2d 765, 770 (D.C.

Cir. 1974)) (internal punctuation omitted).

     To meet this standard, a plaintiff is not required to prove

that substantial harm is “certain” to result from disclosure, but

only that such harm is “likely.”     McDonnell Douglas II, 375 F.3d at

1187.     Even so, a plaintiff must provide “specific factual or

evidentiary material” to support his claim that harm is likely to

result.   Nat’l Parks & Conservation Ass’n v. Kleppe, 547 F.2d 673,

679 (D.C. Cir. 1976) (quoting Pacific Architects & Eng’rs, Inc. v.

The Renegotiation Board, 505 F.2d 383, 385 (D.C. Cir. 1974)).          For


                                     8
example, in McDonnell Douglas v. NASA, 180 F.3d 303, 371 (D.C. Cir.

1999) (“McDonnell Douglas I”), the court found that McDonnell

Douglas had shown, “as much as anyone can show before the event,”

that disclosure would result in competitive harm. 180 F.3d at 371-

72.

      To prove that information is likely to cause substantial harm

to a plaintiff’s competitive position, a plaintiff need not prove

actual competitive harm.       Gulf & W. Indus. v. United States, 615

F.2d 527, 530 (D.C. Cir. 1979); see also Nat’l Parks & Conservation

Ass’n, 547 F.2d at 683.        Instead, “[a]ctual competition and the

likelihood of substantial competitive injury is all that need be

shown.”    Gulf & W. Indus., 615 F.2d at 530 (citing Nat’l Parks, 547

F.2d at 673).

      Release   of   requested    information     is   likely     to   cause

substantial competitive harm if disclosure would allow a company’s

competitors to “accurately calculate” its “future bids and its

pricing structure” so that they could “estimate and undercut its

bids.”    Gulf & W. Indus., 615 F.2d at 530 (internal punctuation

omitted); see Nat’l Parks, 498 F.2d at 770 (finding a likelihood of

substantial competitive harm when disclosure would potentially

enable    competitors   to   underbid   the   plaintiff);   see   McDonnell

Douglas II, 375 F.3d at 1189 (finding a likelihood of substantial

competitive harm when disclosure would “significantly increase the

probability that competitors would underbid” plaintiff).


                                    9
     Courts may not impose a per se rule that in all cases

prohibits   or    requires     the   release     of   one   particular    type   of

information.        Canadian     Commercial       Corp.,     514   F.3d   at     41.

Accordingly, this Circuit has held that Exemption 4 may apply to

line-item pricing in some, but not necessarily all, cases.                Id.    In

others, Exemption 4 may not apply if the plaintiff fails to

demonstrate      that   releasing     the     information     would   result     in

competitive harm. Id. (distinguishing three cases relied on by the

agency    because       they    either        involved      previously-disclosed

information or because the contractor had failed to show that

disclosure would “enable a rival to reverse-engineer competitively

sensitive information”).

     Thus, in the absence of a per se rule, the set of facts in

each case must be evaluated independently to determine whether the

particular information at issue could cause substantial competitive

harm if it were released.        See id.

     Exemption 4 does not prohibit an agency from disclosing

information; instead, it merely gives an agency permission to elect

to withhold information.        McDonnell Douglas II, 375 F.3d at 1185.

However, when information falls within Exemption 4, the Trade

Secrets Act compels an agency to withhold it.                Canadian Commercial

Corp., 514 F.3d at 39; see also McDonnell Douglas II, 375 F.3d at

1185.    The Trade Secrets Act is a criminal statute that prevents

Government personnel from disclosing certain types of confidential


                                         10
information, and the D.C. Circuit has “long held” that the Trade

Secrets Act is “at least co-extensive with Exemption 4 of FOIA.”

Canadian Commercial Corp., 514 F.3d at 39 (quoting CNA Fin. Corp.

v. Donovan, 830 F.2d 1132, 1151 (D.C. Cir. 1987)).          Thus, the Trade

Secrets   Act   “effectively    prohibits    an   agency    from   releasing

information subject to the exemption.”        McDonnell Douglas II, 375

F.3d at 1186.

     B.      The Air Force’s Decision Was Not Arbitrary and Capricious
             Because Boeing Has Not Established that It Is Likely to
             Suffer Substantial Competitive Harm

     The parties agree on a substantial number of issues in this

case. They agree that the requested information cannot be released

if it is likely to produce substantial harm to Boeing’s competitive

position,4    that   information   between   2005   and     2012   cannot   be

released,5 and that information prior to 2000 can be released.6

     Accordingly,     the   parties’    disagreement   is    a   narrow   one,

limited to one principal issue: whether disclosure of pricing

information from the period between 2000 and 2004 would be likely

to result in substantial competitive harm to Boeing.


     4
        See Def.’s Mot. for Summ. J. at 14 (stating that Boeing
must prove that disclosure is likely to cause substantial
competitive harm).
     5
       In a letter dated October 22, 2004, the Air Force conceded
that it would not release information for the years 2005-2012.
Pl.’s. Mot, Exh. K at 1.
     6
       See Pl.’s Mot. for Summ. J. at 7 (“By letter dated December
2, 2004, Boeing agreed to release of the information for the years
1996 through 1999.”).

                                       11
      Boeing   contends         that    releasing    the        requested      pricing

information    would      likely      result   in   substantial         harm   to    its

competitive position because it would permit underbidding by its

competitors.   It argues that the “most significant unknown” factor

in    determining    a     company’s     likely     bid    is     its    labor      rate

information.   Pl.’s Opp’n at 4 (emphasis in original).                   Throughout

this litigation, Boeing has argued that if its competitors obtained

the requested information, they would be “in a good position to

make an extremely good judgments [sic] regarding Boeing’s future

bid prices and thereby underbid Boeing.”              Pl.’s Mot. for Summ. J.

at 17 (claiming that a competitor would be able to predict Boeing’s

“likely pricing for similar, future defense procurements”); id.

(disclosing the wrap rate information would “significantly increase

the   probability”       that   its    competitors    would      underbid      Boeing)

(quoting McDonnell Douglas II, 375 F.3d at 1189); id., Exh. M

(citing Oswald Decl.); id. at Exh. N (Terry Decl., stating that

“[w]ith knowledge of Boeing’s labor rates, a shrewd competitor can

estimate    with    reasonable         accuracy     Boeing’s       likely      pricing

information for similar, future defense procurements”).

      The Air Force reviewed the change in rates over time and

determined that they did not follow a linear progression.                            Id.

Instead, they either “rose at uneven rates” or “rose and fell from

year to year.”       Id.    Consequently, the Air Force concluded that

future prices cannot be extrapolated from the information in


                                         12
question,     Def.’s    Opp’n     at    4,      and   therefore         releasing    the

information would not enable Boeing’s competitors to estimate

“likely pricing for similar, future defense procurements.”

       Boeing interprets this argument to imply that the Air Force is

attempting    to   “impose[]      a    standard       of   its    own    creation,    an

‘unascertainable variables’ standard.”                     See Pl.’s Opp’n at 7.

Boeing   claims    that    the   Air    Force     derives        this   standard    from

Acumenics Research & Tech. v. Dep’t of Justice, 843 F.2d 800 (4th

Cir.   1988).      It     further      argues    that      this    standard    is    not

controlling in the D.C. Circuit and that it is directly contrary to

cases like McDonnell Douglas I and McDonnell Douglas II.

       However, Boeing misconstrues the Air Force’s claim and ignores

the clear direction given by the court in McDonnell Douglas II.

The Air Force argues that existence of “too many fluctuating

variables” is only one factor to be evaluated in determining

whether substantial competitive harm would be likely to result.

See Def.’s Mot. for Summ. J. at 14-17.                It does not argue that the

“unascertainable variables” standard should control, but rather

that the requested information -- labor rates for past years --

would not, in this particular case, enable a competitor to derive

the likely labor rates for future years.

       Case law in this Circuit clearly states that a court may

consider     the   presence      of    “unascertainable”           or    “fluctuating”

variables as one relevant element in that inquiry, even though


                                          13
“pinpoint precision is not required.”     See McDonnell Douglas II,

375 F.3d at 1192-93.   But, as the Air Force acknowledges, the test

is a broader one: whether the release of information could allow a

competitor to extrapolate data that would likely cause substantial

competitive harm.   See id. at 1192-93 (rejecting a per se rule and

holding that the presence of “unascertainable” variables is not

sufficient to establish that substantial harm is unlikely).

     Accordingly, the critical question is whether some logical,

consistent pattern exists that would permit extrapolation by a

competitor.   In cases in which a court has found a likelihood of

substantial competitive harm, the link between the release of

information and the possibility of harm has been clear.

     For example, in McDonnell Douglas II, option year prices were

not identical to the final prices because they were subject to

revision by the Economic Price Adjustment Clause. 375 F.3d 1182 at

1188 (internal quotation marks omitted).         However, because the

Adjustment Clause was publicly available and explicitly set out the

index used to determine the final prices, it was only a “matter of

simple arithmetic” to determine the exact final prices.       Id.   The

ability to calculate these adjusted option year prices would then

“significantly   increase   the   probability”   that   the   company’s

competitors would underbid it.    Id. at 1189.

     This Circuit has reached the opposite conclusion when a party

has provided no convincing, demonstrated link between requested


                                  14
information and data that would be likely to cause substantial

competitive harm.      For example, unlike option prices, the vendor

prices in McDonnell Douglas II did not pose a threat of substantial

competitive harm.      Id. at 1192.        Although McDonnell Douglas had

introduced newspaper articles from 1996 that reported employee

salaries,   it   had   presented    “neither   a   viable   theory   nor   any

evidence” about how this information might be used to calculate a

Labor Pricing Factor.      Id.     Without more certainty about the cost

of benefits and about the prevailing wage for McDonnell Douglas

employees performing work under this specific contract and at this

specific location, the connection between the requested information

and the Labor Pricing Factor was too attenuated.            Id.

     Here, release of past labor rates is not problematic in

itself.     For Exemption 4 purposes, releasing them would only

threaten a company’s competitive position to the extent they can be

used to predict future labor rates and thereby enable underbidding

by a company’s competitors.        Boeing argues that such extrapolation

is possible and that its views and expertise are entitled to

deference on the issue.      It further contends that the Government

set an “unreasonably high” standard for demonstrating a likelihood

of competitive harm.       Pl.’s Mot. for Summ. J., Exh. M (“[W]e

struggle to determine how we can prove, to the level of certitude

[the Government] seems to desire, that Boeing is likely to suffer

competitive harm from releasing this information.”).              Boeing also


                                      15
argues that the Air Force failed to consider the evidence it

presented.

     To substantiate its allegation that release of the requested

information would allow a competitor to extrapolate future rates,

Boeing provides a chart that purportedly shows that a competitor

armed with the requested pricing information could estimate the

annual “percent increase factor.” Pl.’s Mot. for Summ. J., Exh. M.

According to Boeing, the chart demonstrates that “a competitor

could use simple arithmetic to estimate within pennies the 2005-

2012 rates” for CLIN 45.       Pl.’s Opp’n at 12.

     A    plaintiff    need    not   demonstrate    that    the     release   of

information would allow a competitor to “model exactly or to

pinpoint precisely” information that would cause substantial harm.

McDonnell Douglas II, 375 F.3d at 1193. Nonetheless, the plaintiff

bears the burden of showing that such harm is likely to result.               To

satisfy its burden, a plaintiff must provide more than “mere

conclusory opinion testimony,” and he must support his claims with

“specific factual or evidentiary material.”          Nat’l Parks, 547 F.2d

673, 679 (D.C. Cir. 1976) (quoting Pacific Architects & Eng’rs,

Inc. v. The Renegotiation Board, 505 F.2d 383, 385 (D.C. Cir.

1974)).

     Boeing    falls   short    of   satisfying    this    burden    for   three

reasons.     First, Boeing provides a chart for only one piece of

data: H.23.    It does not provide a similar analysis for any of the


                                      16
other sections of the contract that were requested, i.e. H.17,

H.24, and CLINs 7, 16, 23, 40, 41, 43, and 45.                       There is no

evidence in the administrative record that demonstrates how the

release of these other sections of the contract could be used to

generate    data   that    would    harm    Boeing’s    competitive      position.

Despite     Boeing’s      allegation       that   releasing      the    requested

information would place a competitor in a “good position” to make

a “good judgment,” it fails to demonstrate, for the overwhelming

majority of the requested information, how it would be possible for

a competitor to make these “good judgments.”

     Second, the Air Force contends that as to other portions of

the requested information, such as the CLINs under H.23, “the rates

for the most part do not fluctuate in a linear fashion.”                    Pl.’s

Mot. for Summ. J., Exh. T.           It concluded that “there is nothing

reliable about using past labor rate data to predict current labor

rates to be bid on a current competition” and that “the age and

unpredictability of these wrap labor rates demonstrate that they

are not accurate predictors of labor rates that would be bid in a

current competition.”         Id.

     In its Revised Agency Final Decision of December 27, 2005, the

Air Force shows that for CLINs 40, 41, 42, 43, and 47, the

fluctuation    from    year    to   year   does   not   follow   a     discernible

pattern.      Pl.’s    Mot. for Summ. J., Exh. T.                Sometimes they

increase.     Sometimes they decrease.            Even when they move in one


                                       17
direction, they often move by non-linear increments, such as a

particular percent increase one year, followed by a different

percent increase the following year.           Because Boeing has not

provided    evidence   showing   precisely   how   the   release   of   this

information could be used to cause substantial competitive harm, it

fails to refute the Air Force’s claims.

     Third, Boeing’s argument about the predictive value of the

chart is premised on its claim that price increases are constant.

Pl.’s Mot. for Summ. J., Exh. M (chart includes two separate

columns for constant terms: “Constant % incr Factor” and “Constant

fee %”). It states specifically that if competitors obtain pricing

data “reaching back several years (i.e. to 1996),” then competitors

will be able to derive this “increase factor,” which in turn would

permit them to underbid Boeing in the future.               Id. (emphasis

added).

     Yet Boeing does not explain why it has agreed that information

from 1996 to 1999 can be released if it could presumably be used --

just like information from 2000 to 2004 -- to derive the “constant

term.”     Boeing’s different conclusions with respect to the two

periods of information appear contradictory: if Boeing is correct

that a constant term can be derived from only a few years of data

and can be used to cause competitive harm, then the 1996-1999

information would be just as harmful as the 2000-2004 information.

This contradiction suggests that Boeing is either overstating the


                                    18
ease of deriving the constant term or overstating the likelihood

that it will be harmed by the release of 2000-2004 information.

     Despite neglecting to explain the discrepancy in its own

treatment of information in the 1996-1999 period and the 2000-2012

period, Boeing argues that the Air Force’s decision was arbitrary

and capricious because it treated the data for the period between

2005 and 2012 differently from the data for the period between 1996

and 2004.

     At the time this dispute arose, release of the 2005-2012

information would have provided competitors with an exact future

rate.     Releasing data from the 2005-2012 period therefore would

have permitted competitors to underbid Boeing. Releasing past data

from 1996 to 2004, in contrast, would only harm Boeing to the

extent that it could be used to extrapolate future data.          As

discussed supra, the Air Force concluded that this past data could

not be used to reliably predict future data.    Therefore, the Air

Force did not act arbitrarily when it treated information from the

1996-2004 period differently from information from the 2005-2012

period.

     For these reasons, Boeing has not offered evidence sufficient

to carry its burden to show that the Air Force acted arbitrarily

and capriciously when it determined that Boeing is not likely to




                                 19
suffer substantial competitive harm.7

IV.   Conclusion

      For the reasons set forth above, the Air Force’s decision was

neither arbitrary nor capricious.    Accordingly, Defendant’s Motion

for Summary Judgment is granted, and Plaintiff’s Motion for Summary

Judgment is denied.     An Order shall accompany this Memorandum

Opinion.



May 18, 2009                          /s/
                                     Gladys Kessler
                                     United States District Judge


Copies via ECF to all counsel of record




      7
        Because the Court finds that the Air Force’s decision on
the likelihood of substantial competitive harm was not arbitrary
and capricious, it is not necessary to determine whether the
requested information was previously released.

                                20
