                              In the

    United States Court of Appeals
                For the Seventh Circuit
                    ____________________
No. 18‐2149
UNITED STATES OF AMERICA,
                                                 Plaintiff‐Appellee,
                                v.

MAURICE COLLINS,
                                             Defendant‐Appellant.
                    ____________________

        Appeal from the United States District Court for the
                     Central District of Illinois.
       No. 2:14‐cr‐20032‐CSB‐DGB‐1 — Colin S. Bruce, Judge.
                    ____________________

    ARGUED DECEMBER 11, 2018 — DECIDED MAY 14, 2019
                ____________________

    Before WOOD, Chief Judge, and RIPPLE and BARRETT, Cir‐
cuit Judges.
    RIPPLE, Circuit Judge. Maurice Collins pleaded guilty to
distributing cocaine and crack cocaine in violation of 21
U.S.C. § 841(a)(1). Because of a prior felony drug conviction,
he faced a statutory minimum of ten years in prison, unless
he qualified for the “safety valve” in 18 U.S.C. § 3553(f)(5).
The district court initially denied Mr. Collins the benefit of
the safety valve on a ground that we later determined to be
2                                                 No. 18‐2149

erroneous. Consequently, we vacated his sentence and re‐
manded for further proceedings. See United States v. Collins,
877 F.3d 362, 368–69 (7th Cir. 2017).
    On remand, the district court again determined that
Mr. Collins did not qualify for the safety valve. The court fo‐
cused on a statement in his proffer interview about what he
intended to do with the significant amount of cash found in
his car at the time of his arrest. Doubting the veracity of his
claims about the cash, the court concluded that Mr. Collins
had not established that he had “truthfully provided to the
Government all information and evidence the defendant has
concerning the offense or offenses that were part of the same
course of conduct or of a common scheme or plan.” 18 U.S.C.
§ 3553(f)(5). Accordingly, the court did not give him the ben‐
efit of the safety valve and resentenced him to the statutory
mandatory minimum.
    Mr. Collins again appeals his sentence. He contends that
the district court erred in assessing the relative burdens of
proof with respect to his eligibility for the safety valve. He
also submits that he provided a truthful and complete dis‐
closure to the Government before sentencing. For the rea‐
sons stated below, we affirm the judgment.
                               I
                      BACKGROUND
    In the fall of 2013, a cooperating individual working for
the Drug Enforcement Administration (“DEA”) informed
agents that Mr. Collins was involved in cocaine distribution
in the Danville and Champaign, Illinois area. The informant
related that Mr. Collins had sold him ounce‐quantities of co‐
caine on multiple occasions. He also said that Mr. Collins
No. 18‐2149                                                3

and another individual had pooled their cash and that they
had paid $32,000 for a kilogram of cocaine. Following that
initial interview, the same informant participated, over a
five‐month period in 2013 and 2014, in four controlled buys
of ounce‐quantities of cocaine from Mr. Collins. On another
occasion, agents attempted to arrange a buy of
three‐quarters of a kilogram of cocaine, but Mr. Collins was
unable to acquire that amount.
    In May 2014, agents arrested Mr. Collins outside Cham‐
paign, Illinois, while he was driving eastbound toward Dan‐
ville and away from Clinton. At the time of his arrest, DEA
agents seized from his vehicle about $40,000 in cash. Follow‐
ing the arrest, agents learned through a different source
working for a separate local law enforcement task force that
Mr. Collins had planned to use the cash to buy a kilogram of
cocaine in Danville.
    The Government charged Mr. Collins with distributing
cocaine and crack cocaine in violation of 21 U.S.C. §
841(a)(1). He subsequently pleaded guilty. Because of a prior
felony drug conviction, he faced a statutory minimum of ten
years in prison. See id. § 841(b)(1)(B). A few weeks before
sentencing, Mr. Collins met with the Government for a prof‐
fer interview; he hoped that he would earn entitlement to
sentencing under the “safety‐valve” exception to the statuto‐
ry minimum. See 18 U.S.C. § 3553(f); U.S.S.G. § 5C1.2(a)(5).
This exception requires a defendant to “truthfully provide[]
to the Government all information and evidence the defend‐
ant has concerning the offense or offenses that were part of
the same course of conduct or of a common scheme or plan.”
18 U.S.C. § 3553(f)(5).
4                                                  No. 18‐2149

    During the proffer interview, Special Agent Joe Green
asked Mr. Collins what he intended to do with the $40,000
found in his vehicle at the time of his arrest, at least $15,000
of which, Mr. Collins admitted, were proceeds from cocaine
sales. Mr. Collins explained that he had planned to buy a
nice car at the Clinton Auto Auction and denied any intent
to purchase a kilogram of cocaine. Mr. Collins told the agent:
“I was going to Danville first … to the gym. Then I was go‐
ing to the auction during the evening.”1
    At the original sentencing in May 2015, the district court
determined that Mr. Collins had played a supervisory role in
the offense, see U.S.S.G. § 3B1.1(c), which rendered him inel‐
igible for the safety‐valve reduction, see 18 U.S.C. §
3553(f)(4); U.S.S.G. § 5C1.2(a)(4). The court therefore im‐
posed the statutory minimum sentence of 120 months’ im‐
prisonment but indicated that it would have chosen a lower
sentence had Mr. Collins been eligible for the safety valve.
Mr. Collins appealed. We held that the district court had
erred in applying the supervisory‐role enhancement. We
therefore remanded for resentencing. See Collins, 877 F.3d at
368–69.
    At the resentencing hearing in May 2018, the Govern‐
ment maintained that Mr. Collins still was ineligible for the
safety valve because he had not been fully truthful in his in‐
terview. In particular, the Government asserted that he had
made three false statements. The first two statements con‐
cerned his working relationship with another drug trafficker
and the nature of his involvement in a particular transaction


1   See R.31 (12:05–12:25 in the proffer video).
No. 18‐2149                                                 5

involving crack cocaine instead of powder cocaine. The dis‐
trict court disagreed with the Government and concluded
that Mr. Collins had not been untruthful with respect to
these matters.
    The third falsehood, according to the Government, con‐
cerned Mr. Collins’s statements about what he planned to do
with the $40,000 in cash he was carrying when arrested. On
this issue, the district court took evidence and heard argu‐
ment. Testifying for the Government, Special Agent Green
pointed out that Mr. Collins was arrested on a Tuesday, but
Clinton Auto Auction held auctions on Wednesdays and
Saturdays only. He also testified that $40,000 would have
been a “reasonable price” for a kilogram of cocaine at the
time of Mr. Collins’s arrest, and “every once in a while,”
drug traffickers found with large amounts of cash say that
they are “on their way to purchase a vehicle.”2 On
cross‐examination, Special Agent Green agreed that, during
the investigation, the largest amount of cocaine that
Mr. Collins had sold at any one time was an ounce and one‐
half. Indeed, when Special Agent Green’s confidential in‐
formant had attempted to purchase three‐quarters of a kilo‐
gram from Mr. Collins, Mr. Collins could not acquire that
amount. Special Agent Green also admitted that the invento‐
ry at the Clinton Auto Auction might include some “decent”
cars by high‐end makers.3 After the agent testified, the court
recessed the hearing so that it could watch the videotape of



2   R.59 at 29, 31.
3   Id. at 35–36.
6                                                  No. 18‐2149

Mr. Collins’s safety‐valve interview. Mr. Collins did not testi‐
fy.
    When the hearing reconvened, the district court stated
that it had reviewed the disputed section of the video “mul‐
tiple times” and had “watched and heard the tones” in an
effort to understand Mr. Collins’s “true intentions.”4 The
court then set forth six undisputed facts that informed its
ruling: (1) Mr. Collins was “dealing in, more or less, ounce
quantities of cocaine”; (2) “$40,000 was an approximate price
for a kilogram of powder cocaine”; (3) drug dealers typically
“buy large quantities of cocaine with cash”; (4) a confidential
source “indicated [that Mr. Collins] intended to purchase a
kilo of cocaine … during the operative time frame”; (5)
“there was no Clinton Auto Auction the day [Mr. Collins]
was arrested”; and (6) “he was driving away from Clinton—
not towards it—with the money.”5 The court was “skeptical
that [Mr. Collins] was being 100 percent truthful as to his in‐
tention with the $40,000” because his explanation did not
“seem to be reasonable.”6
    The district court acknowledged that, “[i]n a lot of ways,
this is just … a ‘he said/she said’ sort of thing,” but stressed
that Mr. Collins had the burden of proving that his explana‐
tion was truthful.7 Although the court was “troubled,” it
concluded that Mr. Collins had not satisfied his burden, and


4   R.60 at 3–4, 7–8.
5   Id. at 6–7.
6   Id. at 8, 9.
7   Id. at 7–8.
No. 18‐2149                                                    7

thus, he did not qualify for safety‐valve relief.8 After sentenc‐
ing Mr. Collins to 120 months in prison, the court “actively
encourag[ed]” him to appeal because the court “want[ed] to
make sure [it had] interpreted the law correctly as to the
burden of proof.”9
   If Mr. Collins had been eligible for the safety valve, his
guideline range would have been 37 to 46 months.
                               II
                        DISCUSSION
    As part of the Mandatory Minimum Sentencing Reform
Act of 1994 (“MMSRA”), Congress created the so‐called
“safety‐valve” provision, 18 U.S.C. § 3553(f), which abro‐
gates mandated minimum sentences for some first‐time,
low‐level offenders in federal drug cases. Before the
MMSRA’s enactment, a district court could impose a sen‐
tence below the statutory minimum only upon the Govern‐
ment’s motion, based on the defendant’s substantial assis‐
tance to authorities. See id. § 3553(e); U.S.S.G. § 5K1.1. Be‐
cause these motions primarily benefited offenders with
greater criminal involvement — and thus, more information
— lower‐level offenders often received longer sentences than
their more culpable counterparts. See United States v. Arring‐
ton, 73 F.3d 144, 147 (7th Cir. 1996). To remedy this inequity,
Congress enacted the safety‐valve provision. See H.R. Rep.
No. 103‐460, at 4–5 (1994).



8   Id. at 8, 10.
9   Id. at 19.
8                                                No. 18‐2149

   The safety‐valve provision requires a district court to
waive the imposition of a statutory minimum sentence if it
finds that the defendant meets the following five criteria:
      (1)    the defendant does not have more than 1 crim‐
             inal history point, as determined under the
             sentencing guidelines …;
      (2)    the defendant did not use violence or credible
             threats of violence or possess a firearm or other
             dangerous weapon (or induce another partici‐
             pant to do so) in connection with the offense;
      (3)    the offense did not result in death or serious
             bodily injury to any person;
      (4)    the defendant was not an organizer, leader,
             manager, or supervisor of others in the offense,
             as determined under the sentencing guidelines
             and was not engaged in a continuing criminal
             enterprise, as defined in 21 U.S.C. § 848; and
      (5)    not later than the time of the sentencing hear‐
             ing, the defendant has truthfully provided to
             the Government all information and evidence
             the defendant has concerning the offense or of‐
             fenses that were part of the same course of
             conduct or of a common scheme or plan, but
             the fact that the defendant has no relevant or
             useful other information to provide or that the
             Government is already aware of the infor‐
             mation shall not preclude a determination by
             the court that the defendant has complied with
             this requirement.
No. 18‐2149                                                    9

U.S.S.G. § 5C1.2(a); see also 18 U.S.C. § 3553(f). This appeal
focuses on the fifth criterion. We review the district court’s
interpretation of the safety‐valve provision under the statute
and the sentencing guidelines de novo. United States v. Mon‐
tes, 381 F.3d 631, 634 (7th Cir. 2004) (citing United States v.
Ramirez, 94 F.3d 1095, 1099 (7th Cir. 1996)). We review the
district court’s factual findings about a defendant’s eligibility
for the safety valve, as well as its ultimate conclusion, for
clear error. Montes, 381 F.3d at 634; United States v. Aceve‐
do‐Fitz, 739 F.3d 967, 970 (7th Cir. 2014).
                               A.
     At this late date, there can be no question that the de‐
fendant must carry the burden of establishing eligibility for
the safety‐valve exemption from a mandatory minimum sen‐
tence. Thirteen years ago, in United States v. Ramirez, 94 F.3d
1095 (7th Cir. 1996), we reviewed the denial of safety‐valve
relief to a defendant who had provided only the “basic de‐
tails” of his offense but had not responded to specific ques‐
tions posed by the Government. Id. at 1103. In that case, the
defendant had argued that once a defendant offers infor‐
mation to the Government and states that he has fully pro‐
vided all that he knows, “the burden must shift to the gov‐
ernment to proffer evidence that the defendant has not pro‐
vided his information completely or truthfully.” Id. at 1100.
We rejected the defendant’s “shifting‐burden theory” and
affirmed the district court’s denial of the safety valve. Id. We
analogized the safety valve to a departure under the sentenc‐
ing guidelines and reasoned that because the party seeking
the departure bears the burden of proving that he meets the
criteria, it “logically follows … that a defendant moving for a
§ 5.C1.2 reduction would be responsible to prove his enti‐
10                                                           No. 18‐2149

tlement to it.” Id. at 1101. We therefore held that application
of the safety valve requires that “the defendant, not the gov‐
ernment, prove the defendant’s entitlement to that sentence
reduction,” and emphasized that, throughout the proceed‐
ings, “the burden remains on the defendant to prove his enti‐
tlement.” Id. at 1101, 1102 (emphasis in original) (quoting
United States v. Montanez, 82 F.3d 520, 523 (1st Cir. 1996)). We
noted, moreover, that our approach was “compatible with
the view taken in other circuits.” Id. at 1100–01 (citing cases).
    Ramirez confirmed the existing law of the circuit and, in
turn, we have confirmed the holding in Ramirez in many
cases. See, e.g., Montes, 381 F.3d at 637; United States v. Gal‐
braith, 200 F.3d 1006, 1016 (7th Cir. 2000); United States v.
Martinez, 301 F.3d 860, 866 (7th Cir. 2002). If, after evaluating
the defendant’s submission, the district court finds the
statements in the proffer interview to be “inconsistent,”
“suspicious,” or “implausible,” the court is entitled to deny
safety‐valve relief. United States v. Rebolledo‐Delgadillo, 820
F.3d 870, 880 (7th Cir. 2016). Our more recent cases testify to
the durability of this principle. See, e.g., United States v. Sand‐
oval, 747 F.3d 464, 469 (7th Cir. 2014). To prevail, a defendant
must meet the district court’s misgivings even when those
misgivings are based on a relatively weak rebuttal by the
Government, or when those misgivings are grounded in fac‐
tual assertions not admissible under the Rules of Evidence.10


10 See United States v. Alvarado‐Tizoc, 656 F.3d 740, 746 (7th Cir. 2011)
(“The government’s evidence was not strong, but it didn’t have to be, as
there was nothing on the other side but the defendant’s say‐so … .”);
United States v. Ponce, 358 F.3d 466, 468 (7th Cir. 2004) (rejecting the de‐
fendant’s argument that such non‐evidentiary presentations are categor‐
                                                             (continued … )
No. 18‐2149                                                               11

    Most of the decisions of our sister circuits are consonant
with our approach. Certainly, every circuit to have consid‐
ered the matter has held, as we have, that the initial burden
of proof for safety‐valve eligibility lies with the defendant.11
Some also specifically have rejected, as we have, any form of
burden shifting. See, e.g., United States v. Aidoo, 670 F.3d 600,
607 (4th Cir. 2012) (noting that “[t]he defendant’s burden
under the safety valve is a true burden of proof that rests, at
all times, on the defendant”). These circuits accept that “the
government has no obligation to present evidence of the de‐
fendant’s failure to satisfy the requirements of the safety
valve.” Id. at 606; see also United States v. Alvarado‐Rivera, 412
F.3d 942, 947 (8th Cir. 2005) (en banc) (rejecting defendants’
argument that the Government has the burden to present
additional evidence if it finds a defendant’s proffer inade‐
quate).



( … continued)
ically insufficient “to call into question the veracity of [the defendant’s]
testimony” because “the government does not bear the burden of
proof”).
11 See United States v. Bolton, 858 F.3d 905, 913 (4th Cir. 2017); United
States v. Carillo‐Ayala, 713 F.3d 82, 90 (11th Cir. 2013); United States v.
Jimenez, 451 F.3d 97, 101–03 (2d Cir. 2006); United States v. Mathis, 216
F.3d 18, 29 (D.C. Cir. 2000); United States v. Morones, 181 F.3d 888, 890
(8th Cir. 1999); United States v. Vasquez, 161 F.3d 909, 912 (5th Cir. 1998);
United States v. Sabir, 117 F.3d 750, 754 (3d Cir. 1997); United States v.
Verners, 103 F.3d 108, 110 (10th Cir. 1996); United States v. Miran‐
da‐Santiago, 96 F.3d 517, 529 & n.25 (1st Cir. 1996); United States v.
Ramirez, 94 F.3d 1095, 1101 (7th Cir. 1996); United States v. Ajugwo, 82
F.3d 925, 929 (9th Cir. 1996); United States v. Adu, 82 F.3d 119, 123 (6th
Cir. 1996).
12                                                   No. 18‐2149

    Other circuits seemingly have indicated that the burden
shifts to the Government after the defendant’s initial eviden‐
tiary showing. The First Circuit initially took this view in
United States v. Miranda‐Santiago, 96 F.3d 517 (1st Cir. 1996),
where it rejected as inadequate the Government’s statement
that it did not “believe” the defendant in her proffer. Id. at
529. That court required that the Government must at least
come forward with “some sound reason to suggest” that the
defendant could not be credited. Id. n.25. This language in
Miranda‐Santiago suggesting that the Government had a
formal obligation to meet the defendant’s case caused the
First Circuit to delineate the true import of its holding in
subsequent cases. In United States v. Marquez, 280 F.3d 19 (1st
Cir. 2002), the court explicitly described several scenarios
that belied a sweeping interpretation of the problematic lan‐
guage in the earlier case. First, the court reiterated its earlier
holding in United States v. White, 119 F.3d 70 (1st Cir. 1997),
that a “court may reject a safety valve proffer based on its
reasoned assessment of the defendant’s credibility in light of
the facts—and that the court may do so without the benefit
of independent rebuttal evidence.” Marquez, 280 F.3d at 24.
“Miranda–Santiago stands,” the First Circuit continued,
“merely for the proposition that when the record, taken as a
whole, will not support a finding that the defendant has
failed to provide a truthful and complete proffer, the gov‐
ernment’s lack of confidence in the proffer is insufficient, in
and of itself, to justify a denial of access to the safety valve.”
Id.; see also United States v. Padilla‐Colón, 578 F.3d 23, 31 (1st
Cir. 2009) (reaffirming the Marquez court’s understanding of
Miranda‐Santiago); United States v. Bravo, 489 F.3d 1, 12 (1st
Cir. 2007) (“The district court’s finding on eligibility must be
‘an independent determination,’ resting on more than ‘bare
No. 18‐2149                                                    13

conclusions.’” (citation omitted) (quoting White, 119 F.3d at
73, and Miranda‐Santiago, 96 F.3d at 528)). Notably, both Pa‐
dilla‐Colón and Bravo also stress that, in the end, it is the dis‐
trict court’s “reasoned determination, in light of the facts on
record” that must determine the propriety of granting the
safety‐valve reduction. Padilla‐Colón, 578 F.3d at 31; see also
Bravo, 498 F.3d at 12.
    In United States v. Miller, 179 F.3d 961 (5th Cir. 1999), the
Fifth Circuit found support in Miranda‐Santiago and its prog‐
eny for the unexceptional proposition that, in evaluating a
defendant’s safety‐valve proffer, a district court cannot de‐
termine that the defendant has not rendered a truthful and
complete statement based solely on speculation, devoid of
any factual support, suggested by the Government. The
court concluded that the district court had erred in failing to
apply the safety valve based only on the Government’s un‐
supported assertion that the defendant had “surely lied”
when he told authorities that he had only recently learned
how to dry cocaine. Id. at 967. The Government had argued
that because the defendant previously had trafficked co‐
caine, the court could “glean[]” from the record that he also
was familiar with the process of drying cocaine. Id. at 968.
After discussing Miranda‐Santiago, the Fifth Circuit rejected
the Government’s assertion as “merely speculative,” and
thus, an insufficient basis on which to deny safety‐valve re‐
lief. Id. at 968–69.
   Similarly, the Ninth Circuit has concluded that once a de‐
fendant meets his “initial burden” of demonstrating his eli‐
gibility for the safety‐valve reduction, “it falls to the Gov‐
ernment to show that the information he has supplied is un‐
true or incomplete.” United States v. Shrestha, 86 F.3d 935, 940
14                                                            No. 18‐2149

(9th Cir. 1996); see also United States v. Diaz‐Cardenas, 351 F.3d
404, 409 (9th Cir. 2003).12 Read in context, however, these
cases stand for the proposition that, once a defendant makes
a significant case, it is incumbent upon the Government to
rebut that case if it does not want the defendant to prevail.
This so‐called “shifting” of the burden to the Government
simply means that, if the Government is to prevail in the face
of a fact‐based submission by the defendant, it must produce
a fact‐based rebuttal, not rank speculation.13
    There is no doctrinal disagreement among the circuits. A
close examination of these cases makes very clear that the
authorities are compatible. No court of appeals questions the
fundamental proposition that the defendant bears the ulti‐
mate burden of proof in establishing eligibility for the safe‐
ty‐valve reduction. No circuit disputes that a defendant can
fail to carry the burden by producing a story so riddled with


12 The District of Columbia Circuit has articulated, albeit in dicta, a simi‐
lar understanding of Miranda‐Santiago and United States v. Shrestha, 86
F.3d 935, 940 (9th Cir. 1996), respectively. See United States v. Tate, 630
F.3d 194, 203 (D.C. Cir. 2011) (citing Miranda‐Santiago favorably and
quoting it at length); see also United States v. Gales, 603 F.3d 49, 54–55
(D.C. Cir. 2010) (holding that neither Miranda‐Santiago nor Shrestha sup‐
port altering the burden of proof for the defendant).
13 As one commentator has remarked, shifting the burden to the Gov‐
ernment in this regard can help “ensur[e] that any challenges to [a de‐
fendant’s safety‐valve] eligibility stem from actual untruthfulness on
their part, rather than simple government speculation or the govern‐
ment’s dissatisfaction with the information it received.” Natasha Bronn,
“Unlucky Enough to Be Innocent”: Burden‐Shifting and the Fate of the Modern
Drug Mule Under the 18 U.S.C. § 3553(f) Statutory Safety Valve, 46 Colum.
J.L. & Soc. Probs. 469, 500 (2013).
No. 18‐2149                                                               15

inconsistencies and implausibility that the district court can‐
not accept it. See, e.g., Montes, 381 F.3d at 637. In such cases,
the Government’s silence is immaterial. Some circuits simply
have taken the time to emphasize that when the defendant
makes an initial submission that appears credible and com‐
plete, the Government cannot carry the day by simply telling
the district court that it does not believe the defendant or by
inviting the district court to indulge in speculation. The
Government can hope to rebut the defendant’s credible
showing only by giving the district court a concrete,
fact‐based rationale for rejecting the defendant’s case. It can
do this by impeaching, to the district court’s satisfaction, the
quality of the defendant’s submission or by introducing evi‐
dence to the contrary. It cannot prevail, however, simply by
asserting its disbelief or its lack of satisfaction. In the end, it
is the district court’s estimation of the defendant’s submis‐
sion, not the Government’s, that counts.
                                     B.
   Confident that our approach to the burden of proof re‐
sides comfortably among the articulations of our sister cir‐
cuits and that there is no substantive disagreement among
the circuits, we proceed to consider its application in the
present case.
   The Government does not dispute that Mr. Collins pro‐
vided abundant truthful information about his offense, in‐
cluding his drug source and other potential distributors.14

14 Appellant’s Br. 16–17; Appellee’s Br. 14. This court has had little diffi‐
culty affirming the denial of safety‐valve relief when the opposite is
true—i.e., when a defendant provided only limited information to the
Government or lied about or even denied his involvement in the offense.
                                                            (continued … )
16                                                          No. 18‐2149

Rather, it argued that Mr. Collins’s ineligibility for the safety
valve turned solely on whether he was truthful with respect
to his intentions for the $40,000 in cash he possessed when
he was arrested. In the Government’s view, the evidence
suggested that he lied when he told the officers that he
planned to buy a car, not cocaine.
    The district court struggled with the issue, but concluded
that Mr. Collins had not carried his burden. The court cited
six facts that it considered in reaching its conclusion that
Mr. Collins’s explanation did not “seem to be reasonable.”15
The court noted that Mr. Collins generally dealt in
ounce‐quantities of cocaine throughout the term of the in‐
vestigation, but that he had an amount of cash approximate‐
ly equal to the cost of one kilogram and that drug dealers
use cash. It also discounted his explanation that he would be
buying a car, because he was heading in the wrong direction
and there was no auction scheduled to be held in Clinton on
the day of his arrest.
    Applying the approach employed throughout the United
States, we must conclude that Mr. Collins’s sentence must be
affirmed. The district court understood that the defendant


( … continued)
Cf. United States v. Ortiz, 775 F.3d 964, 967–68 (7th Cir. 2015) (defendant
gave limited information in a post‐arrest statement, leaving “many facts
[about his offense] unknown”); United States v. Marin, 144 F.3d 1085, 1095
(7th Cir. 1998) (defendant “kept altering his version of events”); United
States v. Thompson, 106 F.3d 794, 801 (7th Cir. 1997) (defendants “contin‐
ued to cling to a false version of events and dispute their own culpabil‐
ity”).
15   R.60 at 9.
No. 18‐2149                                                  17

had the burden of establishing eligibility for the safety valve.
It weighed the record and statements before it and conclud‐
ed that Mr. Collins had not established his eligibility because
his explanations were not credible. This conclusion was not
clearly erroneous. It was a difficult decision on disputed
facts. The district court made the hard call and decided the
case according to established law.
                         Conclusion
   The judgment of the district court is affirmed.
                                                 AFFIRMED
