                                                                      F I L E D
                                                               United States Court of Appeals
                                                                       Tenth Circuit
                                     PUBLISH
                                                                       May 17, 2007
                      UNITED STATES CO URT O F APPEALS             Elisabeth A. Shumaker
                                                                       Clerk of Court
                                 TENTH CIRCUIT



 U N ITED STA TES O F A M ER ICA,

              Plaintiff-Appellee,
       v.                                               No. 06-1161
 M A RK JO RD A N ,

              Defendant-Appellant.



         A PPE AL FR OM T HE UNITED STATES DISTRICT COURT
                   FOR T HE DISTRICT OF COLORADO
                        (D.C. NO . 04-CR-229-LTB)



Howard A. Pincus, Assistant Federal Public Defender, (Raymond P. M oore,
Federal Public D efender, with him on the briefs) O ffice of the Federal Public
Defender, Denver, Colorado, for D efendant-Appellant.

Andrew A. Vogt, Assistant United States Attorney (Troy A. Eid, United States
Attorney, David M . Conner, Assistant United States Attorney, Gregory Holloway,
Assistant United States Attorney, and John M . Hutchins, Assistant United States
Attorney, with him on the brief), Office of the U nited States A ttorney, Denver,
Colorado, for Plaintiff-Appellee.



Before M cCO NNELL, B AL DOCK , and TYM KOVICH, Circuit Judges.



T YM K O VIC H, Circuit Judge.
      M ark Jordan was convicted of stabbing to death a fellow inmate in broad

daylight at the recreation yard of the federal penitentiary in Florence, Colorado.

He claims the district court erred in refusing to admit evidence tending to show

the stabbing was committed by another inmate. Jordan also argues the court erred

in concluding that multiple armed robberies committed during a 1994 crime spree

were unrelated crimes, thus making him eligible for sentencing as a career

offender.

      Having jurisdiction under 28 U.S.C. § 1291 and 18 U.S.C. § 3742(a)(1) and

(2), we AFFIRM .

                                  I. Background

      A.     Facts

      M ark Jordan was accused of murdering a fellow prisoner at the United

States Penitentiary in Florence, Colorado. The crime occurred on the afternoon of

June 3, 1999 in the maximum-security prison’s recreational yard.

      The victim, inmate D avid Stone, sat at a picnic table in the prison yard

wearing only shorts and tennis shoes. Numerous other prisoners were exercising,

congregating, and playing games in the outdoor sun.     Near Stone were three other

inmates, including M ark Jordan and Sean Riker. Both Jordan and Riker w ere

observed walking away from the table. M inutes later, someone stabbed Stone

three times. Two of the wounds were superficial, while the third was fatal. Stone

was able to run across the yard before collapsing. Later that night he died.

                                          2
      Two inmates saw the stabbing. Gary Collins was in the recreational yard at

the time of the stabbing. He observed Jordan, oddly dressed considering the heat

in a khaki shirt and pants, in the vicinity of Stone. Collins saw Jordan walk

behind Stone and stab him in the back. Collins described Jordan’s action as

“swinging a bat” in Stone’s lower back. Vol. XIV, at 338. After Collins watched

Jordan make other stabbing motions, Stone “[t]ook off running.” Id. at 339. H e

also witnessed Jordan start running after Stone, but Stone was far ahead.

      Another inmate, Tyrone Davis, was also in the yard and observed the

stabbing. Vol. XV, at 589. He saw Jordan standing by Stone, then watched as

Jordan pushed or punched Stone in the back side in an underhanded manner.

According to Davis, Stone then started running and Jordan gave chase. He then

saw Stone on the ground near a crowd of people, but lost sight of Jordan.

      Overlooking the recreational yard is the lieutenant’s patio. There, Norvel

M eadors, an assistant warden at the prison was taking a cigarette break. W hile he

was smoking, he saw “two inmates sprinting across the yard out on the sidewalk.”

V ol. X IV , at 207. From his vantage point, M eadors could not identify the

inmates, but he noticed one was wearing only shorts and no shirt and the other

was in the standard prison attire of a khaki shirt and pants. M eadors immediately

recognized that the two inmates were involved in a chase, with the shirtless

inmate ahead of the fully clothed one. Over the radio, he ordered a compound

officer to direct the inmates to cease their action.

                                           3
      M eadors then observed the pursuing inmate stop, while the other one

continued running and eventually collapsed to the ground. M eadors saw the

inmate in the khaki shirt and pants throw “an object” on top of a housing unit and

then sit down at a picnic table. M eadors watched as a compound officer

approached this inmate at the picnic table, patted him down, and then took him

into custody.

      The officer w ho responded to M eadors’s radio call w as Benjamin Valle.

After M eadors’s call, he observed two inmates running, with one about fifteen

yards behind the other. Valle w atched the trailing inmate stop and then start

walking back to a housing unit, throw something up on the roof of the housing

unit, and walk over to a bench table and sit down. Valle searched the inmate and

then escorted him off the yard. That inmate was M ark Jordan.

      Another corrections officer, Fares Finn, Jr., observed the same incidents in

nearly identical detail to Valle. A video surveillance camera also captured some

of the events that afternoon, among other things (1) four inmates, including

Jordan and Stone, sitting at a concrete bench approximately eleven minutes before

the stabbing, (2) Jordan approaching where Stone sat immediately before the

stabbing, and (3) the subsequent chase between Stone and Jordan. Because of the

camera angle, it did not capture the fatal encounter.

      After the stabbing, a prison official noticed a spot of blood on Jordan’s left

arm. Asked about the blood, Jordan claimed it originated from when “[t]hat guy

                                          4
[Stone] ran into me, that’s how I got blood on me. I was trying to help him.”

V ol. X IV , at 309–10. Later, authorities recovered a bloody, homemade knife or

shank about eleven or tw elve inches long from the roof of the housing unit. DN A

from the shank was determined to belong to Stone. Additional DNA evidence

w as found on the handle of the knife, but its origin could not be determined. N o

fingerprints w ere found on the knife because its handle had been wrapped in

cloth.

         B.    Procedural H istory

         Five years after the stabbing, Jordan was charged with the murder of Stone

and three related offenses. 1 Count One alleged second degree murder, in violation

of 18 U.S.C. § 111(a). Count Two charged assault with intent to commit murder,

in violation of 18 U.S.C. § 113(a)(1). Count Three accused Jordan of assault with

a dangerous weapon, in violation of 18 U.S.C. § 113(a)(1). Count Four asserted

assault resulting in serious bodily injury, in violation of 18 U.S.C. § 113(a)(6).

On August 9, 2005, a jury found Jordan guilty of all four counts.

         A presentencing report recommended Jordan receive a “career offender”

enhancement based on multiple prior offenses for armed robbery. The

enhancement augmented his total offense level from 33 to 37 and changed his

criminal history category from IV to V I. As a career offender, the advisory


         1
         The record does not disclose the reason for the delay between the crime
and the filing of charges.

                                          5
United States Sentencing Guidelines range increased from 188–235 months to 360

months to life. Treating Jordan as a career offender, the district court sentenced

him to 420 months on Count One, 240 months on Count Two, 120 months on

Counts Three and Four (all to be served concurrently), and supervised release.

                                     II. Analysis

      On appeal, Jordan asserts one claim attacking his conviction and another

challenging his sentence. First, Jordan claims the district court erred in barring

the defense from introducing evidence in support of his theory that an alternate

perpetrator, inmate Sean Riker, actually murdered Stone. Second, Jordan alleges

that the district court erred in finding his 1994 crime spree involved two or more

unrelated crimes under the Guidelines §§ 4B1.1(a), 4B1.2(c).

      A.     Alternative Perpetrator

      The first issue is w hether the district court erred in refusing to admit

evidence Jordan claims would implicate another inmate in Stone’s murder.

      W e review a district court’s decision to admit alternative perpetrator

evidence under an abuse of discretion standard. United States v. M cVeigh, 153

F.3d 1166, 1188 (10th Cir. 1998). “An abuse of discretion occurs when the

district court’s decision is arbitrary, capricious, or whimsical, or results in a

manifestly unreasonable judgment.” United States v. Weidner, 437 F.3d 1023,

1042 (10th Cir. 2006). Our deference to the trial court is based upon its first-

hand ability to view the witnesses and evidence and assess credibility and

                                           6
probative value. Id. Accordingly, the district court’s decision to exclude

Jordan’s alternative perpetrator evidence “will not be disturbed unless the

appellate court has a definite and firm conviction that the lower court made a

clear error of judgment or exceeded the bounds of permissible choice in the

circumstances.” Id.

             1.    Legal Framew ork

      Jordan’s theory of defense pits two evidentiary values against each other:

(1) the admission of relevant evidence, Fed. R. Evid. 401, against (2) the

exclusion of prejudicial, misleading, and confusing evidence, Fed. R. Evid. 403.

The bar for admission under Rule 401 is “very low.” M cVeigh, 153 F.3d at 1190.

This is because the degree of materiality and probativity necessary for evidence to

be relevant is “minimal” and must only provide a “fact-finder with a basis for

making some inference, or chain of inferences.” Id.

      W hile the burden is low, it does not sanction the carte blanche admission of

whatever evidence a defendant would like. The trial judge is the gatekeeper

under the Rules of Evidence. Rule 403 requires courts to “exclud[e] [even

relevant evidence] if its probative value is substantially outweighed by the danger

of unfair prejudice, confusion of the issues, or misleading the jury.” Fed. R. Evid.

403. Such circumstances might arise when evidence suggests to the jury that it

should “render its findings on an improper basis, comm only . . . an emotional

one,” and when “circumstantial evidence would tend to sidetrack the jury into

                                         7
consideration of factual disputes only tangentially related to the facts at issue in

the current case.” M cVeigh, 153 F.3d at 1191 (internal quotes and citations

omitted).

      W hen proffered evidence deals with a defense theory of an alternative

perpetrator, additional considerations arise. As the Supreme Court recently noted

in reviewing the constitutionality of a South Carolina statute that excluded third-

party guilt evidence, “[e]vidence tending to show the commission by another

person of the crime charged may be introduced by accused when it is inconsistent

with, and raises a reasonable doubt of, his ow n guilt; but frequently matters

offered in evidence for this purpose are so remote and lack such connection with

the crime that they are excluded.” Holmes v. South Carolina, 547 U.S. 319, 126

S. Ct. 1727, 1733 (2006) (Third-party guilt evidence may also be excluded “w here

it does not sufficiently connect the other person to the crime . . . [such as w here it

is] speculative or remote, or does not tend to prove or disprove a material fact in

issue at the defendant’s trial.”).

      Our most recent exploration of the alternative perpetrator evidence was in

United States v. M cVeigh. There, we explained,

      A lthough there is no doubt that a defendant has a right to attem pt to
      establish his innocence by showing that someone else did the crime, a
      defendant still must show that his proffered evidence on the alleged
      alternative perpetrator is sufficient, on its own or in combination with
      other evidence in the record, to show a nexus between the crime
      charged and the asserted “alternative perpetrator.” It is not sufficient
      for a defendant merely to offer up unsupported speculation that another

                                            8
      person may have done the crime. Such speculative blaming intensifies
      the grave risk of jury confusion, and it invites the jury to render its
      findings based on emotion or prejudice.

153 F.3d at 1191 (internal quotes and citations omitted) (emphasis added).

Accordingly, courts may properly deny admission of alternative perpetrator

evidence that fails to establish, either on its own or in combination with other

evidence in the record, a non-speculative “nexus” between the crime charged and

the alleged perpetrator.

      In M cVeigh, we upheld the district court’s ruling to exclude evidence the

defense claimed would link a white-supremacist, anti-government organization to

the Oklahoma City bombing. Id. at 1188. M cVeigh proffered testimony from an

undercover agent in the organization that (1) it harbored similar anti-government

view s to M cVeigh’s, (2) some members expressed vague threats to bomb targets

in Oklahoma, and (3) an alleged identification of the composite sketches released

after the bombing. Id. at 1192. The district court found the evidence relevant

under R ule 401, but excluded it under Rule 403. Id. at 1188.

      W e agreed with the district court’s order. First, we held that the proffered

testimony’s “highly generalized and speculative nature” greatly diminished its

probative value. Id. at 1191. Second, in light of the lack of a probative nexus

between the extremist group and the Oklahoma City bombing, we found that the

testimony would lead to the “confusion of the issues” because the government

would be forced to put on a “side trial” to disprove the nebulous allegations of the

                                          9
group’s involvement in the bombing. Id. Third, we concluded the evidence

would threaten “unfair prejudice” because “it would invite the jury to blame

absent, unrepresented individuals and groups for whom there often may be strong

underlying emotional responses.” Id. at 1192. In balancing relevance and

prejudice, we concluded the evidence’s low probative value did not outweigh the

substantial chance of prejudice and confusion, tipping the scales in favor of

exclusion.

      W ith this background, we turn to Jordan’s theory of defense.

             2.       Jordan’s Alternative Perpetrator Theory

      At trial, Jordan did not dispute that (1) he handled the shank that caused the

fatal stab wounds to Stone, (2) he was the man M eadors and Valle saw running

across the yard, and (3) he threw the murder weapon on the roof. Jordan

contended that he did not kill Stone, who had been his cellmate for two months at

the United States Penitentiary in Atlanta. Instead, he claimed Sean Riker, who

was also at the scene of the stabbing, was the actual assailant. He argues that

Riker stabbed Stone and then forced the knife on him. In the confusion, he

started running in panic and then threw the knife on the roof.

      To establish the required “nexus” to Riker, Jordan pointed to two sources

of evidence. The first was evidence that had already been admitted as part of the

prosecution’s case.

Admitted Evidence

                                         10
      First, both video and testimonial evidence placed Riker at the scene of the

stabbing. The video shows Stone, Jordan, Riker and an inmate identified only as

“Larry” sitting together at a concrete table several minutes before the stabbing.

And Collins testified that he saw Riker and Larry seated at Stone’s table prior to

the stabbing.

      Second, Collins claimed to have heard through the prison grapevine, albeit

after the stabbing, that Riker had given Jordan the shank to “hit” Stone. Vol.

XIV, at 371.

      Finally, Jordan argues that unidentifiable DNA found on the shank

indicates that someone else possessed the shank.

Proffered Evidence

      The second source of supporting evidence— and the heart of this

appeal— are four additional pieces of proffered evidence that Jordan claims w ould

point the finger at Riker.

      First, Jordan proffered evidence that, six months before the murder, Riker

possessed a shank, “almost identical in size and shape” to the shank that killed

Stone. Vol. XVI, at 739.

      Second, Jordan offered statements by Riker to investigators after the

stabbing indicating that he was untruthful about the circumstances surrounding

Stone’s death. Jordan contends that these lies reflect a “consciousness of guilt”

on the part of Riker. Id. at 734.

                                         11
      Third, the defense claimed evidence shows that shortly after the stabbing

prison officials investigated Riker as a possible suspect in Stone’s homicide. Id.

at 736. The record unfortunately does not disclose the basis for this statement.

      Finally, Jordan claimed that Riker would testify that he and other inmates

went over to a set of bleachers after the stabbing. On the top of the bleachers,

investigators later found a blood-stained glove. Id. at 737.

                                      *    *   *

      Applying the M cVeigh factors, the district court refused to allow the

additional evidence. It concluded that “any probative value [in the evidence] is

substantially outweighed by the danger of the prejudice and confusion.” Vol

XVI, at 744. In particular,

     From this proffer I can’t determine that it establishes a probative nexus
     betw een M r. Riker and victim Stone. . . [I]t is [based on]. . ., in essence,
     negative inference; that is, if M r. Riker is a liar and if M r. Riker had had
     shanks in the past, therefore, M r. Riker is the perpetrator here. The nexus
     does not exist under the proffer that you provided.

     This is in m y view a classic speculative attempt to blame a third person
     so as to create a grave risk of jury confusion. It invites the jury to render
     its findings based upon a notion of prejudice.

Id. at 744–45. The district court found Jordan’s defense theory premised on an

impermissible “inference upon inference.” Id. at 745.

      W e find no reversible error. The proffered evidence, neither alone nor in

combination, suggests the court abused its discretion in applying M cVeigh’s



                                          12
nexus requirement. As to the proffered evidence, several points bear mentioning.

First, it is true that Riker was near Stone a little more than ten minutes prior to

the stabbing. But no witness placed Riker near Stone at the time of the stabbing,

and two eyewitnesses testified that Jordan committed the crime. Similarly, the

unidentified DNA sample on the shank and the blood-stained glove are interesting

pieces of unresolved evidence, but no more implicate R iker than anyone else in

the prison yard. Riker’s possession of a similar shank months before the stabbing

again is suggestive, but, ultimately thin in connecting Riker to the actual crime

since this evidence (if admissible) sheds little light on what happened in the

prison yard the day Stone died. Finally, even Riker consistently took the position

in interview s and before the grand jury that Jordan stabbed Stone, according to

supplemental exhibits offered by the defense.

      Jordan argues the court engaged in “tunnel vision” by failing to put the

evidentiary pieces together in a way that plausibly demonstrated Riker could have

comm itted the crime. But the defense, not surprisingly given the substantial

direct and circumstantial evidence, has done little more than throw out a series of

allegations hoping they would coalesce. Since no witness saw Riker next to

Stone at the time of the murder, the alternative perpetrator theory rested primarily

on either (1) a long-shot hope that Riker would confess on the witness stand, 2 or




      2
          Even if allowed to testify, Riker could have pleaded his right against self-

                                           13
(2) that his lack of credibility would support an inference that he committed the

stabbing.

      W hile perhaps a case can be made that the evidence provided some

metaphysical showing of motive and opportunity (or more likely conspiracy), the

probative value of the evidence must be balanced against the likelihood it “w ould

tend to sidetrack the jury into consideration of factual disputes only tangentially

related to the facts at issue.” M cVeigh, 153 F.2d at 1191. Even if the evidence

has some minimal relevance when considered as a whole, the district court has the

responsibility in weighing the evidence against its misuse— whether by inviting

unwarranted speculation or confusion. In applying this balancing, the district

court did not abuse its discretion.

      Having said that, and while w e ultimately find no abuse of discretion, this

case highlights many of the difficulties in evaluating alternative perpetrator

evidence:

      (1) Unlike M cVeigh, the proffered evidence in this case was more closely

connected to the scene of the crime, elevating its probative value. W hile most of

this evidence is of limited value, as a whole it is not nearly as speculative as the

proffer in M cVeigh, 153 F.3d at 1191, or so totally lacking of a “connection with

the crime,” Holmes, 126 S. Ct. at 1733, to be easily disregarded.


      2
       (...continued)
incrimination.

                                          14
      (2) Likewise, on the other side of the evidentiary scale, the risk of “unfair

prejudice” and “confusion of the issue” is not as substantial as in M cVeigh. First,

Riker’s proposed testimony (assuming he would take the stand) and the evidence

of the shank proffered by Jordan is not complex or time-consuming. Riker was in

the prison yard at the time of the murder and his testimony would be no more

confusing than other inmate witnesses. And unlike M cVeigh where the group’s

racist views might provoke the jury’s emotions, Riker was only one of many

inmates in the yard the day of the stabbing.

      (3) In conducting its Rule 403 balancing, the district court relied on United

States v. Summers, 414 F.3d 1287, 1295 (10th Cir. 2005), a case in which we

found “inferences may become so attenuated from underlying evidence as to cast

doubt on the trier of fact’s ultimate conclusion.” The district court employed this

“inference upon inference” language as instructive in analyzing Jordan’s proffer.

Vol XVI, at 745. W hile any trial theory— defense or prosecutorial— may not rest

on cascading inferences, Summers’s focus w as on the overall sufficiency of

evidence to convict, and not on its admissibility. Relevant evidence under Rule

401 must only be sufficient to provide a “fact-finder with a basis for making some

inference, or chain of inferences.” M cVeigh, 153 F.3d at 1190; see also Holmes,

126 S. Ct. at 1733 (stating that evidence must only be “inconsistent with, and

raise[] a reasonable doubt of, his ow n guilt.”).

      (4) The district court’s skepticism of Jordan’s theory is understandable

                                           15
considering the substantial direct and circumstantial evidence of his guilt.

Nevertheless, the Supreme Court has cautioned us to be wary of per se rules

excluding evidence of third-party guilt merely because “the prosecution’s case is

strong enough.” Holmes, 126 S. Ct. at 1734. The evidence should not be

excluded “if viewed independently, [it] would have great probative value and . . .

if it would not pose an undue risk of harassment, prejudice, or confusion of the

issues.” Id.

      But in the end, the district court’s decision to exclude Jordan’s evidence

was not an abuse of discretion. In hindsight, we might have evaluated Jordan’s

proffer som ew hat differently. And the defense could have provided more

substance to the anticipated testimony and admissibility of exhibits. 3

Nevertheless, the abuse of discretion standard is a deferential one, and the district

court’s review of the evidence and its application of that evidence to the M cVeigh

factors was careful and deliberate.

      On this record, we need not second-guess the district court’s conclusion,

especially given that the district court’s analysis is manifestly based on the case

law and record.

               3.   H armless Error

      W hile w e conclude the district court did not abuse its discretion in


      3
        The district court did not foreclose Riker’s testimony if an additional
foundation could have been laid.

                                          16
excluding the evidence, even if it had done so, the error was plainly harmless. “A

harmless error is one that does not have a substantial influence on the outcome of

the trial; nor does it leave one in grave doubt as to whether it had such effect.”

United States v. Resendiz-Patino, 420 F.3d 1177, 1181 (10th Cir. 2005) (applying

harmless error standard when reviewing district courts’ determinations of

evidentiary rulings resting solely on the Federal Rules of Evidence).

      As the district court concluded in rejecting the proffer, no direct evidence

or substantial circumstantial evidence connected Riker with Stone’s death while

ample evidence linked Jordan to the killing. The prosecution presented evidence

showing (1) Jordan at the scene of the crime, (2) two eyewitnesses’ accounts of

Jordan attacking Stone, (3) Jordan chasing Stone, (4) Jordan discarding the

m urder w eapon, (5) blood on Jordan’s arm after the attack, 4 (6) Jordan’s own

incriminating statements and conduct, 5 and (7) Jordan’s motive. 6


      4
          Jordan’s shifting explanation for the blood also points to his guilt. At
first, he claimed, “Oh, that guy [Stone] ran into me, that’s how I got blood on
me. I was just trying to help him.” Vol. XIV, at 309–10. This explanation later
m orphed into, “I accidentally hit myself in the nose when a person, unknown
person bumped into me causing nasal bleeding.” Vol. XV, at 643.
      5
        W hile receiving medical attention in the prison medical facility, Jordan
was observed making the “V” sign with his hands to another inmate and saying,
“Guy, I get him out of your w ay.” Vol X V, at 640.
      6
         The prosecution presented evidence that Jordan accumulated several
debts owing to other prisoners. The prosecution’s theory was that Jordan wanted
to get out from under the debts by being placed in a segregated cell or being
transferred to another prison. Jordan’s case manager testified that Jordan told
                                                                      (continued...)

                                          17
      M oreover, much of Jordan’s alternative perpetrator theory banks on already

admitted evidence of Riker’s presence at the scene of the crime and Collins’s

statements claiming that Riker gave the shank to Jordan to “hit” Stone.

Accordingly, most of the pieces in the alternate perpetrator puzzle w ere already in

evidence. Based on the admitted evidence, Jordan’s defense ably argued that

someone other than Jordan committed the stabbing. In closing arguments,

Jordan’s defense counsel raised the specter that Riker committed the stabbing.

     [W ]hat could reasonable doubt be based on? It could be based on the
     evidence that is presented to you or the lack of evidence.

     Let’s talk about that.

     W here is Sean Riker? W hy haven’t [government authorities] brought
     him in? M r. Collins says Sean Riker was at the table at the time of the
     stabbing.

     M r. Collins says in one of his statements that M r. Riker actually
     provided the weapon.

     I wonder whose DNA is on that handle? A ny guess?

Vol. XVII, at 953-954.

      Jordan’s defense counsel then goes further to implicate M r. Riker in the

      6
       (...continued)
him that he wanted “to get off this mountain,” Vol. XV, at 629, and stated that he
would have to “hurt someone” to get into another institution, id. at 629–631. The
prosecution also introduced into the record a letter Jordan wrote to his mother
discussing his desire to be placed in segregation. Id. at 560–61. Additionally, in
closing, the prosecution argued Jordan chose Stone as his victim to project the
image that he is not to be “messed with” since he killed his former cellmate. V ol.
XVII, at 975–76.

                                         18
crime.

         W e don’t have the abilities [government authorities] have. W e can’t go
         listen to phone calls that are m ade by M r. Riker or some inmate by the
         name of Larry or M r. Collins to see if he has been calling anybody
         about this. W e don’t have the ability to search their cells. W e don’t
         have the ability to search DNA databases to see if M r. Riker or other
         people’s DNA is on the weapon.

Id. at 959.

         Jordan’s defense counsel also had the opportunity to raise all the “[o]ther

evidence that points towards [Jordan’s] innocence.” Id. at 957. “Other inmates

are in the bleachers, the glove underneath the bleachers. . . . Someone else’s DN A

[is] on the shank handle.” Id. Additionally, “[T]here are several people that are

there, that have the opportunity and the ability to do the stabbing.” Id. at 954.

         Accordingly, the district court’s preclusion of the proffer did not prevent

Jordan from offering an alternative perpetrator defense. Instead, the jury chose to

disbelieve the theory. As we discussed above, several good reasons support the

jury’s conclusion. The crime took place in the midst of a busy, warm day in the

prison’s recreation yard. According to M eadors, a couple hundred prisoners w ere

in the vicinity; Valle testified that some forty prisoners were in the area. No one

claimed to see Riker assault Stone, while two observed Jordan attack Stone.

         In the face of this evidence, the addition of circumstantial evidence

regarding Riker would not have had a substantial influence on the outcome of the

trial. Accordingly, even assuming the evidence should have been admitted, its


                                            19
omission was harmless.

      B.     Sentencing as Career Offender

      Jordan also claims the district court erred in failing to group together his

thirteen prior convictions for armed robbery. Under the Guidelines § 4A1.2(a)(2),

the court’s finding that the crimes were not related meant he was eligible to be

sentenced to life under the Guidelines’ career offender enhancement.

             1.    Standard of Review

      W e review the district court’s factual determinations under the advisory

Guidelines using a clearly erroneous standard. United States v. Kristl, 437 F.3d

1050, 1053 (10th Cir. 2006). Nevertheless, “[t]he meaning of the word ‘related’

is a legal issue that we review de novo.” United States v. Gary, 999 F.2d 474,

479 (10th C ir. 1993). O nce the government has established the existence of two

qualifying prior convictions, the burden shifts to the defendant to demonstrate

that his prior offenses were “related” to a common scheme or plan under the

Guidelines. See United States v. Alberty, 40 F.3d 1132, 1134 (10th Cir. 1994).

             2.    Career O ffender Enhancement

      Jordan’s prior offenses stem from a criminal spree in the Philadelphia,

Pennsylvania area occurring between August 20 and September 13, 1994. He was

convicted of a cluster of ten state robbery and related charges in the Philadelphia

Court of Common Pleas and a cluster of three federal armed bank robbery and

related charges in the U.S. District Court for the Eastern District of Pennsylvania.

                                         20
Jordan contends these prior offenses were part of a “related,” “single common

scheme or plan,” making him ineligible for sentencing as a career offender.

      Prior felony convictions for a crime of violence or a controlled-substance

offense whose sentences “are counted separately under the provisions of

§ 4A1.1(a), (b), or (c)” may be used for a “career offender” enhancement under

the Guidelines. USSG § 4B1.2(c)(2). “Prior sentences imposed in unrelated

cases are to be counted separately.” Id. at § 4A1.2(a)(2). But “prior sentences

imposed in related cases are to be treated as one sentence for purposes of

§ 4A1.1(a), (b), and (c).” Id. To determine whether prior sentences are related,

application note 3 to § 4A 1.2 instructs:

      Prior sentences are not considered related if they were for
      offenses that were separated by an intervening arrest (i.e., the
      defendant is arrested for the first offense prior to committing the
      second offense). Otherwise, prior sentences are considered related
      if they resulted from offenses that (A) occurred on the same
      occasion, (B) were part of a single common scheme or plan, or
      (C) were consolidated for trial or sentencing.

Id. at § 4A1.2, comment. (n.3) (emphasis added).

       It is undisputed that Jordan’s prior offenses for armed robbery were not

separated by an intervening arrest, and Jordan does not contend that the offenses

occurred on the same occasion or w ere consolidated for trial or sentencing.

Instead, he argues that the offenses are related because they “were part of a single

comm on scheme or plan.”




                                            21
                3.   Common Schem e or Plan

      The proper inquiry in considering whether prior convictions arose from a

“single common scheme or plan” focuses on “factual comm onality.” United States

v. Wiseman, 172 F.3d 1196, 1219 (10th Cir. 1999) (quoting United States v.

Shewmaker, 936 F.2d 1124, 1129 (10th Cir. 1991)). In Shewmaker, we found that

“[f]actors such as temporal and geographical proximity as well as comm on

victims and a common criminal investigation are dispositive” on the question of

“factual commonality.” 936 F.2d at 1129.

      Jordan claims his 1994 crime spree was “rife with factual commonalities”

and thus are related as a “single common scheme or plan.” Aplt. Br. at 21.

Jordan relies on the district court’s finding that the state and federal charges were

similar. At sentencing, the district court stated, “[a]s a matter of fact,” the

robberies “were committed over a short period of time, . . . in close geographical

proximity[,] [a]lthough not identical perhaps, the modus operandi w as similar.

The motive I w ill accept as one of supporting a drug addiction.” Vol. X IX , at 87.

      In discussing Shewmaker, the district court suggested Jordan might have

met his burden of proving relatedness.

      [Shewmaker] focused on commonality factors such as temporal and
      geographic proximity, as well as common victims in a common criminal
      investigation. It says that these factors are dispositive. Use of the w ord
      dispositive in that opinion could end the analysis at that point because
      [it] merely focus[ed] on factors of commonality and nothing else.

Id. at 84–85.

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      Nevertheless, the district court did not stop there. Instead, it surveyed the

decisions of other circuit courts to give fuller context to the factors described in

Shewmaker. The court looked primarily to the Fifth Circuit’s opinion in United

States v. Robinson, where the court held that “the words ‘scheme’ and ‘plan’ are

‘words of intention, implying that the [prior offenses] have been jointly planned,

or at least that it have been evident that the commission of one would entail the

comm ission of the other as well.’” 187 F.3d 516, 520 (5th Cir. 1999) (quoting

United States v. Ali, 951 F.2d 827, 828 (7th Cir. 1992)).

      As the district court went on to note, the Third, Sixth, and Seventh Circuits

employ a similar analysis. See, e.g., United States v. Beckett, 208 F.3d 140, 147

(3d Cir. 2000) (quoting Ali); United States v. Irons, 196 F.3d 634, 639 (6th Cir.

1999) (“Forming the same intent at two distinct times . . . does not evidence joint

planning. Rather, defendant must show that he either intended from the outset to

commit both crimes or that he intended to commit one crime which, by necessity,

involved the commission of a second crime.”); United States v. Brown, 209 F.3d

1020, 1024–25 (7th Cir. 2000) (holding that defendant must show he either (1)

“jointly planned” the robberies, i.e., intended to commit the robberies “from the

outset,” or (2) intended to commit one of the robberies w hich necessarily

involved committing the others).

      Applying a broader interpretation of Shewmaker, the district court

determined that the “common scheme or plan” inquiry properly included

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consideration of the defendant’s intent in the commission of the prior offenses.

W e agree. A close reading of Shewmaker reveals that it did not intend the

“factual commonality” test to be limited exclusively to the four factors mentioned

in the opinion. Shewmaker’s use of “[f]actors such as” obviously connotes that

its list of four factors is a non-exclusive set. In our view, the “factual

comm onality” test articulated in Shewmaker does not preclude the consideration

of other factors, such as intent and planning, in determining factual commonality.

      Our interpretation is consistent with a subsequent interpretation of

Shewmaker. In United States v. Wiseman, for example, we applied Shewmaker’s

“factual commonality” test in the context of escape and robbery offenses. W e

found no common scheme where the “defendant has not even alleged that when he

fled the prison in Idaho he w as already planning a series of grocery store

robberies in several states. To the contrary, in his confession defendant related

forming the idea with [a companion] some time after the escape.” 172 F.3d at

1219. It is obvious that consideration of the defendant’s formation of the idea or

the intent to commit multiple offenses bears on their relatedness.

       W e thus agree with the district court’s application of the career offender

enhancement. Several factors support this conclusion. Jordan planned and

executed thirteen crimes over a five-week period. W hile Jordan may have

employed common techniques and similar targets (i.e., banks and small

businesses), the federal and state charges are distinct. Each victim was a separate

                                           24
target that took individualized intent, planning, and execution to rob. No linkage

exists betw een the crimes; one robbery was not a prelude to another.

      Jordan argues geographical proximity created a common scheme or plan,

but fails to suggest w hy that factor is particularly important in evaluating his

crimes. Although the robberies w ere committed in a single large city

(Philadelphia), that alone is a minor element in evaluating relatedness without a

further showing of how each crime relates to the other. Indeed, each crime was

independently conceived and implemented. The crimes were committed on

separate days in different parts of the city, hardly a joint operation.

      Finally, we disagree with his claim that each crime’s common motive—

supporting his drug habit— is a weighty factor showing relatedness. His desire

for money motivated the crimes, but a financial motive— even to fuel a drug

habit— adds little to the analysis. If it did, every crime, no matter what the

intervening circumstances might be related under some variation of this theory.

Shewmaker does not compel such a wooden interpretation of factual commonality.

Rather, the sentencing court should look at all of the facts and circumstances

indicating whether the offenses were jointly planned. That primarily fact-based

question will then guide its application of the sentencing enhancement.

      Accordingly, based on all of the facts and circumstances in this case the

district court did not err in finding two unrelated crimes supported Jordan’s career

offender enhancement.

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                         III. Conclusion

For the foregoing reasons, we AFFIRM Jordan’s conviction and sentence.




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